The Memphis Grizzlies and New York Knicks meet in a marquee matchup on Friday night.
The pregame narrative: Ja Morant and Jalen Brunson are two of the most electrifying point guards in the NBA and both should contribute tonight. This +310 SGP comprises prop bets on them and the under on a teased-up game total.
Check out my Knicks vs. Grizzlies same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 28.
Knicks vs. Grizzlies predictions
Parlay: Morant 20+ points | Brunson 7+ assists | Under 249.5 points (+310)
Morant 20+ points (-275): I seriously debated backing Morant over 1.5 threes (-124) but just couldn’t do it.
The point guard is putting up enough 3-point bricks to build homes lately. Morant is shooting 27.1% from deep this month and went 1-for-12 on Tuesday — but that didn’t stop him from dropping 29 points against the Phoenix Suns.
Even with his 3-point struggles, Morant has cleared this line in six of his last eight games.
And if there was a team for him to get right against, it would be the Knicks:
- New York ranks last in opponent 3-point percentage.
- The Knicks are allowing the third-most PPG to point guards in the last 30 days, according to Fantasy Pros.
Morant should cruise to 20 points in this matchup and has an opportunity to go nuclear if he finds his 3-point stroke.
Other SGP legs
Brunson 7+ assists (-152): Now to Brunson, who has taken a step back as a scorer with the acquisitions of Mikal Bridges and Karl-Anthony Towns.
It’s not a huge step back, mind you, but he’s averaging 2.6 fewer points and 3.0 fewer field goal attempts per game this year compared to last.
He’s also tallying 7.4 assists per game — up from 6.7 last year.
Brunson has a nice matchup against a Grizzlies team allowing the fourth-most assists per game to PGs over the last 30 days.
The point guard had six assists in just 26 minutes against Memphis on Jan. 27.
Under 249.5 points (-186): Brunson only played 26 minutes in last month’s game because New York rolled to a 143-106 victory at Madison Square Garden.
That fell just under this total and I expect a more defensively-minded affair on Friday.
- New York has gone under this mark in 11 of its last 12 games dating back to its meeting with Memphis.
- The Grizzlies have gone over this mark in back-to-back games but went under it in 10 of 11 games prior.
Memphis owns the fifth best home defensive rating in basketball, so I can’t see New York putting up a gaudy total.
Picks made at 1:20 p.m. on 02/28/25.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.