The Sacramento Kings visit a young Portland Trail Blazers team on Friday.
The pregame narrative: With youth comes a hard-nosed style, and that’s exactly how Portland plays. This parlay consists of a teased-up Blazers spread, a Domantas Sabonis prop and a fade of Deandre Ayton’s point total.
Check out my Kings vs. Trail Blazers same-game parlay predictions for Nov. 29.
Kings vs. Trail Blazers predictions
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Parlay: Sabonis over 19.5 points + Ayton under 16.5 points + Trail Blazers +10.5 (380)
Sabonis over 19.5 points (-143): Sabonis often takes a back seat in the Kings’ offence, but that hasn’t been the case lately.
Over the last 11 games, Sabonis is 9-2 against this line. He’s averaging 20.6 points per game in that time on 61.2% shooting.
The other good news for this bet is that DeMar DeRozan has already been announced out for tonight’s contest.
In his two most recent games without DeRozan, Sabonis scored 23 and 24 points, clearing this line with relaitve ease.
Back in his first meeting with Portland this season, Sabonis scored 16 points but only took eight shots, making five of them.
There’s no doubt in my mind that the big man will take more shots tonight with DeRozan sidelined.
SGP legs
Ayton under 16.5 points (-175): This line is too high for Ayton for a couple of reasons.
- The Kings allow the third-fewest points per game to opposing centres (19.1).
- Ayton averages 13.5 points per game.
In fact, he’s gone under this mark in three straight and in eight of 12 games this season.
Ayton did go off for 20 against the Kings in their first meeting, but I’m selling high on him and trusting the season-long results that indicate this as a bad matchup.
Trail Blazers +10.5 (-186): To close this SGP out, let’s tease up Portland’s spread.
The Blazers are a top team against the spread (11-7-1) and even better at home (5-3).
Overall, Portland is 11-8 against this line and six of those blowout losses came on the road.
Sacramento came into the season with lofty expectations but it has been underwhelming up to this point.
The Kings have a record of 9-10 and are 7-11-1 ATS. They have only covered this spread in two away games.
Sacramento is 1-4 in its last five and I have no confidence in this team blowing out anybody right now — including the feisty Trail Blazers.
Picks made at 2:30 p.m. on 11/29/24.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.