The Sacramento Kings and San Antonio Spurs meet for the first time this season.
The pregame narrative: Sacramento is on the second leg of a back-to-back after winning in overtime yesterday. The Kings may be tired but they’re the much better team so I’ll back them on the moneyline alongside prop bets on De’Aaron Fox and Chris Paul.
Check out my Kings vs. Spurs same-game parlay predictions for Nov. 11.
Kings vs. Spurs predictions
Go to full NBA betting markets
Parlay: Kings moneyline + Fox over 24.5 points + Paul over 6.5 points (+310)
Kings moneyline (-124): Backing the Kings on no rest on the road might seem scary, but I can’t get behind the Spurs right now.
San Antonio is 4-6 this season and has dropped three of its last four. It most recently lost at home to the Utah Jazz, who rank last in the NBA in net and offensive rating.
Victor Wembanyama is having a tough start to the season, shooting 42.5% from the field and 23.5% from deep. He seems a little lost out there and Sacramento’s defence has been a pleasant surprise in 2024, sitting 11th in defensive rating.
The Spurs have also made a habit of letting tired teams off the hook and are 6-15 straight up with a rest advantage since the start of last season, according to Team Rankings.
SGP legs
Fox over 24.5 points (-134): The Kings went 3-0 against the Spurs last year and Fox had a field day in each game.
The point guard scored 43, 28 and 33 points, leading Sacramento in scoring each time. There is another mouth to feed in the offence this year with DeMar DeRozan in the mix, so I wouldn’t expect another 40-piece tonight.
That said, the Spurs are great at defending the paint and mediocre at defending the perimeter, so Fox has the best matchup on the team.
He has scored at least 21 points in all six games this month, clearing this line three times while shooting 47.9% from the field.
Paul over 6.5 points (-315): Paul only had three points in his last game on 0-of-6 shooting but I expect a bounce back tonight.
The veteran point guard had cleared this line in six of seven games prior while averaging 13.4 points in that span. Devin Vassell is back in the lineup, so Paul might have to facilitate more, but this should be well within reach.
The Kings allow opponents to shoot 36.4% from deep (20th in the NBA) and Paul takes 67.5% of his shots from beyond the arc.
NBA picks made at 12:21 p.m. on 11/11/24.
Looking to get started? Sign up here.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.