Sunday’s final matchup of the night features Kawhi Leonard and the Los Angeles Clippers against the Sacramento Kings.
The pregame narrative: Leonard and the Clippers should be able to defeat a shorthanded Kings squad. This four-leg, +340 SGP includes picks on an alt total and Zach LaVine.
Check out my Kings vs. Clippers SGP predictions for March 9.
Kings vs. Clippers predictions
Parlay: Clippers ML | Under 225.5 points | LaVine 20+ points | Leonard 2+ threes (+340)
Clippers moneyline (-210): The Clippers dominated both matchups against the Kings this season, winning by at least nine points each time.
Both of those games were back in November, so you might argue that they aren’t particularly relevant to Sunday’s rematch. But I still think L.A. should be at a distinct advantage.
De’Aaron Fox balled out in both those matchups, scoring a total of 60 points — and he plays for the Spurs now. On the Clippers’ side, Kawhi Leonard is healthy after not playing for the Clippers in either of the previous matchups against the Kings.
L.A. is 16-4 as a home favourite, which includes a 10-point win over the New York Knicks two nights ago.
NBA SGP legs
Under 225.5 points (-335): In addition to the since-departed Fox, the Kings won’t have Domantas Sabonis or Malik Monk on the court tonight. That should really lower their scoring ceiling.
Clippers leading scorer Norman Powell (23.8 PPG) is also out, and L.A. is primarily an unders team whether he’s in the lineup or not.
- Unders are 35-28 in Clippers games this season.
- Unders are 11-8-1 when the Clippers are home favourites.
- Both matchups between the Kings and Clippers this season finished at 205 or fewer points.
Unders also happen to be hot right now for Sacramento. The under has cashed in five of the Kings’ past six games, and four of those games went below this total.
LaVine 20+ points (-278): Even though a lot of Kings games have been hitting the under lately, this is a scoring milestone LaVine is cashing regularly.
- LaVine is averaging 23.4 points in his 13 games since joining the Kings.
- He has 20+ points in 10 of 13 games.
Somebody has to score for the Kings, right? LaVine is the guy for the job, and his 42.9 3PT% with Sacramento (on 7.5 attempts) shows that he can catch fire any game.
Back in January, when LaVine was still with the Chicago Bulls, he dropped 35 points in Los Angeles while shooting 5-for-12 from beyond the arc.
Leonard 2+ threes (-220): After cashing this bet in five straight games, Leonard has failed to hit the mark in his past two. But his 3-point volume is still substantial enough that I’m bullish about this milestone.
In his past seven games, Leonard has averaged 2.4 made threes on 6.6 attempts (37.0 3PT%). He has attempted at least five 3s in all seven of those matchups.
Sacramento is a good matchup for Leonard to stay hot beyond the arc.
The Kings allow the second-highest 3PT% in the NBA (37.4) and the third-most 3s (14.4/game).
Kings vs. Clippers predictions made at 12:40 p.m. ET on 03/09/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.