The Golden State Warriors host the Utah Jazz on Tuesday night.
The pregame narrative: Utah is awful and is on a back-to-back, but Golden State is far from a title contender. I’ll bank a boatload of points with the visitors alongside prop bets on Andrew Wiggins and Lauri Markkanen.
Check out my Jazz vs. Warriors same-game parlay predictions for Jan. 28.
Jazz vs. Warriors predictions
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Parlay: Jazz +16.5 + Wiggins over 19.5 points + Markkanen over 5.5 rebounds (+340)
Jazz +16.5 (-200): Utah (10-34) has lost nine of its last 10 games and sits at the bottom of the Western Conference with its eyes set on the draft.
That said, the Jazz have been a respectable ATS team while the Warriors have not:
- Utah: 23-21-1 ATS, 15-10-0 ATS as a road underdog
- Golden State: 21-23-1 ATS, 7-10-0 ATS as home favourite
I’ll even go as far as to say Golden State isn’t a good team at all. Steph Curry was beside himself when told the Warriors are 1-20 when trailing after the third quarter. That’s an ugly stat.
The Warriors have lost seven of their last 11 games, failing to cover this number in 10 of those contests. Draymond Green and Jonathan Kuminga are both out, too, which leaves two big holes to fill.
Other SGP legs
Wiggins over 19.5 points (+104): Curry is the only player on the Warriors averaging more than 20 points per game, with Wiggins (17.1) and Kuminga (16.8) next on the list.
That said, this should be a good spot for Wiggins to have a night.
Utah has the league’s worst mid-range defence, according to Cleaning the Glass. Wiggins takes 34% of his shots from that area of the court, which ranks in the 81st percentile of all NBA players.
Kuminga takes even more shots from the mid-range (40.0%), and I figure his absence should lead to more looks for the Canadian small forward.
Wiggins has scored 20-plus points in five of his last seven games.
Markkanen over 5.5 rebounds (-177): At seven feet, 240 pounds, Markkanen isn’t as dominant a rebounder as he should be.
The Finnish forward is averaging 6.1 boards per game, which is down considerably from the 8.2 he posted last season.
However, I think he’s still worth backing on this teased-down line.
Markkanen has cleared this mark in three straight games and Golden State is missing two of its top-four rebounders.
He also had eight rebounds against the Warriors earlier this year.
Picks made at 9:57 a.m. on 01/28/25.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.