The Los Angeles Lakers host the Miami Heat on Wednesday night.
The pregame narrative: The Lakers have lost three straight games but are in a good spot to right the ship against a shorthanded Heat squad. Back Los Angeles to win alongside prop bets on Tyler Herro and Jaime Jaquez at +320.
Check out my Heat vs. Lakers same-game parlay predictions for Jan. 15.
Heat vs. Lakers predictions
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Parlay: Lakers moneyline + Herro over 3.5 threes + Jaquez over 9.5 points (+320)
Lakers moneyline (-210): The Lakers lost consecutive road games before having a pair of contests postponed due to the Los Angeles wildfires.
They also lost in their return to action, against the San Antonio Spurs at Crypto.com Arena on Monday, 126-102.
But I’m confident L.A. can get back on its horse against an uninspiring Miami team.
Jimmy Butler remains suspended due to detrimental conduct, and Bam Adebayo is questionable with a back injury after missing the Heat’s previous game.
The Lakers are 12-6 at home this season and enter this contest with a clean bill of health. They’re also well rested, having played just one game since Jan. 7. The Heat, conversely, are wrapping up a taxing six-game West-Coast road trip.
SGP legs
Herro over 3.5 threes (-121): Herro has taken a massive step this year as a scorer, averaging a career-best 24.0 points per game. He’s doing most of his damage from deep.
- Miami’s shooting guard is averaging 3.9 threes/game (fourth-most in NBA).
- Herro is shooting 40.3% from deep this season.
- He’s cleared this mark in four of his last five games.
The Lakers rank 19th in opponent 3-point percentage (36.2%). They also give up the sixth-most 3s per game to opposing shooting guards, per Fantasy Pros.
Herro shot 9-of-16 from deep — yes, he made nine 3s — against L.A. earlier this season.
Jaquez over 9.5 points (-345): Jaquez has been sharp in Butler’s absence. Check out his numbers over the last six games:
- 14.7 PPG
- 51.5 FG%
- 33.9 minutes per game
The sophomore small forward is making the most out of this short stint as a starter, and I want to tail him again tonight.
Jaquez takes 46% of his shots at the rim, which ranks in the 88th percentile of all NBA players, according to Cleaning the Glass.
The Lakers, meanwhile, have the second-worst rim defence (70.9 FG% allowed) in the league.
Picks made at 1:09 p.m. on 01/15/24.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.