The New York Knicks host the Atlanta Hawks in the NBA Cup quarterfinals on Wednesday.
The pregame narrative: Atlanta has been rolling and has already beaten New York once this season. In this +300 SGP, I like the Hawks to cover an alt spread alongside Jalen Brunson and Dyson Daniels prop bets.
Check out my Hawks vs. Knicks same-game parlay predictions for Dec. 11.
Hawks vs. Knicks predictions
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Parlay: Brunson over 26.5 points + Hawks +10.5 + Daniels over 0.5 threes (+300)
Brunson over 26.5 points (-115): Brunson’s scoring has taken a dip with Karl-Anthony Towns in the fold but that was to be expected. It also doesn’t mean the all-star point guard has lost his touch:
- 2023-24 (77 games): 28.7 PPG, 21.4 FGA, 47.9% shooting
- 2024-25 (24 games): 25.2 PPG, 17.3 FGA, 49.6% shooting
New York’s frontman has sacrificed a bit of volume but is still shooting nearly 50.0% from the field. He’s not always the go-to guy but can still put up huge numbers with seven 30-point games in 24 starts.
And this feels like a game Brunson should take over.
The Hawks have the seventh-worst midrange defence (43.8%) and Brunson ranks in the 92nd percentile for midrange shooting frequency (45.0%), per Cleaning the Glass.
SGP legs
Hawks +10.5 (-167): There are some key names to monitor on the Hawks’ injury report.
Trae Young and De’Andre Hunter are both listed as probable, while Jalen Johnson (shoulder) is questionable.
The Hawks are coming off their worst loss of the season, a 141-111 thrashing by the Denver Nuggets, but had won six straight before then.
That includes a pair of wins over the Cleveland Cavaliers alongside wins over the Los Angeles Lakers and Milwaukee Bucks.
The Knicks are also rolling but they haven’t faced the same level of competition.
New York is 11-4 in its last 15 (7-8 against this line) but only one of those wins was against a non-play-in team, the Paolo Banchero-less Orlando Magic.
Daniels over 0.5 threes (-286): New York’s 3-point defence has been atrocious and Daniels is finding his stroke from deep.
The third-year shooting guard is 4-for-4 against this line in December, shooting 35.7%.
Daniels wasn’t quite as accurate in November but still went over this line in 11-of-15 games. On the whole, he has cleared this in 13 of his last 14.
New York is giving up the sixth-most 3s per game (14.1) at the 11th-highest clip (36.8%).
Picks made at 9:18 a.m. on 12/11/24.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.