Two of the NFL’s top teams in their respective conferences meet on Sunday afternoon as the Baltimore Ravens host the Philadelphia Eagles.
The pregame narrative: I expect a close game between two strong teams, which is why I’m teasing up the spread on the underdog Eagles. This +375 SGP also features Jalen Hurts as an anytime TD scorer and a prop bet on Mark Andrews.
Check out my Eagles vs. Ravens same-game parlay predictions for Week 13 below.
Eagles vs. Ravens same-game parlay predictions
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Parlay: Eagles +7.5 + Hurts anytime TD + Andrews over 34.5 rec. yards (+375)
Eagles +7.5 (-250): This is one of those games where neither team deserves to be an underdog, but that label falls on the visiting Eagles.
Keep in mind that the Eagles (9-2) have won seven games in a row, and one of their two losses this year came by a single point.
Also, Philadelphia has a +97 point differential, which is the third-best in the NFL. Baltimore’s point differential (+70) ranks sixth.
The standard spread for this game is Ravens -3, which I think the Eagles can cover. But teasing this to 7.5 points puts it at a number that Baltimore has failed to cover in nine of 12 games.
Philly and Baltimore are both built on churning the clock with high-volume rushing attacks. The fewer possessions this game has, the greater the chances that it’ll be decided by a single possession.
Other parlay picks
Hurts anytime TD (-134): Hurts didn’t score last week, as Saquon Barkley romped into the end zone twice while amassing 302 scrimmage yards.
But there’s still real value on Hurts as an anytime TD scorer. The red zone opportunities speak for themselves.
- On the season, Hurts has 2+ red zone carries in 10/11 games.
- He’s had 2+ carries inside the 10-yard line in five of his past six games (14 attempts total).
- Hurts has 1+ TDs in 7/11 games, and he’d scored in five straight games entering Week 12.
It’s fair for him to take a back seat when Barkley is setting the world on fire, but it’s not like the Eagles are going to completely stray from their “tush push” savant.
Andrews over 34.5 receiving yards (-117): It’s been a rare sight this season, but Mark Andrews looked like a dominant TE1 for the Ravens last week.
Though he had the lowest snap share of Baltimore’s three tight ends, Andrews saw five targets — in just 14 routes — and turned those into five catches for 44 yards and a touchdown.
Isaiah Likely, who led the TE room in snaps, didn’t see a single target.
Even if things are a bit more even this Sunday, Andrews has carved out enough of a role that I expect him to cash this over. He’s averaging 44.8 yards over his past eight games, clearing this mark six times.
The Eagles have the No. 1 defence in EPA per rush, according to RBSDM.com. If Baltimore finds itself in more dropback situations because of the matchup, that’s an even better sign for Andrews.
Picks made at 12:55 p.m. on 11/29/24.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.