The Los Angeles Dodgers, fresh off a massive sweep of the San Diego Padres, are back in action on Monday night.
The pregame narrative: L.A. entered its weekend series with San Diego level in the NL West standings, and now the club has a three-game lead. The Dodgers should be able to build on that against the league-worst Colorado Rockies, who are a miserable 19-43 at home this year.
Check out my Dodgers vs. Rockies predictions, featuring Yoshinobu Yamamoto and Ezequiel Tovar.
Dodgers vs. Rockies predictions
Parlay: Dodgers F5 -1.5 | Yamamoto over 5.5 Ks | Tovar over 0.5 hits (+290)
Dodgers F5 -1.5 (+102): Backing a team to lead by multiple runs at the five-inning mark might seem risky … until you look at what Colorado has done this year.
- The Rockies rank second-last in F5 runs per game (2.03).
- They have a -327 run differential, which is more than double the next team (Washington Nationals, -151).
- Colorado’s starter on Monday, Kyle Freeland, has a 6.52 ERA and .348 opponent batting average at home.
Los Angeles has a bona fide ace on the mound with Yamamoto, who ranks 11th in ERA (2.84) and 16th in WHIP (1.09).
He should be able to keep Colorado’s bats at bay while L.A. tees off on Freeland.
MLB SGP legs
Yamamoto over 5.5 Ks (-200): Yamamoto has cleared this number in seven of his last eight starts, dating back to an outing at Coors Field where he logged six Ks in an 8-1 win.
The righty has huge swing-and-miss upside. He ranks in the 86th percentile for K rate (28.3%) and has a 20.0%-plus putaway rate on five different pitches.
Colorado has the second-highest K rate in MLB and the eighth-highest against RHPs since the all-star break.
This should be a breeze.
Tovar over 0.5 hits (-295): The only player, literally, in Colorado’s lineup to log a hit against Yamamoto is Tovar, who is 6-for-7 against the righty with a double and a home run.
Everyone else is a combined 0-for-15 with six Ks.
Tovar’s .482 xBA in those aforementioned at-bats suggests a little regression is due, but it’s still an elite number against one of the game’s best arms.
And Colorado’s shortstop is in solid form right now, batting .306 this month with hits in 10 of 15 games.
Tovar is also batting an absurd .362 at Coors Field this season.
Dodgers vs. Rockies predictions made at 12:03 p.m. ET on 08/18/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.