The Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres put on a thrilling series opener last night, and they’ll get back to it on Tuesday night at Petco Park.
The pregame narrative: L.A. won Monday’s tilt, 8-7, in a 10-inning game that featured four lead changes. Dylan Cease (1-5, 4.72 ERA) looks to overcome some mediocre performances against a Dodgers lineup that has seen him plenty of times before.
Check out my Dodgers vs. Padres predictions, including props on Max Muncy and Teoscar Hernandez in a +285 SGP.
Dodgers vs. Padres predictions
Parlay: Padres +1.5 | Muncy over 0.5 hits | Hernandez under 1.5 total bases (+285)
Padres +1.5 (-195): This pick cashed in a back-and-forth game last night and I feel good about running it back.
- The Padres are 20-11 at Petco Park this season with a +35 run differential. They’ve won four of their past five home series.
- San Diego has a 38-27 run line record, which is second-best in the majors, according to Team Rankings.
- As +1.5 run line underdogs, the Padres are 21-9.
- Since the start of last season (playoffs included), the Padres are 6-2 vs. a +1.5 run line when facing the Dodgers at home.
Cease’s 4.72 ERA for the season isn’t great, but his 3.20 FIP suggests some defensive bounces haven’t gone his way.
The right-hander has allowed three or fewer runs in 12 of 13 outings, so it’s not like he’s prone to implosion.
MLB SGP legs
Muncy over 0.5 hits (-122): Muncy was once blind but now can see.
That’s only slightly hyperbolic. You see, Muncy was diagnosed with astigmatism during the season, which prompted him to start wearing prescription glasses during games.
He’s told reporters that he’s not buying into the glasses being the main source of his turnaround, but that “it’s hard to deny the results.”
- Pre-glasses: .180/.295/.236 slash line, 32.4 K%
- With glasses: .279/.407/.568 slash line, 17.9 K%
Muncy has recorded a hit in 16 of his past 24 starts and is batting .304 in that span.
He’s only 1-for-8 in his career against Cease, but this recent turnaround is too good for me to ignore.
Hernandez under 1.5 total bases (-295): I’m wondering if Hernandez still isn’t quite right after his groin strain. Or that maybe he needs more time to get back up to speed.
Through the early days of May, the ex-Toronto slugger was tearing it up for the Dodgers. He had a .600 SLG following L.A.’s game on May 5.
He exited that game with a groin injury, though, missing two weeks as a result. And the numbers since he’s returned are concerning:
- .164 BA
- .274 SLG
- 20 total bases in 19 games
Things have been particularly bleak in his past 10 games: 3-for-39 (.077), 11 Ks, four total bases.
Hernandez is just 2-for-14 with six strikeouts vs. Cease. I wouldn’t pay this kind of juice in a straight wager, but the pick makes sense as part of this SGP.
Dodgers vs. Padres predictions made at 3:05 p.m. ET on 06/10/2025.
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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.