The Los Angeles Dodgers can punch their ticket to the World Series with a road win at Citi Field on Friday night.
The pregame narrative: I like the Dodgers to end the New York Mets’ season as part of a three-leg parlay that features a play on the game total and a Kike Hernandez prop.
Check out my Dodgers vs. Mets predictions for Game 5 of the NLCS on Oct. 18.
Dodgers vs. Mets SGP predictions
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Parlay: Dodgers moneyline + Over 7.5 runs + Hernandez over 0.5 hits (+325)
Dodgers moneyline (-139): The Dodgers have finally shown up in the postseason.
And New York looks outmatched. It is down 3-1 and at a -21 run differential this series. L.A. has scored eight or more runs in all three wins.
David Peterson gets the crucial start for the Mets and he has been used exclusively as a reliever this postseason, working 8.2 innings over four appearances.
The Dodgers lineup has had success against the lefty with a .343 average in 67 career at-bats.
Peterson worked 2.1 innings in Game 1, allowing three runs on four hits in a 9-0 Dodgers win. Jack Flaherty got the start that game, pitching a seven-inning masterclass, and goes again tonight.
SGP legs
Over 7.5 runs (-103): Los Angeles has given up nine runs over the last six games so it’s hard to fathom that five of the games went over this total.
That is truly a testament to how great the Dodgers have been and it also makes it easy to justify taking the over when they play.
In those six games, Shohei Ohtani and Co. scored a ridiculous 40 runs.
If the Mets can contribute any sort of offence, I feel good about this game going over the total. Every game in this series has despite New York’s low-scoring efforts.
Hernandez over 0.5 hits (-129): Hernandez had another two hits last night and the playoff performer has a great matchup here.
The Dodgers’ utility man has four hits and a .571 average in seven career at-bats against Peterson.
Hernandez has nine hits in five postseason starts (.375 BA), recording multiple hits four different times.
All signs point to another good night for Hernandez.
Picks made at 9:15 a.m. on 10/18/24.
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Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.