The Arizona Diamondbacks and Los Angeles Dodgers close out Monday’s MLB slate.
The pregame narrative: Los Angeles (29-18) paces the deep NL West and can create more separation between itself and fourth-place Arizona (25-22) during this three-game series. The Dodgers are slight home favourites with Landon Knack pitching opposite Brandon Pfaadt.
Check out my Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers prop bets, featuring Corbin Carroll and Freddie Freeman.
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers prop bets
Best Bet: Carroll over 1.5 bases (-106)
Three of the top five players on the NL MVP odds board are playing in this series, including Carroll (+550), who is sandwiched between Shohei Ohtani (+110) and Freeman (+1,200).
Arizona’s right fielder has returned to form after a sophomore slump, posting a stellar .279/.352/.589 slash line with equally impressive batted-ball metrics.
- 98th percentile xSLG (.620)
- 95th percentile barrel rate (17.4%)
- 94th percentile hard-hit rate (54.9%)
Carroll is crushing the ball this season, ranking fifth in home runs (14) and third in total bases (116), and there is plenty of evidence pointing to another strong outing tonight.
Knack has been thrust into a starting role for the Dodgers due to injuries, and the second-year righty has gotten lit up to the tune of a 6.61 ERA across four starts:
- April 9 vs. Nationals: 2.1 IP, 5 H, 5 ER
- April 15 vs. Rockies: 4.1 IP, 4 H, 2 ER
- May 7 vs. Marlins: 5.0 IP, 4 H, 0 ER
- May 13 vs. Athletics: 4.2 IP, 7 H, 5 ER
Outside of a strong outing against the Marlins, Knack has been hit hard by three pretty bad teams.
The left-batting Carroll wields a platoon advantage in this matchup, and I expect him to deliver.
Key Stat: Carroll’s SLG vs. RHP (.662) is notably higher than his SLG vs. LHP (.438).
Best MLB picks
Freeman to record an RBI (+137): This seems like tremendous value given the way Freeman is playing and where he’s situated in L.A.’s lineup.
The 35-year-old is batting a scorching .371 this season, typically hitting third behind Ohtani and Mookie Betts when the Dodgers face RHPs.
Freeman ranks 10th in RBI (34) and is batting .412 with RISP (ninth-best in MLB).
Pfaadt has had Ohtani’s number (2-for-9, three Ks), but I still expect the generational hitter to find his way on base. Betts, meanwhile, has gotten aboard in 7-of-16 at-bats against the righty (.437 OBP).
Arizona’s starter has also been unspectacular this season. Pfaadt’s 5.53 xERA is much higher than his 3.73 standard ERA, indicating some regression is on the horizon.
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers prop bets made at 10:30 a.m. ET on 05/19/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.