A long, disappointing road trip finally comes to an end for the Los Angeles Clippers, who face the Phoenix Suns in the desert on Tuesday night.
The pregame narrative: The Suns have struggled quite a bit recently, too, but I still like the home team with a few extra points. This +310 SGP also includes prop bets on Kawhi Leonard and Devin Booker.
Check out my Clippers vs. Suns SGP for March 4.
Clippers vs. Suns predictions
Parlay: Suns +5.5 | Leonard 2+ threes | Booker 3+ threes (+310)
Suns +5.5 (-167): Phoenix and L.A. are both down in the dumps right now, and I’m not interested in backing either of them to win outright.
But this is a palatable price to back the home team, especially considering how nightmarish the Clippers’ extended road trip has been.
- LAC is 2-5 SU and 0-7 ATS in its past seven games (all on the road).
- The Clippers haven’t played at home since Feb. 12.
- Norman Powell, who missed the final five games in February, re-injured himself last time out and will miss Tuesday’s game.
Phoenix is 3-0 against L.A. this season, and a season sweep is definitely in play. But the Suns are just 2-8 in their past 10 games, so I’d rather bank some points than make an outright prediction.
SGP legs
Leonard 2+ threes (-265): The Suns are a plus matchup for opposing 3-point shooters, and with Powell back on the sidelines, I expect Leonard to take advantage.
Over its past 15 games, Phoenix has allowed the second-most 3s per game (15.3) on the fourth-most attempts (41.7).
Leonard is a career 39.1% shooter from deep — and he’s right on his career average this season — so efficiency isn’t the issue.
His 3-point shot volume has been a bit sporadic in the past, but it’s sitting in a nice spot over his past five games:
- 3.0 makes
- 6.8 attempts
- 44.1 3PT%
- 2+ threes in 5 of 5 games
Powell missed four of those games. I don’t view that as a coincidence.
Booker 3+ threes (-106): Although this is easily the riskiest leg of the SGP, Booker has cashed this milestone with impressive regularity in recent weeks.
- Dating back to Jan. 22, Booker has 3+ threes in 11 of 18 games.
- He has attempted 7+ threes in 14 of those matchups, which is a solid floor in terms of shot volume.
Bradley Beal is questionable for tonight, and if he’s absent, Booker should have even more 3-point opportunities. But either way, I know this is a matchup he can thrive in.
Booker has cashed this milestone in four straight matchups against the Clippers, shooting 19-for-36 from deep in that span.
Picks made at 10:40 a.m. ET 03/04/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.