Canadian Leylah Fernandez seeks her fourth WTA title in the Citi DC Open final on Sunday.
The latest: Fernandez won a monster three-set game against Elena Rybakina on Saturday, and is a slight underdog against Anna Kalinskaya. On the men’s side, Alex de Minaur is favoured over Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, who seeks his first ATP title.
Check out my top Citi Open predictions for the July 27 finals.
Citi predictions: Men’s final
Best bet: de Minaur -3.5 games (-120)
Davidovich has been playing spectacular tennis lately, ousting a pair of big-name Americans en route to the final.
He took down Taylor Fritz, the ATP No. 4-ranked player, in a three-set thriller before bouncing Ben Shelton (No. 8 ranked) in straight sets.
It might seem like a simple play, then, to pick the Spaniard, who owns a 61.36% record on hard courts in his career.
But Davidovich is 0-3 in finals matches and has failed to cover a +3.5 game spread each time. Now he has to go up against a red-hot de Minaur, who has won nine career titles and will be under far less pressure.
- de Minaur is 16-5 on hard courts this year.
- His 67.79% career record on hard courts is his best of any outdoor surface.
- The 26-year-old has only dropped one set en route to making the final in Washington.
de Minaur has an elite return game that should help him break Davodovich’s often inconsistent first serve. I expect the Australian to nab title No. 10 on Sunday.
Key stat: de Minaur is 2-0 against Davidovich on hard courts, covering this spread in both matches.
Full Citi Open betting markets
Fernandez vs. Kalinskaya best bet
Kalinskaya to win (-154): Fatigue is bound to set in for Fernandez sooner rather than later.
The Canadian just played in a three-set match against Rybakina that lasted over three hours. Every set went to a tiebreak, and Fernandez gritted her way to a victory.
- Fernandez has played 7 hours, 49 minutes of tennis in the last three days, with a pair of three-set wins.
- In the same span, Kalinskaya had played 3 hours, 25 minutes, winning each of her matches in straight sets.
Fernandez has had to get through tougher competition to this point, but Kalinskaya will be fresh and is certainly feeling confident after smashing Emma Raducanu in the semis.
The Russian also plays her best tennis on hard courts, so I’m not expecting Fernandez to have a massive surface advantage.
Citi Open predictions made at 10:30 a.m. on 07/27/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.