The Los Angeles Chargers and Arizona Cardinals close out Week 7 on Monday Night Football.
The pregame narrative: The Chargers have a strong defence but that hasn’t deterred me from backing Kyler Murray and Michael Wilson in the prop markets. I’m also betting on Justin Herbert to go over his modest rushing yards prop.
Check out my Chargers vs. Cardinals prop picks for Monday Night Football on Oct. 21.
Chargers vs. Cardinals prop picks
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Best Bet: Herbert over 10.5 rushing yards (-113)
Herbert has failed to cash this prop in most of his games this season but has the right matchup to get back on track.
Josh Allen and Jayden Daniels unsurprisingly went over this line against the Cardinals, but so did Brock Purdy and Jordan Love, who are much more comparable to Herbert in terms of playstyle.
The Chargers’ quarterback is averaging just 1.4 yards per carry this season but that is an outlier compared to his 3.9 career YPC.
It’s not a huge number but that makes a difference for a low total like this.
Additionally, Herbert has a career average of 14.0 rushing yards per game
Key stat: Herbert had 38 rushing yards on four attempts in his only career start vs. Arizona.
Quick pick
Murray over 32.5 rushing yards (-115): Murray is a great dual-threat QB and should be effective on the ground against the Chargers’ defence.
Los Angeles allows the fifth-fewest yards per game (306.6) but they rank second last in QB hurry rate (3.2%). That means when Murray takes off, he should have time and space to rack up yards.
The two weeks he failed to reach this mark were against the Green Bay Packers (10.2% hurry rate) and Washington Commanders (9.5% hurry rate).
Through six weeks, Murray is averaging 43.5 rushing yards per game.
Wilson over 29.5 receiving yards (-130): This one is pretty simple.
Wilson carved a role out as Arizona’s WR2 this season. He’s topped this mark in four of his last five games with an average of 46.4 yards per game over that span.
The 24-year-old averages five targets per game and is leading all Cards’ receivers and tight ends in offensive snaps (294).
Although the Chargers’ defence is tough, they are 11th in passing yards allowed per game (192.0). Murray is in a good position to be successful and Wilson is a consistent target in this offence.
Picks made at 1:38 p.m. on 10/21/2024.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.