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NHL parlay picks Dec. 12: Back the Capitals and Avalanche to win in +379 ticket

The NHL schedule shows 13 games tonight which gives options for Thursday’s parlay.

The pregame narrative: The Washington Capitals continue to win games and I like them to get the victory tonight over the Colombus Blue Jackets. I’m adding the Colorado Avalanche on the moneyline and the under in the Edmonton Oilers and Minnesota Wild game to make up this +379 ticket.

Check out the full +379 NHL parlay picks for Dec. 12.

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Parlay: Capitals moneyline + Avalanche moneyline + Oilers/Wild under 6 goals (+379)

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Capitals moneyline (-156): Washington continues to turn heads and win hockey games at a high rate.

The Capitals have an 11-2 away record with a +25 goal differential.

Jet Greeves is expected to make his season debut for the Blue Jackets in net and that gives me all the more confidence in the Caps.

After all, Washington scores the most goals per game (4.04) while conceding the seventh-fewest (2.74).

On the other side, Columbus allows the second-most goals against per game (3.61).

The Capitals have just six losses on the season and I can’t see the Blue Jackets providing much of a threat, even at home.

Other SGP picks

Avalanche moneyline (-180): The Avalanche swapped goalies with the San Jose Sharks in a trade earlier this week.

MacKenzie Blackwood was acquired from the Sharks for Alexandar Georgiev and a few other assets.

Blackwood, despite playing for San Jose, is having a much better season than Georgiev.

The newest Avs’ netminder has a .909 SV% and 2.79 GAA in 19 appearances. In his final game with the Sharks, he stopped 51 of 54 shots in a 3-1 loss.

I would be shocked if Blackwood has to face 50-plus shots again this season and I personally love this move for the Avalanche.

Blackwood ranks 21st out of 82 qualified goalies in Money Puck’s goals saved above expected (3.9). For context, Georgiev ranks 80th (-9.4).

Colorado allows the fourth-most goals per game (3.50) on the fourth-least shots against (26.4). That combo screams poor goaltending.

With Blackwood between the pipes, I’m predicting a run for the Avs starting with a win over the Utah Hockey Club on Thursday.

Oilers/Wild under 6 goals (-110): These two teams are known for their offensive talents. However, I see this being a competitive low-scoring contest.

Minnesota allows the fewest goals per game (2.39) and Edmonton’s goaltender Stuart Skinner has been playing exceptionally well.

In his past five starts, he has a 4-1 record with a 1.41 GAA and .947 SV%. Skinner has conceded two or fewer goals in all five of those outings.

The Wild have been blessed by the services of Filip Gustavsson to start the year. He owns a 2.08 GAA and .927 SV% across 21 starts.

Both sides will be hungry for a win over another elite Western Conference opponent and I expect strong goaltending to be the key to this leg.

Picks made at 1:38 p.m. on 12/10/2024.

Maple Leafs picks vs. Ducks Dec. 12: Bet on Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner to fill stat sheet

The Toronto Maple Leafs host the Anaheim Ducks on Thursday.

The pregame narrative: The Ducks come into Toronto after playing (and losing) last night. I’m predicting Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner have productive games for the Leafs. For Anaheim, I’m taking Troy Terry to go over his shots prop.

Check out my Maple Leafs picks vs. Ducks for Dec. 12.

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Best Bet: Matthews over 4.5 shots (-118)

If there’s any matchup to back Matthews in, it’s this one.

Anaheim allows the most shots against per game (32.9).

The Ducks allowed 30+ shots in seven of the last nine games.

Meanwhile, Matthews ranks fourth in the NHL in shot attempts per game (7.8) and second in shots on goal per game (4.1).

Anaheim also played last night, losing 5-1 to the Ottawa Senators. I expect the Ducks to play extra sloppy with the added fatigue, leading to loads of offence for the Leafs.

Key stat: Matthews had five of the Leafs’ 17 shots in their 2-1 win over the New Jersey Devils on Tuesday.

Quick picks

Marner to record 2+ points (+110): I cannot keep myself away from this market — and for good reason.

Marner is on an absolute tear right now, scoring multiple points in 11 of his last 15 games.

He was held off the score sheet against the Devils, but that’s even more reason to jump in now against the inferior Ducks.

In Anaheim’s 5-1 loss yesterday, three different Ottawa Senators’ skaters had multiple points (Drake Batherson, Tim Stutzle and Brady Tkachuk).

If Toronto can replicate that offensive output, there’s no doubt in my mind that Marner will be at the centre of it.

Terry over 2.5 shots (-118): For my final pick, I want to back a player on the away side.

Terry is the Ducks’ best offensive player and it’s not close. He has 21 points in 27 games, which is eight more than the next-highest Ducks player (Frank Vatrano).

Terry leads Anaheim’s forwards in average time on ice (18:42), and he’s played more than 19 minutes in six straight (skating 20-plus minutes in four of six).

If anyone is going to will the Ducks to some offence against the Leafs, it’s Terry. He averages 2.6 shots on goal per game.

NHL picks made at 10:09 a.m. ET on 12/12/24.

Maple Leafs picks vs. Ducks Dec. 12: Bet on Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner to fill stat sheet

The Toronto Maple Leafs host the Anaheim Ducks on Thursday.

The pregame narrative: The Ducks come into Toronto after playing (and losing) last night. I’m predicting Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner have productive games for the Leafs. For Anaheim, I’m taking Troy Terry to record a point.

Check out my Maple Leafs picks vs. Ducks for Dec. 12.

Maple Leafs picks vs. Ducks

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Embed: #103208

Best Bet: Matthews over 4.5 shots (+105)

If there’s any matchup to back Matthews in, it’s this one.

Anaheim allows the most shots against per game (32.9).

The Ducks allowed 30+ shots in seven of the last nine games.

Meanwhile, Matthews ranks fourth in the NHL in shot attempts per game (7.8) and second in shots on goal per game (4.1).

Anaheim also played last night, losing 5-1 to the Ottawa Senators. I expect the Ducks to play extra sloppy with the added fatigue, leading to loads of offence for the Leafs.

Key stat: Matthews had five of the Leafs’ 17 shots in their 2-1 win over the New Jersey Devils on Tuesday.

Quick picks

Marner to record 2+ points (+120): I cannot keep myself away from this market — and for good reason.

Marner is on an absolute tear right now, scoring multiple points in 11 of his last 15 games.

He was held off the score sheet against the Devils, but that’s even more reason to jump in now against the inferior Ducks.

In Anaheim’s 5-1 loss yesterday, three different Ottawa Senators’ skaters had multiple points (Drake Batherson, Tim Stutzle and Brady Tkachuk).

If Toronto can replicate that offensive output, there’s no doubt in my mind that Marner will be at the centre of it.

Terry to record 1+ points (-106): For my final pick, I want to back a player on the away side.

Terry is the Ducks’ best offensive player and it’s not close. He has 21 points in 27 games, which is eight more than the next-highest Ducks player (Frank Vatrano).

Terry leads Anaheim’s forwards in average time on ice (18:42), and he’s played more than 19 minutes in six straight (skating 20-plus minutes in four of six).

If anyone is going to will the Ducks to some offence against the Leafs, it’s Terry. He has points in 17 of 27 games this season.

NHL picks made at 9:20 a.m. ET on 12/12/24.

NHL prop picks Dec. 11: Back Tkachuk, Power and Terry on Wednesday

There are just two NHL games on Wednesday but I still found three prop picks worth a look.

The pregame narrative: Brady Tkachuk hasn’t scored in three straight but has a great matchup to get back on track. I also like picks on Owen Power and Troy Terry.

Check out my NHL prop picks for Dec. 11.

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Best bet: Tkachuk to score 1+ goal (+105)

Ottawa’s captain was the subject of some false trade rumours that were shut down by the Ottawa Senators’ front office immediately — but Tkachuk may still be playing with some extra ferocity.

Not that he needs any motivation. Tkachuk fills up all portions of the stat sheet with 13 goals, 16 assists, 106 hits, 50 penalty minutes, and 117 shots this season.

I want to focus on that last stat. His 4.3 shots per game average leads the NHL ahead of names like Auston Matthews, David Pastrnak and Nathan MacKinnon.

That’s the production of someone who should be scoring 40-plus goals every season.

Tkachuks never had 40 but is right around the pace this season and can make up ground in a soft matchup with the Anaheim Ducks.

Anaheim allows the most shots per game (32.9)
Ottawa generates the third-most shots per game (30.9)

Unfortunately, the over on Tkachuk’s 3.5 shot prop is unplayable at its price (-200) but why not take him to score instead at plus money?

Key stat: Tkachuk has eight goals in 15 home games this season.

Quick pick

Power to record 1+ point (+110): This pick is based on opportunity.

Buffalo’s top defenceman Rasmus Dahlin landed on the injured reserve yesterday and will be out for the foreseeable future.

Dahlin has already missed three games and here’s Power’s stats in those games:

25:48 average time on ice
Cashed this wager twice

The huge uptick in ice time (22:26 season average) gives Power more opportunity to be involved in the offence.

Power has zero powerplay points on the season but has been skating with the first PP unit in Dahlin’s absence so that’s surely to change.

And it’s not like the New York Rangers are to be feared right now. They are 2-8 in their last 10, allowing 40 goals over that span.

Terry over 2.5 shots (-125): I was watching the Ducks’ last game against the Montreal Canadiens on Monday and Terry was clearly the most explosive player on Anaheim’s offence.

That’s not a hot take by any means as the winger’s 21 points are eight more than second-place Frank Vatrano (13).

However, it seems the Ducks’ coaching staff took longer to realize than most. Terry is averaging 18:41 of ice time per game but has played 21 or more in four of the past five games.

Over that time, Terry is 4-1 against the line with 24 shots (4.8 per game).

Picks made at 11:08 a.m. 12/11/2024

NHL prop picks Dec. 11: Back Tkachuk, Power and Terry on Wednesday

There are just two NHL games on Wednesday but I still found three prop picks worth a look.

The pregame narrative: Brady Tkachuk hasn’t scored in three straight but has a great matchup to get back on track. I also like picks on Owen Power and Troy Terry.

Check out my NHL prop picks for Dec. 11.

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Embed: #103095

Best bet: Tkachuk to score 1+ goal (+105)

Ottawa’s captain was the subject of some false trade rumours that were shut down by the Ottawa Senators’ front office immediately — but Tkachuk may still be playing with some extra ferocity.

Not that he needs any motivation. Tkachuk fills up all portions of the stat sheet with 13 goals, 16 assists, 106 hits, 50 penalty minutes, and 117 shots this season.

I want to focus on that last stat. His 4.3 shots per game average leads the NHL ahead of names like Auston Matthews, David Pastrnak and Nathan MacKinnon.

That’s the production of someone who should be scoring 40-plus goals every season.

Tkachuks never had 40 but is right around the pace this season and can make up ground in a soft matchup with the Anaheim Ducks.

Anaheim allows the most shots per game (32.9)
Ottawa generates the third-most shots per game (30.9)

Unfortunately, the over on Tkachuk’s 3.5 shot prop is unplayable at its price (-200) but why not take him to score instead at plus money?

Key stat: Tkachuk has eight goals in 15 home games this season.

Quick pick

Power to record 1+ point (+112): This pick is based on opportunity.

Buffalo’s top defenceman Rasmus Dahlin landed on the injured reserve yesterday and will be out for the foreseeable future.

Dahlin has already missed three games and here’s Power’s stats in those games:

25:48 average time on ice
Cashed this wager twice

The huge uptick in ice time (22:26 season average) gives Power more opportunity to be involved in the offence.

Power has zero powerplay points on the season but has been skating with the first PP unit in Dahlin’s absence so that’s surely to change.

And it’s not like the New York Rangers are to be feared right now. They are 2-8 in their last 10, allowing 40 goals over that span.

Terry over 2.5 shots (-106): I was watching the Ducks’ last game against the Montreal Canadiens on Monday and Terry was clearly the most explosive player on Anaheim’s offence.

That’s not a hot take by any means as the winger’s 21 points are eight more than second-place Frank Vatrano (13).

However, it seems the Ducks’ coaching staff took longer to realize than most. Terry is averaging 18:41 of ice time per game but has played 21 or more in four of the past five games.

Over that time, Terry is 4-1 against the line with 24 shots (4.8 per game).

Picks made at 9:31 a.m. 12/11/2024.

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NHL parlay picks Dec. 10: Fade offence in Flames vs. Predators, bet on Hurricanes to win

NHL fans are treated to an 11-game Tuesday slate.

The pregame narrative: The Carolina Hurricanes look like a strong pick at home, while a high-scoring affair awaits as the Pittsburgh Penguins host the Colorado Avalanche.

Check out the full +320 NHL parlay picks for Dec. 10.

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Parlay: Hurricanes moneyline + Avalanche/Penguins over 6.5 goals + Flames/Predators under 5.5 goals +320

Hurricanes moneyline (-550): This almost feels like a trap game until I look at each team’s home/away splits.

Carolina owns a 10-3-0 record at home with a +20 goal differential, while San Jose is a dreadful 4-9-4 on the road this season.

The Hurricanes have lost six out of their last nine games, but I like them to get back in the win column against an inexperienced Sharks roster.

Carolina is 7-3 straight up against San Jose in the last 10 meetings. It has won five straight against the Sharks, outscoring them 18-9 in that stretch.

Other picks

Avalanche/Penguins over 6.5 goals (-125): I consider this a smash spot, as it’s clear both squads have struggled mightily on the defensive side this season.

The Penguins rank last in goals allowed per game (3.72), while the Avalanche rank third-last (3.55).

Pittsburgh goalie Tristan Jarry is 45th in save percentage (.888) and 67th in goals against average (3.68) in the NHL among goalies.

Colorado is starting the untried backup Scott Wedgewood against the Penguins who have the fourth-highest expected goals per 60 (3.32), per Natural Stat Trick.

Pittsburgh has won two of its last three games but has allowed 10 goals in that span. I expect the floodgates to be opened on both sides in this matchup.

Flames/Predators under 5.5 goals (+100): Polar-opposite to the prior matchup, these two teams couldn’t buy a goal if they wanted to.

Nashville ranks last in the league in both goals per game (2.18) and shooting percentage (7.4%). Calgary scores 2.54 goals/game (29th) and has an 8.5% shooting percentage (31st).

The under on this total has hit six times in the last 10 meetings between these teams with the most recent contest being a 2-0 Calgary victory.

Both teams are top-10 in unders records in the NHL. The Preds own a league-best 20-8-0 unders record this season while the Flames hit the eighth-highest rate (16-11-1).

Picks made at 2:12 p.m. on 12/10/2024.

NHL parlay picks Dec. 10: Fade offence in Flames vs. Predators, bet on Hurricanes to win

NHL fans are treated to an 11-game Tuesday slate.

The pregame narrative: The Carolina Hurricanes look like a strong pick at home, while a high-scoring affair awaits as the Pittsburgh Penguins host the Colorado Avalanche.

Check out the full +338 NHL parlay picks for Dec. 10.

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Parlay: Hurricanes moneyline + Avalanche/Penguins over 6.5 goals + Flames/Predators under 5.5 goals +338

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Hurricanes moneyline (-480): This almost feels like a trap game until I look at each team’s home/away splits.

Carolina owns a 10-3-0 record at home with a +20 goal differential, while San Jose is a dreadful 4-9-4 on the road this season.

The Hurricanes have lost six out of their last nine games, but I like them to get back in the win column against an inexperienced Sharks roster.

Carolina is 7-3 straight up against San Jose in the last 10 meetings. It has won five straight against the Sharks, outscoring them 18-9 in that stretch.

Other picks

Avalanche/Penguins over 6.5 goals (-124): I consider this a smash spot, as it’s clear both squads have struggled mightily on the defensive side this season.