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Warriors vs. Suns SGP predictions April 8: Back Golden State to cover, Podziemski to light it up

The Golden State Warriors look to keep rolling on Tuesday night in a road matchup against the Phoenix Suns.

The pregame narrative: Phoenix is in a season-ending spiral, which means Golden State should take care of business in this one. My +430 SGP also includes scoring props for Devin Booker and Brandin Podziemski.

Check out my Warriors vs. Suns SGP predictions for April 8.

Warriors vs. Suns predictions

Parlay: Warriors -6.5 | Booker 25+ points | Podziemski over 2.5 threes (+430)

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Warriors -6.5 (-157): The Warriors are 0-3 against this number when facing the Suns this year, but context matters.

Kevin Durant, who’s out tonight, suited up for Phoenix in each of those matchups. And these teams haven’t met since January.

Right now, the Warriors find themselves in a five-team logjam for the Nos. 4-8 seeds in the Western Conference. Every game matters.

As for the Suns … well, they’re 2.5 games out of the final play-in spot and are probably eyeing the best Cancun packages on Expedia.

Golden State is 4-1-1 ATS in its past six games, covering a -6.5 spread against the Grizzlies, Lakers and Nuggets in that span.

Phoenix has lost six straight games by 10+ points.

NBA SGP legs

Booker 25+ points (-265): For as down bad as the Suns are right now, this should be a smash for their best active player.

Booker has crested the 35-point mark in all three games this month and is averaging 25.9 PPG on the season.

He’s also known to tear up the Warriors, scoring 25-plus points in all nine matchups since the start of the 2022-23 season.

With Durant sidelined, there should be no shortage of shot attempts coming from Booker. He’s averaging 28.6 PPG in 16 games without Durant this season.

Podziemski over 2.5 threes (+123): I initially had Podziemski for two-plus 3s in this SGP, which puts the odds at +260 for the ticket.

Depending on your risk appetite, though, I think bumping up that milestone is worth considering.

Since returning from a back injury, Podziemski has been doing a pretty decent Steph Curry impression:

10 games
3+ threes in 7 of 10
3.8 3PM
7.4 3PA

That all adds up to a 50.7% 3-point percentage, and I’m eager to ride the wave.

Phoenix allows the eighth-most threes per game (14.2) and the fourth-highest 3PT% (36.9).

Warriors vs. Suns predictions made at 9:55 a.m. ET 04/08/2025.

Best NBA prop bets April 7: Back LaVine to stay hot on Monday

There are only two games on tap in the NBA on Monday, but I’ve got a pick for both of them.

The pregame narrative: Zach LaVine is starting to heat up for the Sacramento Kings and I like the value on his 3s prop. Elsewhere, expect Quentin Grimes to continue carrying the Philadelphia 76ers’ offence.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for April 7.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: LaVine over 2.5 threes (-104)

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LaVine is finding his shooting touch for his new team. He’s coming off an impressive 7-for-11 three-point performance in an upset win over the East-leading Cleveland Cavaliers.

When at his best, he’s one of the top volume shooters in the NBA.

LaVine is averaging 3.1 three-point makes on 7.1 attempts per game this season (43.9%). That percentage ranks second in the league.

He’s hit four or more 3s in three of the past four games. LaVine always takes his fair share of shots, and he’s currently on a heater.

This game has a high projected point total (230.5), equalling more potential shots for the Kings’ sharpshooting guard.

Key stat: LaVine played against the Detroit Pistons once this season when he was still a member of the Chicago Bulls. He dropped 25 points on 7-of-14 from 3-point range.

Best NBA picks

Grimes over 22.5 points (-120): Grimes is far and away the best player on the injury-riddled 76ers right now.

Since the start of March, Grimes has been averaging 26.5 points on 50.0% from the field (40.6% from 3).
He’s 13-4 against this number during that time.

Additionally, Grimes has attempted 14-plus shots in 12 straight games.

He fell short on this mark on March 29 vs. Miami, finishing with 15 points on a below-average shooting performance (6-for-14).

I believe Grimes can reach this total this time around with a few more attempts and better efficiency. Enough volume should be available for a Sixers team that lacks offensive options.

NBA prop picks made at 1:40 p.m. ET on 04/07/2025.

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Best NBA prop bets April 7: Back LaVine to stay hot, Grimes to be productive

There are only two games on tap in the NBA on Monday, but I’ve got a pick for both of them.

The pregame narrative: Zach LaVine is starting to heat up for the Sacramento Kings and I like the value on his 3s prop. Elsewhere, expect Quentin Grimes to continue carrying the Philadelphia 76ers’ offence.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for April 7.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: LaVine over 2.5 threes (-125)

LaVine is finding his shooting touch for his new team. He’s coming off an impressive 7-for-11 three-point performance in an upset win over the East-leading Cleveland Cavaliers.

When at his best, he’s one of the top volume shooters in the NBA.

LaVine is averaging 3.1 three-point makes on 7.1 attempts per game this season (43.9%). That percentage ranks second in the league.

He’s hit four or more 3s in three of the past four games. LaVine always takes his fair share of shots, and he’s currently on a heater.

This game has a high projected point total (230.5), equalling more potential shots for the Kings’ sharpshooting guard.

Key stat: LaVine played against the Detroit Pistons once this season when he was still a member of the Chicago Bulls. He dropped 25 points on 7-of-14 from 3-point range.

Best NBA picks

Grimes over 23.5 points (-110): Grimes is far and away the best player on the injury-riddled 76ers right now.

Since the start of March, Grimes has been averaging 26.5 points on 50.0% from the field (40.6% from 3).

He’s 13-4 against this number during that time.

Additionally, Grimes has attempted 14-plus shots in 12 straight games.

He fell short on this mark on March 29 vs. Miami, finishing with 15 points on a below-average shooting performance (6-for-14).

I believe Grimes can reach this total this time around with a few more attempts and better efficiency. Enough volume should be available for a Sixers team that lacks offensive options.

NBA prop picks made at 1:40 p.m. ET on 04/07/2025.

Best NBA prop bets April 6: Picks on Devin Booker, Evan Mobley and Myles Turner

A pick on Devin Booker headlines Sunday’s batch of NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: The shooting guard is poised for a big night in the absence of his superstar teammate. Evan Mobley and Myles Turner are my other top prop targets for today’s slate.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for April 6.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Booker over 29.5 points (-118)

Booker, unsurprisingly, has produced more without Kevin Durant in the lineup this season.

With Durant: 25.1 PPG
Without Durant: 27.9 PPG

That’s almost a three-point uptick. He’ll be without his star teammate on Sunday against the New York Knicks.

New York is a strong opponent, but not because of its defence. The Knicks rank near the middle of the pack with a 115.3 defensive rating.

The Phoenix Suns have been without Durant for the past two games. Booker took a total of 51 shot attempts in those matchups.

He scored 39 and 37 points, easily clearing today’s total both times.

Key stat: Booker has averaged 36.8 points in his last four games without KD.

Best NBA picks

Mobley over 17.5 points (-125): This is a great matchup for one of this season’s breakout scorers.

2024: 15.7 PPG
2025: 18.6 PPG

Mobley faces the Sacramento Kings, who struggle to contain power forwards. The Kings allow the second-most points to the position (24.53), per Fantasy Pros.

In a meeting with the Kings in March, Mobley had 31 points on 13-of-18 shooting.

He looks primed for a big performance against Sacramento, who lacks a formidable interior defender.

Turner over 23.5 points/rebounds (-108): This game has a very high projected total (241 points), so the offensive potential is high for any player.

Not only that, but a high-event game should create more rebounding opportunities as well.

That brings me to Turner, who’s been taking on a larger offensive role lately.

Since the all-star break, the 6-foot-11 centre is averaging 16.6 points and 6.7 rebounds while shooting 49.8% from the field (40.7% from 3-point range).

If this game finishes anywhere near its projected total, Turner should see enough volume in terms of scoring and rebounding to be within range of this prop.

NBA prop picks made at 3:04 p.m. ET on 04/06/2025.

Best NBA prop bets April 6: Picks on Devin Booker, Evan Mobley and Myles Turner

A pick on Devin Booker headlines Sunday’s batch of NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: The shooting guard is poised for a big night in the absence of his superstar teammate. Evan Mobley and Myles Turner are my other top prop targets for today’s slate.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for April 6.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Booker over 27.5 points (-117)

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Booker, unsurprisingly, has produced more without Kevin Durant in the lineup this season.

With Durant: 25.1 PPG
Without Durant: 27.9 PPG

That’s almost a three-point uptick. He’ll be without his star teammate on Sunday against the New York Knicks.

New York is a strong opponent, but not because of its defence. The Knicks rank near the middle of the pack with a 115.3 defensive rating.

The Phoenix Suns have been without Durant for the past two games. Booker took a total of 51 shot attempts in those matchups.

He scored 39 and 37 points, easily clearing today’s total both times.

Key stat: Booker has averaged 36.8 points in his last four games without KD.

Best NBA picks

Mobley over 18.5 points (-110): This is a great matchup for one of this season’s breakout scorers.

2024: 15.7 PPG
2025: 18.6 PPG

Mobley faces the Sacramento Kings, who struggle to contain power forwards. The Kings allow the second-most points to the position (24.53), per Fantasy Pros.

In a meeting with the Kings in March, Mobley had 31 points on 13-of-18 shooting.

He looks primed for a big performance against Sacramento, who lacks a formidable interior defender.

Turner over 23.5 points/rebounds (-114): This game has a very high projected total (241 points), so the offensive potential is high for any player.

Not only that, but a high-event game should create more rebounding opportunities as well.

That brings me to Turner, who’s been taking on a larger offensive role lately.

Since the all-star break, the 6-foot-11 centre is averaging 16.6 points and 6.7 rebounds while shooting 49.8% from the field (40.7% from 3-point range).

If this game finishes anywhere near its projected total, Turner should see enough volume in terms of scoring and rebounding to be within range of this prop.

NBA prop picks made at 1:04 p.m. ET on 04/06/2025.

Lakers vs. Thunder SGP predictions April 6: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander should shine on Sunday

The star power will be out when the Los Angeles Lakers visit the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday.

The pregame narrative: The Lakers aren’t the best road team, but I feel they can cover an alternate spread with a healthy lineup. This SGP also includes picks on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Rui Hachimura.

Check out my Lakers vs. Thunder SGP predictions for April 6.

Lakers vs. Thunder predictions

Parlay: Lakers +12.5 | Gilgeous-Alexander over 30.5 points | Hachimura over 1.5 threes (+340)

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Lakers +12.5 (-205): Since acquiring Luka Doncic before the trade deadline, the Lakers are 10-1 against this spread on the road.

I think that’s more important than their overall road record (17-20).

Doncic and LeBron James are enough to keep a team in any game, and the uptick in production from Austin Reaves adds another elite scorer to the mix.

L.A. has also spent a lot time dealing with different injuries across the rotation. James and Hachimura have both missed action recently but should be in the rotation on Sunday.

Of course, James has to have his nightly game-time decision label, but he’s reported as probable to play through his groin injury once again.

Fading the Thunder is a dangerous game to play. I don’t see this as a fade, however, as this simply requires the Lakers to be competitive.

NBA SGP legs

Gilgeous-Alexander over 30.5 points (-124): The MVP frontrunner had an off night against the Houston Rockets, scoring 22 points on 10-of-22 shooting.

As crazy as it sounds, yes, that was an off night.

Gilgeous-Alexander is having a special scoring season. He’s averaging a league-high 32.6 points on incredible efficiencies (51.9 FG%, 37.1 3PT%).

The Canadian’s doing this while leading the team with the best record in the NBA.

And believe it or not, he’s taken his play to another level in the second half of the season. Take a look at his averages since the all-star break:

33.1 PPG
51.0 FG%
40.2 3PT%
90.6 FT%
14-7 against this line

SGA had 36 points against the Lakers in their only meeting this season.

Hachimura over 1.5 threes (-148): Hachimura is a perfect fit alongside Doncic in the starting rotation.

He’s an elite catch-and-shoot guy, canning 41.4% of his triples this season.

Hachimura missed most of March with an injury and is building his way back to a full workload. Recent 3-point results have been encouraging, though.

March 26 vs. Pacers: 4-of-4
March 29 vs. Grizzlies: 3-of-5
March 31 vs. Rockets: 1-of-6
April 3 vs. Warriors: 3-of-6

His playing time is on the rise, which should lead to more 3-point attempts.

And when he’s sniping them at an above-40.0% clip, a couple of makes shouldn’t be too much to ask for.

Lakers vs. Thunder predictions made at 11:01 a.m. ET 04/06/2025.

Rockets vs. Warriors SGP predictions April 6: Take over for Curry in +340 wager

Two red-hot Western Conference teams meet on Sunday.

The pregame narrative: I’m staying away from picking a side with how the Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors are both playing right now. I do have a +340 SGP to share, though, with picks on Steph Curry, Amen Thompson and Alperen Sengun.

Check out my Rockets vs. Warriors SGP predictions for April 6.

Rockets vs. Warriors predictions

Parlay: Thompson 8+ rebounds | Sengun under 19.5 points | Curry 20+ points (+340)

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Thompson 8+ rebounds (-134): Back in December, Thompson was inserted into the starting lineup. He’s held his spot in the rotation due to his elite defence and athleticism.

With that comes the ability to rack up rebounds.

In the last 39 games, Thompson has averaged 9.3 rebounds and cleared this line 28 times.

Those are some big-man numbers for the 6-foot-7 forward. As a starter, he’s playing 36.3 minutes per game. That gives him ample opportunity to grab boards on a nightly basis.

In a Feb. 13 matchup against the Warriors, Thompson grabbed nine rebounds in 30 minutes.

NBA SGP legs

Sengun under 19.5 points (-117): Sengun is coming off a 31-point outburst against the Oklahoma City Thunder, but that type of performance hasn’t been commonplace.

Including that game, he’s still gone under this mark in six of the past eight.

Sengun’s season-long scoring average is just below this number (19.2 PPG), plus this is a tough assignment.

The Warriors have the seventh-best defensive rating (112.9) and are allowing 109.9 points per game since March 1 (sixth in the NBA).

In his last game against Golden State, Sengun scored just 10 points. The Rockets were held to 98 as a team.

Curry 20+ points (-295): This is by far my most confident pick, and the odds back it up.

But it brings the price from +205 to +340, so why not tack it on?

It always feels safe backing Curry to score, and he’s playing at an elevated level down the stretch. Take a look at his monstrous last three games:

36 points vs. Nuggets
37 points vs. Lakers
52 points vs. Grizzlies

This isn’t some sort of stat padding against bad teams. All of those squads are well above .500 and sit comfortably inside the postseason picture in the loaded West.

Houston is great on the defensive end, but that didn’t stop Curry in his most recent outing against the Rockets with his new-look Warriors.

In their February meeting, the superstar guard had 27 points on a below-average shooting performance (7-for-17).

Curry has scored 20-plus points in 22 of his past 26 games.

Rockets vs. Warriors predictions made at 9:25 a.m. ET 04/06/2025.

Best NBA prop bets April 5: Bet on Anthony Edwards, Giannis Antetokounmpo on Saturday

Anthony Edwards and Giannis Antetokounmpo headline Saturday’s NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: Edwards has a very attainable 3-point total against the Philadelphia 76ers while Giannis should keep his 30-point streak alive tonight against the Miami Heat. I’m also fading Memphis’ Zach Edey on the glass.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for April 5.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Edwards 3.5 threes (-118)

I’ve backed Edwards to clear his 3-point total in consecutive outings, and he’s come through.

The only thing that would give me pause about doing it again is Edwards playing reduced minutes in a blowout, with the Timberwolves being 15-point road favourites on Saturday.

But if Minnesota plans on running Philadelphia out of its building, it will likely be because Ant-Man has a game.

Edwards has been one of the league’s best 3-point shooters this season, ranking second in makes (4.0) and attempts (10.1) per game. And look what he’s done from deep in his last four games:

April 3 vs. Brooklyn: 5-for-10
April 1 vs. Denver: 5-for-15
March 30 vs. Detroit: 4-for-10
March 28 vs. Phoenix: 4-for-10

The 76ers are trotting out a disgustingly bad lineup in a blatant tank job to get yet another No. 1 pick. So unsurprisingly, their defence — particularly beyond the arc — has been horrible.

Key stat: Philadelphia’s opponents are shooting 38.0% from deep, the second-highest mark in the NBA.

Best NBA picks

Antetokounmpo over 29.5 points (-108): Giannis is likely going to finish third in MVP voting behind Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Nikola Jokic and it’s not hard to see why.

The Greek Freak is averaging 30.4 points per game (second-best in the NBA) on 60.2% shooting and has been cooking down the home stretch.

He has scored 30-plus points in six straight games, shooting above 60.0% in each of those contests.

The Milwaukee Bucks take on a Miami Heat team which is above average defensively, though Giannis has been efficient against them in the past.

He’s 3-3 against this line in his last six games vs. Miami while shooting 58.5% from the field.

Edey under 10.5 rebounds (-125): Fading a 7-foot-4 centre on the glass is always scary, but this seems like the spot to do it.

Edey is going up against a Detroit Pistons team which ranks fourth in rebounding rate (51.3%) and allows the fourth-fewest rebounds to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros.

The Canadian has cleared this mark in consecutive games but was 1-9 against this mark in the 10 games before that. He’s also only averaging 7.9 rebounds as a starter this season, which is well below this number.

NBA prop picks made at 11:15 a.m. ET on 04/05/2025.

Best NBA prop bets April 5: Bet on Anthony Edwards, Giannis Antetokounmpo on Saturday

Anthony Edwards and Giannis Antetokounmpo headline Saturday’s NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: Edwards has a very attainable 3-point total against the Philadelphia 76ers while Giannis should keep his 30-point streak alive tonight against the Miami Heat. I’m also fading Memphis’ Zach Edey on the glass.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for April 5.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Edwards 3.5 threes (-121)

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I’ve backed Edwards to clear his 3-point total in consecutive outings, and he’s come through.

The only thing that would give me pause about doing it again is Edwards playing reduced minutes in a blowout, with the Timberwolves being 15-point road favourites on Saturday.

But if Minnesota plans on running Philadelphia out of its building, it will likely be because Ant-Man has a game.

Edwards has been one of the league’s best 3-point shooters this season, ranking second in makes (4.0) and attempts (10.1) per game. And look what he’s done from deep in his last four games:

April 3 vs. Brooklyn: 5-for-10
April 1 vs. Denver: 5-for-15
March 30 vs. Detroit: 4-for-10
March 28 vs. Phoenix: 4-for-10

The 76ers are trotting out a disgustingly bad lineup in a blatant tank job to get yet another No. 1 pick. So unsurprisingly, their defence — particularly beyond the arc — has been horrible.

Key stat: Philadelphia’s opponents are shooting 38.0% from deep, the second-highest mark in the NBA.

Best NBA picks

Antetokounmpo over 28.5 points (-124): Giannis is likely going to finish third in MVP voting behind Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Nikola Jokic and it’s not hard to see why.

The Greek Freak is averaging 30.4 points per game (second-best in the NBA) on 60.2% shooting and has been cooking down the home stretch.

He has scored 30-plus points in six straight games, shooting above 60.0% in each of those contests.

The Milwaukee Bucks take on a Miami Heat team which is above average defensively, though Giannis has been efficient against them in the past.

He’s 3-3 against this line in his last six games vs. Miami while shooting 58.5% from the field.

Edey under 9.5 rebounds (+102): Fading a 7-foot-4 centre on the glass is always scary, but this seems like the spot to do it.

Edey is going up against a Detroit Pistons team which ranks fourth in rebounding rate (51.3%) and allows the fourth-fewest rebounds to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros.

The Canadian has cleared this mark in consecutive games but was 1-9 against this mark in the 10 games before that. He’s also only averaging 7.9 rebounds as a starter this season, which is well below this number.

NBA prop picks made at 11:15 a.m. ET on 04/05/2025.

Mavericks vs. Clippers SGP predictions April 4: Bet on Anthony Davis, Norman Powell at +310

The Dallas Mavericks face the Los Angeles Clippers in one of Friday’s two NBA nightcaps.

The pregame narrative: Anthony Davis is coming off his best game as a Maverick, and I expect him to clear a modest point milestone — look for Los Angeles’ Norman Powell to do the same. Backing the Clippers to win at home rounds out this +310 wager.

Check out my Mavericks vs. Clippers SGP predictions for April 4.

Mavericks vs. Clippers predictions

Parlay: Clippers ML | Powell 20+ points | Davis 20+ points (+310)

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Clippers moneyline (-455): Los Angeles is a 10.5-point favourite as of Friday afternoon, so it would be a shock to see the team lose at home.

The Mavericks are still without Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II and Dante Exum, while the Clippers have a fully healthy starting five.

L.A. is 20-4 straight up as a home favourite this season. That ranks third behind the Oklahoma City Thunder (34-5) and Cleveland Cavaliers (33-5), who pace their respective conferences.

The Clippers have won those games by an average of 12.9 points (second-best in the NBA).

NBA SGP legs

Powell 20+ points (+116): Gone are the days of Powell being a walking 20-piece, though I think this is a good spot for him to have a night.

The shooting guard is still playing big minutes for the Clippers and has cleared this mark in two of his last three games, scoring 34 against the defensively stout Cleveland Cavaliers just five days ago.

Powell is averaging a career-best 22.4 PPG on clinical 48.9/42.3/81.5 shooting splits.

He has already torched the Mavericks this year for 28 and 29 points. That happened in consecutive road games back in December.

Dallas allows the 11th-most PPG to shooting guards over the last 30 days, according to Fantasy Pros.

Davis 20+ points (-167): Mavericks fans haven’t had much to cheer about over the last few months, but Davis reminded them on Wednesday that he’s still an elite player:

30 minutes
34 points (14-of-23 shooting)
15 rebounds

That was AD’s largest workload since returning from a lengthy injury hiatus on March 24.

He’s officially listed as questionable tonight, which is something to keep an eye on, though I have to believe he’ll suit up.

Davis has scored 20-plus points in four of his last five games against the Clippers (all with the Los Angeles Lakers).

Mavericks vs. Clippers predictions made at 12:25 p.m. ET 04/04/2025.