The Phoenix Suns look to build on another successful homestand with Monday night’s showdown against the Milwaukee Bucks.
The pregame narrative: Devin Booker and Giannis Antetokounmpo both factor into this +295 SGP. I’m also taking Phoenix to win as a modest home favourite.
Check out my Bucks vs. Suns SGP predictions for March 24.
Bucks vs. Suns predictions
Parlay: Suns ML | Giannis 30+ points | Booker 6+ assists (+295)
Suns moneyline (-143): Staring down the grim reality of a battle to reach the play-in round, the Suns authored their best win of the season on Friday.
As 8.5-point home underdogs, the Suns beat the Eastern Conference-leading Cleveland Cavaliers, 123-112.
That marked Phoenix’s fifth straight home win — a stretch that includes an underdog victory over the Los Angeles Clippers.
Phoenix is 22-13 at home this season, compared to just 12-24 on the road. Milwaukee also has a sub-.500 road record (16-18), so location matters quite a bit in this matchup.
The Bucks are 14-19-1 ATS on the road, per Team Rankings.
NBA SGP legs
Giannis 30+ points (-175): One contributing factor for me backing the Suns is the absence of Damian Lillard, who will miss a third consecutive game due to a calf injury.
Giannis is a 30-point threat even when Lillard is on the floor. But without his co-star, the Greek Freak should have an even greater chance to fill the net.
- Giannis is averaging 30.2 PPG this year (third straight year averaging 30+ points).
- In 15 games without Lillard since the start of last season, Giannis has averaged 31.5 PPG and cashed this bet eight times.
Many people will remember Giannis for his 50 points in an NBA Finals-clinching masterpiece against Phoenix in 2021 (and later, the 50 Chick-fil-A nuggets he ordered live on Instagram).
He also cashed this milestone in both matchups against the Suns in the two previous seasons.
Booker 6+ assists (-275): Running point for the Suns, Booker has been very reliable against this milestone in recent weeks.
- 8.0 assists/game in past 18 games
- 6+ assists in 16 of 18
- 7+ assists in 12 of 18
Booker is a combo guard, but he took over primary point guard duties around the beginning of the month when Tyus Jones slid into a bench role.
So far in March, Booker has generated an average of 15.6 potential assists (i.e., passes that lead directly to a shot), per NBA.com’s tracking data. If that keeps up, the assists will follow.
Bucks vs. Suns predictions made at 12:30 p.m. ET 03/24/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.