The Milwaukee Brewers are must-see TV right now — especially with Jacob Misiorowski on the mound.
The pregame narrative: Misiorowski was a stunning all-star selection after just five MLB starts, but he does have some truly electric stuff. Oh, and his Brewers have won 11 games in a row to claim the league’s top record. Will the streak stay alive on Tuesday against the Seattle Mariners?
Check out my Brewers vs. Mariners predictions, featuring Misiorowski and Christian Yelich.
Brewers vs. Mariners predictions
Parlay: Misiorowski over 6.5 Ks | Yelich over 0.5 hits | Brewers +1.5 (+310)
Misiorowski over 6.5 strikeouts (+112): Less than five weeks after his debut, Misiorowski was on the mound at the MLB All-Star Game. We’ve never seen anything like that before.
But there’s a reason Misiorowski is rising quickly in the eyes of fans and his peers: He’s a highly-touted prospect who throws absolute gas.
Through five MLB starts, Misiorowski has thrown 89 pitches at 100 mph or above, per Baseball Savant. That’s already seventh-most in the league.
You don’t always need the hard stuff to rack up strikeouts, but it doesn’t hurt. Coming off a 12-strikeout performance before the Midsummer Classic, Misiorowski has cashed this bet in three of his past four.
The Mariners have never faced him before, which should put the advantage in the hands of Misiorowski.
Also, Seattle has the ninth-highest K rate in the majors this year (22.8%).
MLB SGP legs
Yelich over 0.5 hits (-165): This is more juice than I’d want to pay for a straight wager, but I actually think this is a well-priced prop.
Yelich has been playing his best baseball since June 15, batting .333 with a .953 OPS.
He has at least one hit in 24 of 27 games in that span.
Seattle’s Logan Gilbert is tough on most hitters, but Yelich has mashed some of his pitches in the past. In this head-to-head matchup, the former NL MVP is 3-for-6 with two home runs.
Also, the left-hitting Yelich will have a platoon advantage tonight. He’s posted a .282 BA against RHPs this season.
Brewers +1.5 (-240): There are simply too many things going Milwaukee’s way right now. I have to back the Brew Crew on the run line.
- Over the past 30 days, Milwaukee ranks sixth in wRC+ (118) and second in ERA (3.04).
- The Brewers have won 11 games in a row … and seven of those wins came by multiple runs.
- Milwaukee is 37-17 ATS (68.5%) as run line underdogs. Seattle, meanwhile, is just 20-45 ATS (30.8%) as run line favourites.
Gilbert is a nasty pitcher, but his results have been largely pedestrian since he returned from the injured list in mid-June.
He has a 4.40 ERA over his past six outings, and the Mariners are 2-4 vs. a -1.5 spread.
With Misiorowski on the mound, the Brewers are 4-1 straight up.
Brewers vs. Mariners predictions made at 1:30 p.m. ET on 07/22/2025.
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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.