The Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles meet for a doubleheader on Tuesday at Camden Yards.
The pregame narrative: The AL-best Blue Jays dropped the series opener last night, and turn to Easton Lucas in the first of two games today. Baltimore counters with Charlie Morton, who has gotten hit hard this season and coming out of the all-star break.
Check out my Blue Jays best bets vs. the Orioles for July 29, featuring props on Bo Bichette and Adley Rutschman.
Blue Jays best bets vs. Orioles
Best bet: Bichette over 1.5 bases (-110)
We’ve got a red-hot hitter in Bichette and an ice-cold pitcher in Morton … what’s not to like?
Bichette has been raking since being moved to the cleanup spot last month, posting a .384/.423/.616 slash line in 78 plate appearances.
For reference, he was hitting .270/.310/.417 as the leadoff man this year in a 378 PA sample.
The shortstop has cleared this line in four straight games and is an absurd 9-for-10 in his last two games. He should stay scorching against Morton.
- Baltimore’s 41-year-old righty is well past his prime and owns a 5.48 ERA and 1.54 WHIP.
- Morton’s 21st percentile walk rate isn’t ideal for a total bases prop, but Bichette only walks in 5.1% of his at-bats (11th percentile).
- Bichette’s eighth-percentile chase rate means he’s constantly looking to hit.
Morton throws a curveball 39% of the time and a 4-seamer 30% of the time. Against right-handed pitching, Bichette is batting .357 against curveballs and .309 against 4-seamers.
Key stat: Bichette is 8-1 against this line in his last nine games.
Quick pick
Rutschman over 0.5 RBI (+143): Rutschman was raking in June before getting injured, posting a .309/.381/.509 slash line with five RBI in 15 games.
The all-star catcher returned from a month-long absence on Monday and didn’t miss a beat. He went 3-for-5 with two doubles and two RBI in Baltimore’s 11-4 win.
Rutschman is slated to hit fifth for the Orioles in Game 1, which should be a great spot for run production against Lucas.
- Lucas has a career 7.65 ERA and a 5.82 ERA across five appearances with Toronto this year.
- The lefty hasn’t fared well with the Triple-A Buffalo Bisons this year, either, posting a 5.35 ERA in 33.2 IP.
Rutschman is batting .288 against lefties this year, and slashed .329/.390/.512 against southpaws in 2024.
Blue Jays best bets made at 9:33 a.m. ET on 07/29/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.