The Buffalo Bills head south for a visit with the Los Angeles Rams.
The pregame narrative: The Bills are more vulnerable on the road than at home, so I’m backing the Rams to keep this game within a touchdown. Player props on Matthew Stafford and James Cook round out this +480 wager.
Check out my Bills vs. Rams same-game parlay predictions for Week 14 below.
Bills vs. Rams same-game parlay predictions
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Parlay: Rams +7.5 + Stafford over 248.5 passing yards + Cook over 63.5 rushing yards (+480)
Rams +7.5 (-210): The standard line for this game is +3.5, but this teased-up spread gives us some valuable cushion.
Buffalo is a flawless 6-0 at Highmark Stadium but a much more pedestrian 4-2 on the road. Although I do think the Bills will win this game, I also think it will come down to the wire.
L.A. started 1-3 at home last season but started turning things around in late November to finish the season on a 4-0 run there.
The Rams are 3-3 at home, but with Stafford and his receivers at full health, I wouldn’t be surprised if Los Angeles went on a run and made the playoffs.
And as good as the Bills have been this season, they’ve only played five games against teams that are currently .500 or better.
They have a 3-2 record in those games, covering this line just twice (against the Seahawks and Chiefs).
Other parlay picks
Stafford over 248.5 passing yards (-114): If the Rams are going to keep pace on Sunday, Stafford will need to be dialled in.
The good news is he’s at home, where he’s been better lately:
- First three home games: 211.7 passing yards/game, 2 TDs, 2 INTs
- Past three home games: 271.6 passing yards/game, 6 TDs, 2 INTs
Having both Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp at full health has certainly helped the quarterback turn things around.
Stafford was 2-1 against this line in his three past home games, falling just shy against the Eagles with 243 yards.
With the Bills sure to score some points, Stafford will need to be a gunslinger on Sunday and I believe he can be successful.
Cook over 63.5 rushing yards (-117): Despite the Bills’ home success, Cook has been more productive on the road.
- Home: 75 carries, 313 yards (4.2 YPC)
- Away: 76 carries, 390 yards (5.1 YPC)
Cook cleared this line in four of the past five away games, and this is another great matchup for Buffalo’s lead back.
The Rams allow the fifth-most rushing yards per game (144.2). If the Bills lead a close game late, they could turn to Cook for a few extra carries to burn the clock.
Picks made at 1:29 p.m. on 12/07/24.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.