The Cincinnati Bengals and New York Giants wrap up Sunday’s NFL slate in the Meadowlands.
The pregame narrative: This is a must-win game for the Bengals, who have started the season off 1-4. I say Cincinnati gets the job done and am backing Tee Higgins and Theo Johnson to round out this +330 wager.
Check out my Bengals vs. Giants same-game parlay predictions for Week 6 below.
Bengals vs. Giants same-game parlay predictions
Full NFL Week 6 betting markets: Click here
Parlay: Bengals moneyline + Higgins over 49.5 receiving yards + Johnson over 24.5 receiving yards (+330)
Bengals moneyline (-190): Let’s get the ugly out of the way: Cincinnati’s defence is awful.
The Bengals have allowed the second-most points (29.0) and seventh-most yards (365.4) per game and rank 30th in RBSDM.com’s defensive EPA per play.
But the offence is buzzing and I think Cincinnati can out-score its problems. At least in this matchup.
The Giants have scored the sixth-fewest points per game and are missing rookie standout Malik Nabers yet again. New York did just beat the reeling Seattle Seahawks, but the team is still 2-3 on the season and has the third-worst record (32-57-1) since Daniel Jones joined in 2019.
Joe Burrow is playing at an MVP pace — minus the wins — and has the offence averaging a healthy 28.0 points per game.
The Bengals were a missed field goal away from beating the Baltimore Ravens last week. Surely they can take down the Giants.
Other parlay picks
Higgins over 49.5 receiving yards (-180): Ja’Marr Chase is Cincinnati’s top dog but Higgins might be the best WR2 in the NFL.
He missed the first two weeks of the season with an injury and had a mediocre debut but has been solid since. Higgins hauled in 6-of-10 targets for 60 yards against the Carolina Panthers and nine-of-14 targets for 83 yards against the Ravens.
The target volume is what really has my attention.
Higgins has a 28.85% target share this season (ninth in the NFL) and a 96.3% route participation, per Player Profiler. He’s going to be involved heavily tonight no matter the game script.
Johnson over 24.5 receiving yards (-115): Since we’re talking about target share, let’s circle back to the aforementioned Nabers.
Prior to his injury, the LSU product accounted for NFL highs in target share (38.2%) and total targets (52). He was out last week and Johnson’s productivity skyrocketed.
The tight end caught all five of his targets for 48 yards. Before that, he had a total of just three catches on eight targets.
Cincinnati is 29th in defensive EPA per dropback and has allowed just south of 50 yards per game to tight ends. Johnson, a Windsor, Ontario native, should eat.
Picks made at 11:13 a.m. on 10/13/24.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.