The Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs lock horns for America’s Game of the Week.
The pregame narrative: The Bengals were the biggest ATS favourites in Week 1 and lost. I’m backing the Chiefs to win and cover an alternate spread alongside two player props on Travis Kelce and Zack Moss
Check out our Bengals vs. Chiefs predictions for the matchup on Sept. 15.
Bengals vs. Chiefs SGP predictions
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Parlay: Chiefs -2.5 + Kelce over 44.5 receiving yards + Moss over 47.5 rushing yards (+425)
Chiefs -2.5 (-210): It’s impossible to trust the Bengals right now.
Joe Burrow has lost his last three opening-week games and has never won in Week 2. Starting seasons slow has become an epidemic in the Queen City and now the Bengals have to travel to Arrowhead to take on the defending champs.
Sure, Burrow is about the only AFC quarterback to have Patrick Mahomes’ number, but he looked really shaky last weekend.
The 2020 No. 1 pick threw for just 164 yards and took three sacks in a shocking loss to the New England Patriots.
Add in the fact that Tee Higgins is doubtful and I think it could be another tough day.
SGP legs
Kelce over 44.5 receiving yards (-190): Kelce took a back seat in KC’s opening night win but let’s not forget who we’re dealing with here.
The future Hall of Famer averaged 70.5 receiving yards per game across 19 regular season and playoff games in 2023. He cleared this line in 13 of those contests.
Kelce was held to just three catches for 16 yards against the Bengals on New Year’s Eve but he went over this mark in three straight against them before that.
Cincinnati allowed the second-most yards per game to tight ends last season, per Pro Football Reference.
Moss over 47.5 rushing yards (-118): Cincinnati’s game script wasn’t favourable for Moss last Sunday but the running back still turned nine carries into 44 yards and a score.
I think Kansas City will win and that should mean more passing than running for the Bengals, but Moss’ efficiency is encouraging nonetheless.
The former Buffalo Bill churned out a respectable 4.3 yards per carry last year and was at 4.9 against the Patriots. He also out-snapped backup RB Chase Brown 33-to-17 and had nine carries to Brown’s three.
The Chiefs’ run defence looked great against the Baltimore Ravens in the season opener but was actually a weak point during the 2023 campaign. KC was middle of the pack in rushing yards allowed per game and ranked 28th in defensive rush EPA per play.
This is a very manageable line for the team’s clear RB1.
Picks made at 11:20 a.m. on 09/13/24.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.