I think Caleb Williams’ lengthy interception-free streak will end on Monday Night Football when the Chicago Bears face the Minnesota Vikings.
The pregame narrative: Williams has been frugal but often ineffective with the football this year, and I think the Vikings can make him pay. On the other side, I like the over on Jordan Addison’s yardage total.
Check out my Bears vs. Vikings prop picks for Monday Night Football on Dec. 16.
Bears vs. Vikings prop picks
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Best Bet: Williams over 0.5 interceptions (-130)
In order for Williams to cash this prop bet, he’ll need to snap a historic streak. But I’m not fazed by that.
Yes, Williams is riding an interception-free streak that extends over his past 255 pass attempts. That’s the longest streak in history for an NFL rookie, as well as the longest streak in Bears history.
But a dearth of interceptions doesn’t mean Williams has been sharp under centre.
Williams is 23rd in passing yards per game (211.2) and passer rating (87.8). He’s also taken a league-high 56 sacks in just 13 games.
Minnesota’s defence thrives on pressure, evidenced by its fifth-ranked pressure rate (25.8%) and top-ranked blitz rate (38.7%).
The Vikings have also forced the most interceptions in the NFL this season (20). They’ve nabbed at least one INT in 11 of 13 games.
Williams had an uncharacteristically productive game at home against Minnesota at home in Week 12, but I don’t see a repeat on Monday — especially because he’ll be on the road.
Key stat: In the Bears’ six road games (all losses), Williams has four interceptions and a 78.0 passer rating.
Quick pick
Addison over 53.5 receiving yards (-114): I’m trying to look at Addison with a level head and not simply with amazement after last week’s 133-yard, three-touchdown performance
But either way, this is a very attainable line for the second-year receiver to clear.
Addison’s production over the past four weeks look like this:
- 8.8 targets/game
- 5.8 catches/game
- 54+ yards in 4/4 matchups
Addison has at least one reception of 20-plus yards in six consecutive games. He also has five catches of 40-plus yards over his past four games.
Combine big-play ability with steady target share, and the numbers speak for themselves.
Picks made at 1:10 p.m. ET 12/15/2024.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.