Staff Writer

NHL playoff anytime goalscorer picks April 28: Bet on Nathan MacKinnon, Brayden Point to score

I’ve got one goalscorer pick for both of Monday’s NHL playoff games.

The pregame narrative: The Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars series is tied at 2-2, while the Tampa Bay Lightning can level things up with the Florida Panthers in Game 4. Look for Nathan MacKinnon and Brayden Point to make noise.

Check out my NHL anytime goal picks for April 28.

NHL anytime goal picks

Best Bet: MacKinnon to score (+123)

I was debating rolling with Artturi Lehkonen here but decided not to overthink things.

MacKinnon is the best player on the ice and a top-three player in the league. He’s scored four goals already this series, cashing this wager three times, and is at the top of the leaderboard in several offensive categories, according to Natural Stat Trick:

1st in shots (23)
5th in chances (35)
12th in scoring chances (15)

On the road, the power forward will draw Dallas’ toughest defensive matchups. But MacKinnon is second among all forwards in ice time, so head coach Jared Bednar will surely find ways to get him out in favourable situations.

And it’s not like the Stars have built a brick wall on defence.

Dallas is allowing the third-most shots (31.22) and the fourth-most high-danger chances (12.53) on a 60-minute basis this postseason.

Key stat: Mackinnon has cashed this wager in four of his last five playoff games against the Stars.

Embed: #113087

NHL prop predictions

Point to score (+165): Tampa Bay was in serious trouble hitting the road down 0-2, but the team responded with a 5-1 win on Saturday.

Point scored in that game, notching his second of the playoffs and 44th of the year (in 80 regular season/playoff games).

Only three players — William Nylander, Alex Ovechkin and Leon Draisaitl — have scored more than that.

His line with Jake Guentzel and Nikita Kucherov has generated a 61.9% Corsi rate at 5-on-5 this series and is constantly a threat to score.

Point is also a mainstay on the power play, which is just 1-of-13 so far. Tampa had the fifth-best man advantage during the regular season (25.9%) and is bound for some positive regression with Florida taking boatloads of penalties.

NHL anytime goal picks made at 12:09 p.m. ET on 04/28/2025.

Cavaliers vs. Heat SGP predictions Game 4: Bet on Tyler Herro and Max Strus at +300

The Cleveland Cavaliers look to sweep the Miami Heat on Monday.

The pregame narrative: Cleveland has been the class of the Eastern Conference all season, and that’s shown through three games against Miami. I expect the Cavaliers to close out the series tonight, and have prop bets on two sharpshooters, Tyler Herro and Max Strus.

Check out my Cavaliers vs. Heat playoff SGP predictions for Game 4 on April 28.

Cavaliers vs. Heat predictions

Parlay: Cavaliers -4.5 | Strus 2+ threes | Herro over 23.5 points (+300)

Cavaliers -4.5 (-240): The Cavaliers posted an East-best 64 wins during the regular season and haven’t missed a beat in the playoffs.

They’ve won each game by at least nine points and secured a 37-point blowout on the road in Game 3.

I expect a better effort from Miami with its season on the line, but Cleveland should cover this spread comfortably.

The Cavs had the third-best road net rating (+7.0) in the NBA this season.

Cleveland is 21-14 ATS as a road favourite, winning those games by an average of 10.0 points.

They have covered this number in five straight games vs. Miami dating back to the regular season.

Get the brooms ready, because this one should be over tonight.

Embed: #113084

NBA SGP legs

Strus 2+ threes (-220): Strus is the kind of role player that can help a team win a championship. He plays solid defensive minutes, hits his shots and can chip in offensively.

Take a look at what he’s done this series:

Game 1: 21 mins, 9 pts (3-for-5 from deep)
Game 2: 26 mins, 14 pts (4-for-8 from deep)
Game 3: 31 mins, 18 pts (4-for-9 from deep)

Strus has attempted 26 shots this postseason, and 22 of them have been from 3-point land. He’s cashed 11 of those for an impressive 50.0% rate.

The 29-year-old has reached this milestone in six straight games and eight of his last 10. In a game with blowout potential, I expect the backup guard to get plenty of looks.

Herro over 23.5 points (-139): Cleveland’s Darius Garland was asked what the key to this series is following Game 2, and he responded: “Pick on Tyler Herro.”

In the next game, Herro shot 5-of-13 from the field and scored 13 points.

I’m expecting a response from Miami’s top dog, and not just because of a bruised ego.

Herro scored 33 points in Game 2 and had fallen just short of this line with 21 in the series opener.

He dropped 30 and 38 points in the Heat’s two play-in games and had scored at least 20 points in 14 straight games before Saturday’s stinker.

Cleveland is a great defensive team, but Herro has to shoot if Miami wants to win this contest. I think the Heat will ultimately fall short, but I believe Herro can have a solid performance.

Cavaliers vs. Heat predictions made at 9:40 a.m. ET 04/28/2025.

Champions League semifinal picks and predictions: Bet on PSG and Inter Milan

The first leg of the Champions League semifinal is this week, and I’ve got one bet from each game.

The pregame narrative: Arsenal host Paris Saint-Germain on Tuesday, and the Parisians are seeking to eliminate a third English side. After that, offensive juggernaut Barcelona clashes with defensive stalwart Inter Milan.

Check out the best Champions League predictions for the quarterfinal second leg.

Champions League predictions

Best Bet: Barcelona under 1.5 goals (+130)

Fading Barcelona at home is a scary proposition, but if there was a time to do it, it’s now.

Hansi Flick’s side was dealt a major blow when Robert Lewandowski went down with an injury against Celta Vigo on April 19.

The Polish striker has scored 40 goals across all competitions for the club, and he will be impossible to replace in aggregate. Ferran Torres moved up into the starting role for Saturday’s Copa del Rey final and scored, but played 114 minutes after not playing a full 90 since February 6th.

I’m curious to see his — and the rest of the team’s — fitness levels with just three days of rest between these huge games.

Barca scored two regulation goals in El Clasico, but Real Madrid’s defence has been suspect all season. The same can’t be said about Inter Milan, which is arguably the best defensive side in Europe.

The Nerazzurri have allowed the fewest goals per game in the UCL (0.4).

They have held opponents to fewer than 1.5 goals in 39 of 51 games across all competitions (76.4%).

Inter Milan will be playing for a draw away from home, and I expect Simone Inzaghi’s side to park the bus in a low-event game.

Key stat: Inter Milan’s opponents have gone under 1.5 goals in 11 of 12 Champions League games (eight clean sheets).

Go to full Champions League betting markets.

Quick pick

PSG to win or tie (-143): Arsenal made minced meat of Real Madrid in the Champions League quarterfinal, which was a shock to many, myself included.

The Gunners jumped out to a 3-0 lead at the Emirates in the opening leg and eventually won, 5-1, on aggregate. They’ll hope to do the same on Tuesday, but I have my doubts.

As mentioned earlier, Real Madrid has some fraudulent tendencies. The club had allowed the most xG of any team in the Champions League this year. PSG, meanwhile, has been one of the best teams in the tournament by several of FotMob’s metrics:

1st in match rating (7.26)
2nd in xG (30.4)
2nd in SOT/match (7.2)
3rd in possession (63.6)

The Parisians have only lost five matches across all competitions all season. Granted, two of those were on the road in the Champions League, but each came by just one goal.

I expect Luis Enrique’s side to secure a result.

Champions League predictions made at 2:30 p.m. on 04/27/25.

Champions League semifinal picks and predictions: Bet on PSG and Inter Milan

The first leg of the Champions League semifinal is this week, and I’ve got one bet from each game.

The pregame narrative: Arsenal host Paris Saint-Germain on Tuesday, and the Parisians are seeking to eliminate a third English side. After that, offensive juggernaut Barcelona clashes with defensive stalwart Inter Milan.

Check out the best Champions League predictions for the quarterfinal second leg.

Champions League predictions

Best Bet: Barcelona under 1.5 goals (+125)

Fading Barcelona at home is a scary proposition, but if there was a time to do it, it’s now.

Hansi Flick’s side was dealt a major blow when Robert Lewandowski went down with an injury against Celta Vigo on April 19.

The Polish striker has scored 40 goals across all competitions for the club, and he will be impossible to replace in aggregate. Ferran Torres moved up into the starting role for Saturday’s Copa del Rey final and scored, but played 114 minutes after not playing a full 90 since February 6th.

I’m curious to see his — and the rest of the team’s — fitness levels with just three days of rest between these huge games.

Barca scored two regulation goals in El Clasico, but Real Madrid’s defence has been suspect all season. The same can’t be said about Inter Milan, which is arguably the best defensive side in Europe.

The Nerazzurri have allowed the fewest goals per game in the UCL (0.4).

They have held opponents to fewer than 1.5 goals in 39 of 51 games across all competitions (76.4%).

Inter Milan will be playing for a draw away from home, and I expect Simone Inzaghi’s side to park the bus in a low-event game.

Key stat: Inter Milan’s opponents have gone under 1.5 goals in 11 of 12 Champions League games (eight clean sheets).

Embed: #113071

Go to full Champions League betting markets.

Quick pick

PSG to win or tie (-136): Arsenal made minced meat of Real Madrid in the Champions League quarterfinal, which was a shock to many, myself included.

The Gunners jumped out to a 3-0 lead at the Emirates in the opening leg and eventually won, 5-1, on aggregate. They’ll hope to do the same on Tuesday, but I have my doubts.

As mentioned earlier, Real Madrid has some fraudulent tendencies. The club had allowed the most xG of any team in the Champions League this year. PSG, meanwhile, has been one of the best teams in the tournament by several of FotMob’s metrics:

1st in match rating (7.26)
2nd in xG (30.4)
2nd in SOT/match (7.2)
3rd in possession (63.6)

The Parisians have only lost five matches across all competitions all season. Granted, two of those were on the road in the Champions League, but each came by just one goal.

I expect Luis Enrique’s side to secure a result.

Champions League predictions made at 2:30 p.m. on 04/27/25.

Phillies vs. Cubs Sunday Night Baseball prop bets: Bet on Kyle Tucker to do damage, fade Jameson Taillon

The Chicago Cubs and Philadelphia Phillies settle their rubber match at Wrigley Field on Sunday Night Baseball.

The pregame narrative: Philadelphia’s offence erupted for 10 runs yesterday, and it now has an opportunity to get after a struggling Jameson Taillon. I’m fading Chicago’s righty and backing Kyle Tucker to collect multiple bases.

Check out my Phillies vs. Cubs prop bets for Sunday Night Baseball on April 27.

Phillies vs. Cubs prop bets

Best Bet: Taillon under 17.5 outs (+100)

I’m struggling to understand why this line is so high.

Taillon has posted a 4.73 ERA through five starts and doesn’t exactly have the reputation of being a workhorse. He’s only crested 90 pitches once this season and twice in his last 10 starts dating back to the tail-end of 2024.

That means the righty has to be hyper-efficient to clear this line, which hasn’t happened so far.

Taillon has fallen short of this line in back-to-back outings, and in three of five on the season. In the outliers, he logged exactly 6.0 innings (18 outs).

The underlying numbers suggest he hasn’t been unlucky. Taillon’s 4.47 xERA and .270 xBA rank in the 35th and 29th percentile, respectively, among all pitchers according to Baseball Savant.

Philadelphia ranks 12th in runs per game (4.48) and has done damage against Taillon in the past. This seems like a good spot for the team’s bats to stay hot.

Key stat: The Phillies’ current lineup is batting .290 against Taillon in 100 combined at-bats.

Best MLB picks

Tucker over 1.5 bases (+125): Tucker has struggled this series, logging just one hit (a single) in eight at-bats. But his season-long sample is spectacular, and I’m banking on the slugger returning to form tonight.

Tucker has posted a .300/.409/.600 slashline through 28 games with the Cubs.

He ranks in the 90th percentile or better in xBA (.310), xSLG (.629) and K rate (13.6%).

His 66 total bases rank third in MLB, and he has cashed this bet in 53.6% of games, per Team Rankings.

The left-batting Tucker has done his best work against righties (.316 BA), and he’ll have a platoon advantage against a struggling Aaron Nola this evening.

Philadelphia’s righty has gotten rocked through five starts, posting a 6.43 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP.

Tucker is 3-for-10 lifetime against Nola, with a double and two home runs.

Phillies vs. Cubs prop picks made at 1:04 p.m. ET on 04/27/2025.

Phillies vs. Cubs Sunday Night Baseball prop bets: Bet on Kyle Tucker to do damage, fade Jameson Taillon

The Chicago Cubs and Philadelphia Phillies settle their rubber match at Wrigley Field on Sunday Night Baseball.

The pregame narrative: Philadelphia’s offence erupted for 10 runs yesterday, and it now has an opportunity to get after a struggling Jameson Taillon. I’m fading Chicago’s righty and backing Kyle Tucker to collect multiple bases.

Check out my Phillies vs. Cubs prop bets for Sunday Night Baseball on April 27.

Phillies vs. Cubs prop bets

Best Bet: Taillon under 17.5 outs (-103)

I’m struggling to understand why this line is so high.

Taillon has posted a 4.73 ERA through five starts and doesn’t exactly have the reputation of being a workhorse. He’s only crested 90 pitches once this season and twice in his last 10 starts dating back to the tail-end of 2024.

That means the righty has to be hyper-efficient to clear this line, which hasn’t happened so far.

Taillon has fallen short of this line in back-to-back outings, and in three of five on the season. In the outliers, he logged exactly 6.0 innings (18 outs).

The underlying numbers suggest he hasn’t been unlucky. Taillon’s 4.47 xERA and .270 xBA rank in the 35th and 29th percentile, respectively, among all pitchers according to Baseball Savant.

Philadelphia ranks 12th in runs per game (4.48) and has done damage against Taillon in the past. This seems like a good spot for the team’s bats to stay hot.

Key stat: The Phillies’ current lineup is batting .290 against Taillon in 100 combined at-bats.

Embed: #113067

Best MLB picks

Tucker over 1.5 bases (+133): Tucker has struggled this series, logging just one hit (a single) in eight at-bats. But his season-long sample is spectacular, and I’m banking on the slugger returning to form tonight.

Tucker has posted a .300/.409/.600 slashline through 28 games with the Cubs.

He ranks in the 90th percentile or better in xBA (.310), xSLG (.629) and K rate (13.6%).

His 66 total bases rank third in MLB, and he has cashed this bet in 53.6% of games, per Team Rankings.

The left-batting Tucker has done his best work against righties (.316 BA), and he’ll have a platoon advantage against a struggling Aaron Nola this evening.

Philadelphia’s righty has gotten rocked through five starts, posting a 6.43 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP.

Tucker is 3-for-10 lifetime against Nola, with a double and two home runs.

Phillies vs. Cubs prop picks made at 1:04 p.m. ET on 04/27/2025.

Pacers vs. Bucks SGP predictions Game 4: Bet on Indiana ATS, Giannis to stay hot at +285

The Milwaukee Bucks and Indiana Pacers close out Sunday’s NBA playoff quadrupleheader with a pivotal Game 4.

The pregame narrative: Milwaukee lost the first two games of this series and is looking to even things up after picking up a decisive win at home on Friday. I’ll ride with Indiana to keep this one close, though, with prop bets on Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bobby Portis.

Check out my Pacers vs. Bucks playoff SGP predictions for Game 4 on Sunday, April 27.

Pacers vs. Bucks predictions

Parlay: Pacers +8.5 | Giannis 30+ points | Portis 8+ rebounds (+285)

Pacers +8.5 (-215): Indiana was on the wrong end of a blowout in Game 3, but there are plenty of reasons to believe it can rebound on Sunday.

The Pacers won the series opener by 19 points and followed that up with an 8-point win in Game 2.

Dating back to the start of last season, Indiana has covered a +10.5 spread in 13 of 18 games against Milwaukee (playoffs included).

Rick Carlisle’s squad went 12-10 ATS as a road underdog this season, with a -2.3 average margin of victory.

Indiana had a horrific shooting night in Game 3, going 43.3% from the floor and 31.7% from deep. I’ll consider that a one-off, though, because Milwaukee isn’t a defensive juggernaut.

The Bucks were a pedestrian 16th in defensive rating following the all-star break and are 12th out of 16 playoff teams as of April 27th.

Embed: #113063

NBA SGP legs

Giannis 30+ points (-225): We’re only three games in, but Giannis is heading toward one of the great playoff series performances of all time.

Game 1: 36 points (14-of-23 shooting), 12 rebounds
Game 2: 34 points (14-of-20 shooting), 18 rebounds
Game 3: 37 points (14-of-19 shooting), 12 rebounds

The Greek Freak has been scoring at will against the Pacers, which is nothing new. He’s averaging 36.1 PPG in his last 15 games against them, reaching this milestone 12 times.

Indiana also allowed the sixth-most PPG to opposing power forwards this year, according to Fantasy Pros.

The one concern I would have with Giannis is his conditioning. He’s being asked to do it all and has delivered, but how long can that last?

That said, he only played 32 minutes in Game 3 and should be relatively well-rested for another monster showing on Sunday.

Portis 8+ rebounds (-210): Milwaukee is going to need secondary players beyond Giannis and Damian Lillard to produce, and Portis can be that guy.

The veteran forward has cleared this line in all six games since returning to the Bucks’ active lineup on April 8 and also in seven of 10 games before getting injured.

Portis had double-digit boards in five of six playoff games against Indiana last year, with the exception being a game where he was ejected after seven minutes.

So if you exclude that, he’s hit this milestone in eight straight playoff games against the Pacers.

Pacers vs. Bucks predictions made at 11:30 a.m. ET 04/27/2025.

NBA playoff prop bets April 27: Bet on guards Schroder, White and Lillard

Derrick White and Damian Lillard headline Sunday’s NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: White should have ample opportunities to rack up assists with fellow guard Jrue Holiday sidelined. Lillard, meanwhile, has had a tough run since returning from injury and is a solid buy-low candidate. A pick on Detroit’s Dennis Schroder rounds out my plays

Check out the best NBA prop bets for first-round playoff action on April 27.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: White over 4.5 assists (-125)

White is best known for his 3-point shooting, but the veteran guard can really do it all.

This season, he averaged 4.8 assists and 4.5 rebounds per game while playing excellent defence. On Sunday, I want to tap into his abilities as a passer against the Orlando Magic.

White has cleared this line in consecutive games, and 11 of his past 13 dating to the regular season.

Holiday, much like White, provides secondary production while playing top-tier defence. He was leading Boston with 9.5 potential assists per game this postseason, and is out with a hamstring injury on Sunday.

That means White should have increased opportunities as a passer.

White averaged 5.4 assists in 19 games without Holiday this season, clearing this line 11 times. He also landed on exactly four assists four times.

Key stat: White has cleared this total in four straight games without Holiday.

Best NBA picks

Lillard over 2.5 threes (-125): Lillard has struggled to find his shooting stroke through two appearances this postseason, going a combined 3-of-16 from deep against the Indiana Pacers.

But he’s still firing with volume, and I’m hoping the rust from a months-long absence will be shaken off for a pivotal Game 4 on Sunday.

Lillard has always been a clutch playoff performer, averaging 3.3 threes in the postseason on 9.0 attempts per game (36.8%).

Last year, he played four playoff games against the Pacers and cleared this line in each of them, averaging 5.0 threes on 41.7% shooting.

If the Milwaukee Bucks want any chance of advancing to the second round, they’ll need Lillard to heat up. Doc Rivers should give him the green light to shoot his way out of this mini-slump.

Schroder over 15.5 points and assists (-118): Schroder cleared this mark on points alone in his last two games, and has received steady minutes off the bench all series.

Game 1: 8 points, 3 assists, 26 minutes
Game 2: 20 points, 3 assists, 29 minutes
Game 3: 18 points, 2 assists, 30 minutes

The journeyman point guard has boatloads of postseason experience and should feature heavily in the frontcourt for J.B. Bickerstaff again on Sunday.

New York allowed the fifth-most PPG to point guards and the 12th-most PPG to shooting guards this season, according to Fantasy Pros.

Schroder should be able to score, and I also expect him to chip in as a passer. After all, his 5.3 assists per game mark was the second highest on the Pistons during the regular season behind Cade Cunningham.

NBA prop picks made at 9:41 a.m. ET on 04/27/2025.

NBA playoff prop bets April 27: Bet on guards Schroder, White and Lillard

Derrick White and Damian Lillard headline Sunday’s NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: White should have ample opportunities to rack up assists with fellow guard Jrue Holiday sidelined. Lillard, meanwhile, has had a tough run since returning from injury and is a solid buy-low candidate. A pick on Detroit’s Dennis Schroder rounds out my plays

Check out the best NBA prop bets for first-round playoff action on April 27.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: White over 4.5 assists (-112)

White is best known for his 3-point shooting, but the veteran guard can really do it all.

This season, he averaged 4.8 assists and 4.5 rebounds per game while playing excellent defence. On Sunday, I want to tap into his abilities as a passer against the Orlando Magic.

White has cleared this line in consecutive games, and 11 of his past 13 dating to the regular season.

Holiday, much like White, provides secondary production while playing top-tier defence. He was leading Boston with 9.5 potential assists per game this postseason, and is out with a hamstring injury on Sunday.

That means White should have increased opportunities as a passer.

White averaged 5.4 assists in 19 games without Holiday this season, clearing this line 11 times. He also landed on exactly four assists four times.

Key stat: White has cleared this total in four straight games without Holiday.

Embed: #113058

Best NBA picks

Lillard over 2.5 threes (-129): Lillard has struggled to find his shooting stroke through two appearances this postseason, going a combined 3-of-16 from deep against the Indiana Pacers.

But he’s still firing with volume, and I’m hoping the rust from a months-long absence will be shaken off for a pivotal Game 4 on Sunday.

Lillard has always been a clutch playoff performer, averaging 3.3 threes in the postseason on 9.0 attempts per game (36.8%).

Last year, he played four playoff games against the Pacers and cleared this line in each of them, averaging 5.0 threes on 41.7% shooting.

If the Milwaukee Bucks want any chance of advancing to the second round, they’ll need Lillard to heat up. Doc Rivers should give him the green light to shoot his way out of this mini-slump.

Schroder over 15.5 points and assists (-118): Schroder cleared this mark on points alone in his last two games, and has received steady minutes off the bench all series.

Game 1: 8 points, 3 assists, 26 minutes
Game 2: 20 points, 3 assists, 29 minutes
Game 3: 18 points, 2 assists, 30 minutes

The journeyman point guard has boatloads of postseason experience and should feature heavily in the frontcourt for J.B. Bickerstaff again on Sunday.

New York allowed the fifth-most PPG to point guards and the 12th-most PPG to shooting guards this season, according to Fantasy Pros.

Schroder should be able to score, and I also expect him to chip in as a passer. After all, his 5.3 assists per game mark was the second highest on the Pistons during the regular season behind Cade Cunningham.

NBA prop picks made at 9:41 a.m. ET on 04/27/2025.

Barcelona vs. Real Madrid Copa del Rey final SGP predictions: Bet on Mbappe and Olmo in +320 wager

Saturday’s El Clasico means more as Barcelona and Real Madrid battle in the Copa del Rey final.

The pregame narrative: Barcelona has dominated this fixture recently, but is missing its top scorer with Robert Lewandowski sidelined. The Catalans are still expected to perform, and I’m backing them to do so. Prop bets on Kylian Mbappe and Dani Olmo round out this +320 wager.

Check out my Barcelona vs. Real Madrid SGP predictions for April 26.

Barcelona vs. Real Madrid predictions

Parlay: Barcelona to win or tie | Mbappe over 1.5 SOT | Olmo over 0.5 shots (+320)

Barcelona to win or tie (-265): Losing Lewandowski hurts, and there’s no sugar-coating that. The Polish striker has scored 40 goals across all competitions for Barcelona this season, including three against Real Madrid.

But Barcelona won those games by such a wide margin (4-0, 5-2) that I can see it at least forcing a draw through 90 minutes and added time.

The Catalans have allowed the third-fewest xG in La Liga this season, per FotMob, while owning the highest possession rate (68.6%).

Lewandowski might not be there to finish chances, but a midfield consisting of Pedri, Gavi and Frenkie de Jong should still dictate play.

Madrid is also not in top form, winning just three of its last seven games and failing to score two goals in six straight.

I expect Barcelona to secure a result with a European treble in play.

Go to full Copa del Rey betting markets

Copa del Rey SGP legs

Mbappe over 1.5 SOT (+130): Mbappe suffered an injury in the second leg of the Champions League quarterfinal against Arsenal, which forced him to miss a pair of league games.

That was seemingly precautionary, as the French national has travelled to Seville and is expected in Saturday’s starting lineup.

And if he’s playing, there are plenty of reasons to love this wager:

Mbappe has cleared this line in 13 of his last 20 games for Madrid

He has gone over this mark in both games against Barcelona this season, logging three and two SOTs, respectively.

Mbappe leads La Liga with 2.50 SOT per 90, per FotMob.

Olmo over 0.5 shots (-590): Olmo has been a super-sub for Flick at points this season, and now he’ll likely be thrust into a starting role.

That shouldn’t matter to the Spanish forward, who has produced as a member of the starting XI and coming off the bench.

Olmo has scored in three straight La Liga games for Barcelona, twice as a sub and once as a starter. And I’m not asking him to score, or even record a shot on target here.

All I need out of Olmo is a shot attempt, which is something he’s done in 10 of his last 11 games for club and country (excluding a UCL game vs. BVB Dortmund where he played five minutes).

Barcelona vs. Real Madrid predictions made at 5:00 p.m. on 04/25/25.