Avery Perri

Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.

Charles Schwab Challenge picks, predictions and odds: Scheffler is a heavy favourite at Colonial Country Club

Charles Schwab Challenge picks

Scottie Scheffler headlines the Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial Country Club.

The latest: Scheffler is a heavy +225 favourite after a dominant victory at the PGA Championship. As of May 21, Tommy Fleetwood, Daniel Berger, Hideki Matsuyama and Jordan Spieth are the only other players in the field with odds shorter than 28-to-1.

Check out my Charles Schwab Challenge picks for the 2025 PGA Tour tournament beginning on April 17.

Charles Schwab Challenge picks

Best bet: Scheffler to win (+225)

I picked Scheffler to win last week at +500, and he did so by five shots. In the start before that, he boat raced the field by eight strokes at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson.

You probably don’t need me to tell you how dominant Scheffler is, but I’ll do it anyway:

  • Scheffler is gaining an average of +3.37 strokes per round over the last three months, according to DataGolf.
  • The gap between him and Berger (the next closest player in this field at +1.84) is the same between Berger and Matt Wallace (the 59th-ranked player).
  • The Texan hasn’t missed the cut in the last two seasons, winning 11 times with a 62.1% top-five finish rate.

And if you’re worried about a major championship hangover, don’t be.

Scheffler won the RBC Heritage last year the week after securing a second green jacket at the Masters.

Is this a boring pick? Sure. But there’s no reason to believe Scheffler will slow down at a course he’s dominated.

Key stat: Scheffler has two runner-ups and a T3 in his last three starts at Colonial Country Club.

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Go to full Charles Schwab Challenge betting markets.

Golf picks

Berger top-20 finish (+125): Berger didn’t bring his A-game last week, but ended on a high note with a final-round 68 to finish T33.

  • The American has now made 10 straight cuts, finishing inside the top 20 six times.
  • That includes a T3 at the RBC Heritage and a T2 at the WM Phoenix Open.

Berger won this event in 2020 and finished T20 and T23 the two years after that.

He’s an accurate driver and an elite ball striker (third in SG: APP in this field over the last three months).

English top-20 finish (+163): English is coming off a runner-up last week, marking his best finish ever at a major championship. This seems like a great venue for the veteran to stay hot.

  • English has four top-20 finishes in his last five starts and is up to 27th on DataGolf’s worldwide ranking.
  • He ranks inside the top 25 in this field for strokes gained: putting (25th), off-the-tee (21st), and approach (11th) over the last three months.
  • The 35-year-old finished fifth at this event in 2012, second in 2016 and 12th in 2024.

English already has one win on his ledger this season at the Farmers Insurance Open in February. He has a strong chance of contending this week.

Campbell top-40 finish (+200): I’ll take a flier on Brian Campbell posting a solid finish on a course tailor-made for his game.

The 32-year-old is one of the shortest drivers on tour, but he’s also one of the most accurate. That will be rewarded here.

And he does nearly everything else well, frequently gaining strokes putting, around-the-greens, and on approach.

Campbell finished T55 at the PGA Championship — a course heavily geared toward distance off-the-tee — and had three top 40s in four starts before that.

Charles Schwab Challenge picks made at 2:06 p.m. on 05/21/2025.

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers SGP predictions May 21: Back Ohtani and Moreno in +410 wager

MLB All-Star Game predictions

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Los Angeles Dodgers close out Wednesday’s MLB slate with a West Coast rubber match.

The pregame narrative: Los Angeles snapped a four-game losing streak last night in extra innings and is slightly favoured to take the series-deciding game. Corbin Burnes (2.56 ERA) gets the ball for Arizona, and he has a stellar history against the Dodgers.

Props on Shohei Ohtani and Gabriel Moreno are featured in my Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers +410 SGP predictions for May 21.

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers predictions

SGP picks: Diamondbacks +1.5 | Moreno 2+ bases | Ohtani 1+ hit (+410)

Diamondbacks +1.5 (-190): This is a solid place to begin.

Arizona has a definitive pitching advantage in this matchup thanks to Burnes, who has been humming after a rough start to the season.

The righty has a 1.19 ERA across his last five starts, holding batters to a .187 average with a 9.9 K/9. That includes an outing against the Dodgers on May 10, where he threw seven shutout innings in a 3-0 victory.

Burnes has held Los Angeles’ star-studded lineup to a .207 average over 153 combined plate appearances, according to Baseball Savant.

Los Angeles counters with Dustin May, and the 27-year-old has been trending in the opposite direction.

May has a 6.57 ERA in his last five starts. L.A. hasn’t covered a -1.5 spread in any of those games.

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MLB SGP legs

Moreno 2+ bases (+165): This leg nearly quadruples the value of the SGP from +110 to +410.

  • Moreno has been wielding a red-hot bat lately, slashing .320/.358/.580 in May.
  • He has cleared this line in five of his last six games with two home runs and three doubles.

Arizona’s catcher is just 2-for-8 against May with a pair of singles, but the advanced metrics would suggest he’s been quite unlucky.

The catcher has a .396 xBA and .441 xSLG in those at-bats.

Ohtani 1+ hit (-265): Ohtani has been on a rampage this month, batting .347 with 10 home runs.

The three-time MVP has cashed this bet in 16 of his last 17 games, including all six matchups against the D-backs.

Ohtani hasn’t seen a ton of Burnes but has been productive in a small sample, going 4-for-8 with a home run.

There isn’t much more to say here — bet on the NL’s best hitter to record a knock.

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers predictions made at 10:06 a.m. ET on 05/21/2025.

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Padres vs. Blue Jays prop picks May 21: Back Jackson Merrill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Blue Jays picks

The Toronto Blue Jays look for a series win over the San Diego Padres at Rogers Centre on Wednesday.

The pregame narrative: Toronto is a slight home favourite behind struggling ace Kevin Gausman after blanking San Diego in the series opener. Gausman (4.59 ERA) pitches opposite Randy Vasquez, who has recently over-indexed against a trio of bottom-feeding teams.

Check out my Blue Jays vs. Padres prop picks on May 21, featuring Jackson Merrill and Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Blue Jays picks vs. Padres

Best bet: Guerrero to score (+110)

We’re at the point where I’ll look at Guerrero props on a nightly basis.

It took the $500-million man a while to heat up, but he’s found a rhythm in May, posting a .328/.447/.508 slash line and scoring a run in 13 of 17 games.

Vladdy went 1-for-3 last night, hitting a towering home run in the first inning to open the scoring.

I’m confident he can get after Vasquez on Wednesday.

The righty has a 2.12 ERA across three starts this month but pitched against the Los Angeles Angels, Colorado Rockies and Pittsburgh Pirates.

Those squads rank bottom three in batting average and bottom seven in wRC+.

And even in those games, Vasquez got touched up. He allowed 23 base runners but somehow managed to keep the opposition to four combined runs.

The Venezuelan’s season-long advanced metrics paint a more accurate picture.

  • 2nd percentile K rate (13.3)
  • 7th percentile walk rate (11.7)
  • 11th percentile xERA (5.61)
  • 19th percentile xBA (.274)

I was debating taking the over on Guerrero’s 1.5 base total, but think this is a safer play. Vasquez doesn’t miss bats and issues a ton of free passes.

There should be plenty of opportunities for Guerrero — Toronto’s No. 2 hitter — to get aboard.

Key stat: Guerrero has scored a run in seven of his last eight games.

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Quick pick

Merrill 1+ RBI (+110): Merrill bats cleanup for the Padres behind Fernando Tatis Jr, Luis Arraez and Manny Machado. There are few better spots for run production in all of baseball.

And last year’s NL Rookie of the Year runner-up has been scorching since coming off the IL in early May:

  • .348/.375/.500
  • 4 XBH
  • 7 RBI

The left-handed hitting Merrill (.319 career BA vs. RHP) has a platoon advantage against Gausman, who allowed three homers, six runs and a season-high 10 hits in his last outing.

Arraez, Tatis and Machado are a combined 21-for-46 (.456) against the righty.

Padres vs. Blue Jays picks made at 10:43 a.m. ET on 05/21/2025.

Padres vs. Blue Jays prop picks May 21: Back Jackson Merrill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Blue Jays picks

The Toronto Blue Jays look for a series win over the San Diego Padres at Rogers Centre on Wednesday.

The pregame narrative: Toronto is a slight home favourite behind struggling ace Kevin Gausman after blanking San Diego in the series opener. Gausman (4.59 ERA) pitches opposite Randy Vasquez, who has recently over-indexed against a trio of bottom-feeding teams.

Check out my Blue Jays vs. Padres prop picks on May 21, featuring Jackson Merrill and Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Blue Jays picks vs. Padres

Best bet: Guerrero to score (-106)

We’re at the point where I’ll look at Guerrero props on a nightly basis.

It took the $500-million man a while to heat up, but he’s found a rhythm in May, posting a .328/.447/.508 slash line and scoring a run in 13 of 17 games.

Vladdy went 1-for-3 last night, hitting a towering home run in the first inning to open the scoring.

I’m confident he can get after Vasquez on Wednesday.

The righty has a 2.12 ERA across three starts this month but pitched against the Los Angeles Angels, Colorado Rockies and Pittsburgh Pirates.

Those squads rank bottom three in batting average and bottom seven in wRC+.

And even in those games, Vasquez got touched up. He allowed 23 base runners but somehow managed to keep the opposition to four combined runs.

The Venezuelan’s season-long advanced metrics paint a more accurate picture.

  • 2nd percentile K rate (13.3)
  • 7th percentile walk rate (11.7)
  • 11th percentile xERA (5.61)
  • 19th percentile xBA (.274)

I was debating taking the over on Guerrero’s 1.5 base total, but think this is a safer play. Vasquez doesn’t miss bats and issues a ton of free passes.

There should be plenty of opportunities for Guerrero — Toronto’s No. 2 hitter — to get aboard.

Key stat: Guerrero has scored a run in seven of his last eight games.

Quick pick

Merrill 1+ RBI (+115): Merrill bats cleanup for the Padres behind Fernando Tatis Jr, Luis Arraez and Manny Machado. There are few better spots for run production in all of baseball.

And last year’s NL Rookie of the Year runner-up has been scorching since coming off the IL in early May:

  • .348/.375/.500
  • 4 XBH
  • 7 RBI

The left-handed hitting Merrill (.319 career BA vs. RHP) has a platoon advantage against Gausman, who allowed three homers, six runs and a season-high 10 hits in his last outing.

Arraez, Tatis and Machado are a combined 21-for-46 (.456) against the righty.

Padres vs. Blue Jays picks made at 9:30 a.m. ET on 05/21/2025.

Timberwolves vs. Thunder prop picks Game 1: Back Anthony Edwards, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Timberwolves vs. Thunder prop picks

Two young superstars headline this year’s Western Conference finals between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Oklahoma City Thunder.

The pregame narrative: The Shai Gilgeous-Alexander-led Thunder are heavily favoured to win Game 1 at home and this series as a whole. But Anthony Edwards has made a habit of turning up in big moments and has his Timberwolves in the WCF for a second-straight year.

Check out my Timberwolves vs. Thunder prop picks on Edwards and SGA for Game 1 on May 20.

Bet on Canadians Gilgeous-Alexander & Dort in Game 1 SGP boost!

Timberwolves vs. Thunder prop picks

Best Bet: Edwards over 6.5 rebounds (-109)

Edwards can light it up as a scorer, we all know that. The dynamic guard averaged 27.6 PPG this season and is just under that mark in the playoffs.

But he’s struggled to get things going against the Thunder this year, averaging 22.3 PPG on 36.4% shooting in four games.

I’ll wait and see what Chris Finch’s game plan is before mulling over his point total.

One thing I am sure of is Edwards’ usage. The guard is playing 39.9 minutes per game this postseason and has been more than willing to compete for rebounds:

  • 8.0 rebounds/game
  • 6+ rebounds in 8 of 10 games
  • 7+ rebounds in 7 of 10 games

OKC has played at the second-fastest pace (101.18 possessions per 48 minutes) this postseason, and ranks ninth out of 16 teams in true shooting percentage (55.8%).

Plenty of possessions means plenty of shots — and plenty of rebounding opportunities for Edwards.

Key stat: Edwards is 4-0 against this line vs. OKC this season, averaging 9.3 per game.

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Game 1 prop predictions

Gilgeous-Alexander over 12.5 rebounds/assists (-104): SGA has blown by this line in his last three games against the Timberwolves.

  • Feb. 24: 10 rebounds, 8 assists
  • Feb. 23: 8 rebounds, 8 assists
  • Feb. 13: 8 rebounds, 9 assists

He hasn’t been nearly as reliable against this number in the playoffs, but he still averaged 6.4 rebounds and 6.6 assists against the Denver Nuggets last round (3-4 vs. this line, landing on 12 RA twice).

Gilgeous-Alexander ranks fourth in potential assists per game (16.1) this postseason, which NBA.com categorizes as a pass leading directly to a shot.

I was looking long and hard at taking the over on his 6.5 assist total at -150, but just can’t get down with that type of juice.

This feels like a solid alternative.

Timberwolves vs. Thunder prop picks made at 9:18 a.m. ET 05/20/2025.

Caitlin Clark props vs. Dream May 20: Back Fever superstar from 3-point range

Caitlin Clark props

Caitlin Clark looks to build off her season-opening triple-double when the Indian Fever host the Atlanta Dream on Tuesday.

The pregame narrative: Clark now sits third all-time in the WNBA’s triple-double list … after playing just 41 games. The Fever are 7.5-point home favourites as of 3:30 p.m. ET and went a perfect 4-0 against the Dream last season.

Check out these Caitlin Clark props for the May 20 matchup against the Dream.

Caitlin Clark Boost: Bet on Fever star to record 25+ points, 8+ assists & 5+ 3s

Caitlin Clark props vs. Dream

Check out the latest WNBA odds. Click linked odds to add selection to your betslip.

Clark marketsBetting odds
Over 20.5 points-125
Under 20.5 points-109
Over 6.5 rebounds+102
Under 6.5 rebounds-137
Over 9.5 assists-122
Under 9.5 assists-112
Over 38.5 PRA-109
Under 38.5 PRA-125
Over 3.5 threes-120
Under 3.5 threes-113
To record a double-double-148
To record a triple-double+750

Caitlin Clark props as of 3:30 p.m. ET on 05/20/2025.

Best Clark prop bet

Best bet: Clark over 3.5 threes (-120)

Clark flashed her do-it-all skill set on Saturday, but let’s not forget the bread and butter: Elite 3-point shooting.

The guard holds the NCAA women’s records for career 3s and 3-point attempts, going 548-for-1,452 (37.7%) during her four-year career at Iowa.

As a senior, Clark averaged 5.2 makes on 13.6 attempts a night.

See our Caitlin Clark futures markets

The WNBA is a serious step above college, and we saw Clark struggle at times in her rookie year. But she averaged 3.1 threes per game on 34.4% shooting, which is still quite respectable.

One team that couldn’t slow Clark down from deep was the Dream. In four games against Atlanta, she cleared this line three times.

Clark also went 4-for-8 from deep in Indiana’s season opener.

Key stat: Atlanta allowed the fourth-highest opponent 3-point percentage last season (34.4%).

Tottenham vs. Manchester United Europa League final picks and predictions: Back the Red Devils to win

Tottenham vs. Manchester United picks

Tottenham and Manchester United look to salvage their awful seasons in the Europa League final.

The pregame narrative: The Red Devils and Spurs sit 16th and 17th in the EPL table — safe from relegation but miles away from the likes of Liverpool and Arsenal. Manchester United is favoured to win this final, which would earn it qualification for the Champions League next season.

Check out my best picks for the Europa League final on May 21.

Tottenham vs. Manchester United picks

Best Bet: Manchester United to win (-130)

This final is a laugher.

Tottenham and Manchester United have been two of the most disappointing teams in all of Europe this season — but someone has to win, and I think it’ll be United.

As is tradition, Spurs have picked up some untimely injuries ahead of Wednesday’s final. James Maddison and Dejan Kulusevski are both out, and that duo has combined for 27 goal contributions this season.

Tottenham has been shut out in back-to-back games and has lost five of its last six EPL fixtures dating back to April 6.

It’s not like Manchester United has been much better, also losing five of its last six EPL games.

However, Ruben Amorim is getting a trio of reinforcements back from injury (Diogo Dalot, Leny Yoro, Joshua Zirkzee). That will be key in a game between two teams starved for offence.

Moreover, many players in this group have experience winning a one-off final after besting Manchester City in the FA Cup last season.

Key stat: Tottenham conceded the fourth-most xG in the EPL this season (62.2), per FotMob.

Go to full Europa League betting markets.

Quick pick

Heung-min Son over 1.5 shots (-167): This is likely Son’s last chance to win silverware with Tottenham, and I expect him to be active in Ange Postecoglou’s attack.

The long-time Hotspur missed most of April and early May with an injury, but got his first start in a month on Friday against Aston Villa.

He only had one shot attempt in that game and was taken off after 73 minutes. But the point is, Son is fit enough to play. And he will have to shoulder the offensive burden with Maddison and Kulusevski out.

Son averaged 2.48 shots per 90 in the EPL this season, which ranked in the 68th percentile of all players. He should be able to over-index against a defence which is mediocre, at best.

Tottenham vs. Manchester United picks made at 1:58 p.m. on 05/20/25.

Tottenham vs. Manchester United Europa League final picks and predictions: Back the Red Devils to win

Tottenham vs. Manchester United picks

Tottenham and Manchester United look to salvage their awful seasons in the Europa League final.

The pregame narrative: The Red Devils and Spurs sit 16th and 17th in the EPL table — safe from relegation but miles away from the likes of Liverpool and Arsenal. Manchester United is favoured to win this final, which would earn it qualification for the Champions League next season.

Check out my best picks for the Europa League final on May 21.

Tottenham vs. Manchester United picks

Best Bet: Manchester United to win (-137)

This final is a laugher.

Tottenham and Manchester United have been two of the most disappointing teams in all of Europe this season — but someone has to win, and I think it’ll be United.

As is tradition, Spurs have picked up some untimely injuries ahead of Wednesday’s final. James Maddison and Dejan Kulusevski are both out, and that duo has combined for 27 goal contributions this season.

Tottenham has been shut out in back-to-back games and has lost five of its last six EPL fixtures dating back to April 6.

It’s not like Manchester United has been much better, also losing five of its last six EPL games.

However, Ruben Amorim is getting a trio of reinforcements back from injury (Diogo Dalot, Leny Yoro, Joshua Zirkzee). That will be key in a game between two teams starved for offence.

Moreover, many players in this group have experience winning a one-off final after besting Manchester City in the FA Cup last season.

Key stat: Tottenham conceded the fourth-most xG in the EPL this season (62.2), per FotMob.

Go to full Europa League betting markets.

Quick pick

Heung-min Son over 2.5 shots (+105): This is likely Son’s last chance to win silverware with Tottenham, and I expect him to be active in Ange Postecoglou’s attack.

The long-time Hotspur missed most of April and early May with an injury, but got his first start in a month on Friday against Aston Villa.

He only had one shot attempt in that game and was taken off after 73 minutes. But the point is, Son is fit enough to play. And he will have to shoulder the offensive burden with Maddison and Kulusevski out.

Son averaged 2.48 shots per 90 in the EPL this season, which ranked in the 68th percentile of all players. He should be able to over-index against a defence which is mediocre, at best.

Tottenham vs. Manchester United picks made at 1:58 p.m. on 05/20/25.

Pacers vs. Knicks SGP predictions Game 1: Bet on Karl-Anthony Towns, Andrew Nembhard at +290

Pacers vs. Knicks predictions

The New York Knicks look to avenge last year’s postseason loss against the Indiana Pacers when the longtime rivals meet in the Eastern Conference finals.

The pregame narrative: New York is favoured to win this series, and Game 1, after besting the defending champion Boston Celtics in six games. Offseason acquisitions Karl-Anthony Towns and Mikal Bridges add a new complexion to this matchup.

Check out my Pacers vs. Knicks SGP predictions for Game 1 on May 20, featuring Towns and Andrew Nembhard.

Pacers vs. Knicks predictions

Parlay: Pacers +10.5 | Nembhard 6+ assists | Towns 20+ points (+290)

Pacers +10.5 (-335): I would be shocked if the Knicks authored a blowout on Wednesday.

Rick Carlisle’s team has been a pain to play against on the road all season. The Pacers are 16-10 ATS as road underdogs, losing those games by an average of just 0.2 points.

  • New York is 2-10 vs. a -10.5 line this postseason. Five of its eight playoff wins have been by three or fewer points.
  • Indiana is 8-2 vs. a +10.5 line this postseason. It owns a +5.9 net rating on the road, which is third-best among all playoff teams.

And while the Knicks are in the conference finals, it’s fair to ask if they’re lucky to be here. They scraped by the Detroit Pistons with a trio of nail-biting wins before besting the Boston Celtics, who lost Jayson Tatum to an Achilles tear in Game 4.

Indiana, meanwhile, made light work of the top-seeded Cleveland Cavaliers after putting away the Giannis Antetokounmpo-led Milwaukee Bucks in five.

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NBA SGP legs

Nembhard 6+ assists (+112): Tyrese Haliburton gets a lot of shine as Indiana’s floor general, but his backcourt partner has been an integral part of the team’s success, too.

Take a look at what Nembhard has done this postseason:

  • 14.6 PPG
  • 50.5 FG%
  • 50.0 3PT%
  • 6.0 APG

The Canadian has been efficient across the board, and I want to tap into his ability as a passer in Game 1.

Nembhard has reached this milestone in five of his last six games and averaged 12.0 “potential assists” per game in the conference semifinals. That’s categorized as a pass leading directly to a shot.

He had at least four assists in all seven games against the Knicks last year, clearing this mark four times.

Towns 20+ points (-220): Towns wasn’t here when these teams met last year, and he could certainly be the difference between winning or losing this series.

The big man averaged 24.4 PPG this season and made a habit of torching Indiana.

  • Towns is averaging 29.0 PPG in his last 10 games vs. Indiana, going 9-1 against this line.
  • He averaged 30.3 PPG in three games agianst them this year (56.6 FG%, 46.7 3PT%).

Indiana has played at the third-fastest pace this postseason (99.27 possessions per 48 minutes), and I expect another high-scoring matchup on Wednesday.

Pacers vs. Knicks predictions made at 11:40 a.m. ET 05/20/2025.

PSG vs. Inter Milan Champions League final odds: Paris is favoured to win May 31 match in Munich

Champions League odds

The Champions League final is set with Paris Saint-Germain and Inter Milan battling for continental supremacy in Munich.

The latest: PSG is favoured to win its first major European trophy after besting Arsenal, 3-1 on aggregate, in the semifinal. Inter Milan shouldn’t be overlooked after defeating Barcelona in an all-time classic tie, which finished 7-6 on aggregate and needed extra time.

Here are the latest Champions League odds for the final on May 31.

Champions League odds

Go to full Champions League betting markets

PSG (-165) vs. Inter Milan (+120)

PSG is a deserving favourite after playing a dominant tie against Arsenal.

The Parisians jumped out to a 3-0 lead in the second leg and held on thanks to the spectacular play of goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma, who allowed just one goal on 4.7 xG.

That came on the heels of toppling two other English clubs — Liverpool and Aston Villa — in the knockout rounds.

Take a look at where PSG ranks in this competition in several key categories, provided by FotMob:

  • 1st in match rating (7.26)
  • 1st in big chances (63)
  • 2nd in xG (33.3)
  • 4th in possession (61.8)

By many metrics, Inter Milan was the best defensive team heading into its semifinal tie. But it had to adjust its style against high-flying Barcelona.

The Nerazzuri took early leads in both games before relinquishing them, and eventually were down one in stoppage time in the second leg.

A pair of Italians played hero as Francesco Acerbi tied the game and Davide Frattesi scored the deciding goal in extra time.

Still, Inter has allowed the third-fewest goals per match (0.8) with the most clean sheets (eight).