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Best NFL Week 4 prop bets: Roll with George Pickens, Chris Godwin and Brock Bowers

I’m taking the over on three receiving totals for this week’s NFL prop bets.

The pregame narrative: George Pickens and Chris Godwin have favourable matchups against the Indianapolis Colts and Philadelphia Eagles, respectively. Brock Bowers takes on the Cleveland Browns with hopes of regaining the receiving lead among tight ends.

Check out the best NFL Week 4 prop bets for this weekend’s games.

NFL Week 4 prop bets

Go to full NFL Week 4 betting markets.

Best bet: Pickens over 49.5 receiving yards (-113)

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The Pittsburgh Steelers are 3-0 and Pickens still hasn’t had his breakout game.

To be fair, the third-year wideout did haul in six catches for 85 yards in the season opener. But I know he’s capable of much, much more than that.

The following week Pickens was held to just 29 yards but had a 50-yard catch and a short-distance touchdown called back due to unnecessary penalties. Last Sunday against the Los Angeles Chargers, he had five catches for 57 yards.

Basically, Pickens would have cleared this line in each game if his team had been more disciplined.

Pittsburgh cleaned up its penalties in Week 3 — only committing three for a total of 15 yards — so I’m not too worried about that.

But let’s put yellow flags aside for a moment and talk about the matchup.

The Colts’ defence has gotten abused in the run game, ranking 31st in rushing yards allowed. Backing Najee Harris might seem enticing but I want no part of his underwhelming 3.8 yards per carry.

Indianapolis actually has a worse defensive EPA per dropback (22nd) than it does per rush (11th) and it allows the ninth-most yards to WRs per game.

Key stat: Five different receivers have cleared this line against Indianapolis, including three last week.

Quick picks

Godwin over 62.5 receiving yards (-115): The last time Tampa Bay played Philadelphia, Baker Mayfield threw for 337 yards in a blowout wild-card victory.

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Godwin was the fifth-leading receiver for the Bucs that game, hauling in four catches for 45 yards and a score. That’s well below this total but I think he should get a bigger piece of the pie in the rematch.

The veteran wideout has commanded a 30.9% target share through three games, which ranks fourth among all wide receivers.

He’s caught at least six passes every week and cashed this wager in two of three contests. The outlier was last week against the Denver Broncos where he went for 53 yards in a loss.

Philly’s pass defence is still awful, ranking 24th in defensive EPA per dropback.

Bowers over 38.5 receiving yards (-113): I bet on Bowers to clear his 45.5-yard receiving total last week and he fell just short, hauling in three catches for 41 yards in a loss.

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But I can’t say no after seeing the rookie’s line dip into the 30s this Sunday.

Bowers has cleared this line in every game and leads all tight ends in targets (21) and receptions (18). His 197 receiving yards are second to only Dallas Goedert while his 19.6% target share ranks fourth among TEs.

Any way you slice it, he’s already one of the best in the league.

The Cleveland Browns defence is respectable but has taken a step back from its elite 2023 form. They rank 13th in defensive EPA per dropback after being first last season.

Picks made at 3:04 p.m. ET on 09/26/2024.

EPL Matchday 6 picks and predictions: Back Tottenham at Old Trafford

Sunday’s Premier League action wraps up with Tottenham making a trip to Old Trafford.

The pregame narrative: Manchester United is in shambles and I expect Tottenham to deliver the potential death blow to Erik ten Hag’s tenure as manager. Elsewhere, bet on Antoine Semenyo to factor into a high-scoring game between Bournemouth and Southampton.

Check out the best EPL Matchday 6 picks.

EPL Matchday 6 picks

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Best Bet: Tottenham over 1.5 goals (-110)

It seems like ten Hag is operating on borrowed time.

The Red Devils’ manager was set to get the sack last season but saved his job with an upset FA Cup final win over cross-town rival Manchester City.

But that goodwill is wearing off after a dreadful start to the season. Manchester United sit 11th in the table after going 2-1-2 through five games. It suffered an embarrassing 3-0 defeat at home against Liverpool and also lost 2-1 to Brighton.

And it just drew little-known Dutch side Twente, 1-1, in the Europa League.

Tottenham is also 2-1-2 but I have a lot of confidence in its offence. The team has scored nine goals through five games and was only blanked once, rather unluckily against Arsenal in the North London derby.

The Spurs had 15 shots — five of which hit target — in that game.

Ange Postecoglou employs a borderline reckless attacking style that has come back to bite Tottenham at times. But I know a back-and-forth game will lead to plenty of scoring chances and I don’t trust United’s defence to hold up.

Key stat: Tottenham has cleared this line in three straight games versus Manchester United.

Quick pick

Parlay: Bournemouth/Southampton BTTS + Semenyo 1+ SOT (+115): I’m digging deep for this plus-money parlay.

Bournemouth and Southampton are two of the worst defending teams in the Premiership. The Cherries rank last in shots on target allowed and 12th in expected goals against. The Saints rank 18th and 17th in those categories.

Southampton only has two goals so far, so therein lies the risk with this play. But I think it can put one past a dreadful Bournemouth defence.

Backing Semenyo to record a SOT brings this play into bettable range.

The 24-year-old forward leads Bournemouth in shot attempts (24) and shots on target (six). He’s cleared this line in three of five games.

Picks made at 12:09 p.m. on 09/26/24.

EPL Matchday 6 picks and predictions: Back Tottenham at Old Trafford

Sunday’s Premier League action wraps up with Tottenham making a trip to Old Trafford.

The pregame narrative: Manchester United is in shambles and I expect Tottenham to deliver the potential death blow to Erik ten Hag’s tenure as manager. Elsewhere, bet on Antoine Semenyo to factor into a high-scoring game between Bournemouth and Southampton.

Check out the best EPL Matchday 6 picks.

EPL Matchday 6 picks

Go to full Premier League betting markets.

Best Bet: Tottenham over 1.5 goals (-124)

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It seems like ten Hag is operating on borrowed time.

The Red Devils’ manager was set to get the sack last season but saved his job with an upset FA Cup final win over cross-town rival Manchester City.

But that goodwill is wearing off after a dreadful start to the season. Manchester United sit 11th in the table after going 2-1-2 through five games. It suffered an embarrassing 3-0 defeat at home against Liverpool and also lost 2-1 to Brighton.

And it just drew little-known Dutch side Twente, 1-1, in the Europa League.

Tottenham is also 2-1-2 but I have a lot of confidence in its offence. The team has scored nine goals through five games and was only blanked once, rather unluckily against Arsenal in the North London derby.

The Spurs had 15 shots — five of which hit target — in that game.

Ange Postecoglou employs a borderline reckless attacking style that has come back to bite Tottenham at times. But I know a back-and-forth game will lead to plenty of scoring chances and I don’t trust United’s defence to hold up.

Key stat: Tottenham has cleared this line in three straight games versus Manchester United.

Quick pick

Parlay: Bournemouth/Southampton BTTS + Semenyo 1+ SOT (+118): I’m digging deep for this plus-money parlay.

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Bournemouth and Southampton are two of the worst defending teams in the Premiership. The Cherries rank last in shots on target allowed and 12th in expected goals against. The Saints rank 18th and 17th in those categories.

Southampton only has two goals so far, so therein lies the risk with this play. But I think it can put one past a dreadful Bournemouth defence.

Backing Semenyo to record a SOT brings this play into bettable range.

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The 24-year-old forward leads Bournemouth in shot attempts (24) and shots on target (six). He’s cleared this line in three of five games.

Picks made at 12:09 p.m. on 09/26/24.

Orioles vs. Yankees props Sept. 26: Fade Aaron Judge, back Gunnar Henderson

Two elite arms meet when Corbin Burnes and Gerrit Cole take the mound tonight at Yankee Stadium.

The pregame narrative: The Baltimore Orioles would need a minor miracle to win the AL East at this point as the New York Yankees have a four-game lead with four to play. But I still think Burnes is going to shove and want to fade Aaron Judge as a result.

Check out my Orioles vs. Yankees prop picks for Sept. 26.

Orioles vs. Yankees prop picks

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Best Bet: Judge under 0.5 runs (-125)

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Burnes has found it at the right time.

The early-season AL Cy Young contender had an awful August but rebounded nicely when the calendar turned, posting a 1.08 ERA across four starts this month.

He is coming off back-to-back outings against the Detroit Tigers where he allowed just five hits and no runs in a combined 14.0 innings pitched.

Detroit’s offence isn’t on New York’s level but I still like to see that type of production.

The fireballing righty has an excellent history against the Yankees, holding the lineup to a .145 batting average in 80 combined plate appearances. And the underlying metrics show that’s no fluke. New York has a 35% K rate to pair with a 0.175 xBA and 0.232 xSLG.

Fading Judge in any capacity is always dangerous. The soon-to-be AL MVP has 57 home runs and has scored in four straight games.

But Burnes has his number and I think this is a nice number to fade him with those batting behind also struggling against the ace.

Key stat: Judge is 0-for-6 against Burnes with a 0.174 xSLG.

Quick picks

Henderson over 1.5 bases (+128): Gunnar Henderson is on a roll right now, recording multiple bases in six of his last seven games.

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He was 3-for-5 last night with three singles and now gets Cole, who he is 3-for-9 against with a double and a home run.

Cole is coming off his best start of the season: A complete game where he allowed just two hits and one run while striking out 11. But that came right after a start where the Boston Red Sox lit him up for five hits and seven earned runs in 4.1 IP.

This isn’t the Cy Young version of Cole and I’m happy to back Henderson.

Picks made at 9:45 a.m. ET 09/26/2024

NFL Week 4 parlay picks: Back the Steelers and Saints at +290

Two alternate spreads and a moneyline pick make up this week’s NFL parlay.

The pregame narrative: The Pittsburgh Steelers are 3-0 and I expect them to remain perfect against a mediocre Indianapolis Colts team. Elsewhere, buy points with the New Orleans Saints and New England Patriots on the road.

Check out my Week 4 parlay picks for the start of the NFL season.

NFL Week 4 parlay picks

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Parlay: Steelers moneyline + Saints +5.5 + Patriots +14.5 (+290)

Steelers moneyline (-125): Are the Steelers for real? As of right now, they’ve beaten teams quarterbacked by Kirk Cousins (first game back from an Achilles tear), Bo Nix (rookie) and Justin Herbert (left early with an injury).

We can question the competition level but we can’t question how good Mike Tomlin’s defence has been.

That unit has allowed the fewest points per game and owns the best defensive EPA per play, per RBSDM.

Now, it gets an unproven sophomore in Anthony Richardson who has only started seven NFL games. He’s looked shaky at best this year and Tomlin-led teams have a knack for beating up on young quarterbacks.

If Justin Fields can remain turnover-less, the Black and Gold should cruise to a victory.

Other parlay picks

Saints +5.5 (-200): New Orleans’ offence came crashing down to earth after putting up a combined 91 points through the first two weeks.

But the defence was still strong, allowing just 15 points to the Philadelphia Eagles in a game where they comfortably covered this spread. I say comfortably because New Orleans had a 12-7 lead and 84.7% win probability with under two minutes left.

Now it takes on the aforementioned Cousins who is beginning to find a groove.

But even with the Falcons looking better offensively I still think Klint Kubiak can dial up enough offence to cover this teased-up spread. Atlanta has allowed the sixth-most opponent red zone trips per game.

Patriots +14.5 (-223): Backing the Patriots in Santa Clara might seem scary but the San Francisco 49ers are operating with a skeleton crew.

Christian McCaffrey and George Kittle are out and Deebo Samuel is listed as doubtful. The Niners have lost back-to-back games as a result and will have to lean heavily on the run game behind a strong offensive line.

Jerod Mayo would be wise to stack the box and force Purdy to make plays elsewhere. This game has all the makings of a slog and I just can’t see a 15-point blowout.

Don’t forget the Pats upset the Cincinnati Bengals as 7.5-point underdogs before forcing the now 3-0 Seattle Seahawks to overtime.

NFL picks made at 3:32 p.m. on 09/25/24.

NFL Week 4 parlay picks: Back the Steelers and Saints at +308

Two alternate spreads and a moneyline pick make up this week’s NFL parlay.

The pregame narrative: The Pittsburgh Steelers are 3-0 and I expect them to remain perfect against a mediocre Indianapolis Colts team. Elsewhere, buy points with the New Orleans Saints and New England Patriots on the road.

Check out my Week 4 parlay picks for the start of the NFL season.

NFL Week 4 parlay picks

Go to full NFL Week 4 betting markets.

Parlay: Steelers moneyline + Saints +5.5 + Patriots +14.5 (+308)

Steelers moneyline (-125): Are the Steelers for real? As of right now, they’ve beaten teams quarterbacked by Kirk Cousins (first game back from an Achilles tear), Bo Nix (rookie) and Justin Herbert (left early with an injury).

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We can question the competition level but we can’t question how good Mike Tomlin’s defence has been.

That unit has allowed the fewest points per game and owns the best defensive EPA per play, per RBSDM.

Now, it gets an unproven sophomore in Anthony Richardson who has only started seven NFL games. He’s looked shaky at best this year and Tomlin-led teams have a knack for beating up on young quarterbacks.

If Justin Fields can remain turnover-less, the Black and Gold should cruise to a victory.

Other parlay picks

Saints +5.5 (-205): New Orleans’ offence came crashing down to earth after putting up a combined 91 points through the first two weeks.

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But the defence was still strong, allowing just 15 points to the Philadelphia Eagles in a game where they comfortably covered this spread. I say comfortably because New Orleans had a 12-7 lead and 84.7% win probability with under two minutes left.

Now it takes on the aforementioned Cousins who is beginning to find a groove.

But even with the Falcons looking better offensively I still think Klint Kubiak can dial up enough offence to cover this teased-up spread. Atlanta has allowed the sixth-most opponent red zone trips per game.

Patriots +14.5 (-195): Backing the Patriots in Santa Clara might seem scary but the San Francisco 49ers are operating with a skeleton crew.

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Christian McCaffrey and George Kittle are out and Deebo Samuel is listed as doubtful. The Niners have lost back-to-back games as a result and will have to lean heavily on the run game behind a strong offensive line.

Jerod Mayo would be wise to stack the box and force Purdy to make plays elsewhere. This game has all the makings of a slog and I just can’t see a 15-point blowout.

Don’t forget the Pats upset the Cincinnati Bengals as 7.5-point underdogs before forcing the now 3-0 Seattle Seahawks to overtime.

NFL picks made at 3:05 p.m. on 09/25/24.

NFL Week 4 best bets: Bet on the C.J. Stroud and the Texans to have a field day

The Houston Texans headline my NFL Week 4 best bets.

The pregame narrative: Houston’s offence got stymied by the Minnesota Vikings last weekend but I’m expecting a bounceback at home against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Elsewhere, back Minnesota on an alternate spread and take the under in San Francisco.

Check out these NFL Week 4 best bets.

NFL Week 4 best bets

Go to full NFL Week 4 betting markets.

Best Bet: Texans over 24.5 points (-125)

Last week our Jordan Horrobin faded the Texans’ team total en route to hitting all three of his NFL best bets (Packers +3, Panthers +5.5).

But back at home against the sputtering Jaguars, I like C.J. Stroud and Co. to pop off.

To call Jacksonville sputtering might actually be generous. The Jags looked downright awful against the Buffalo Bills on Monday Night Football, giving up a touchdown on five straight drives to start the game before eventually losing 47-10.

Doug Pederson’s seat is red-hot and rookie defensive coordinator Ryan Nielsen’s must be, too.

Jacksonville ranks 28th in points allowed per game (28.3), 29th in RBSDM’s defensive EPA per play (+0.129) and 30th in passing yards allowed per game (252.3).

Stroud has been a dog within the confines of NRG Stadium. Just check out his home/away splits:

Home (nine games): 7-2 record, 305.1 passing yards/game, 21 TDs, five INT
Away (nine games): 4-5 record, 230.1 passing yards/game, nine TDs, three INT

I’m keen to take the over on his passing total but that line isn’t available at the time of writing. This bet should suffice, though.

Key stat: The Jaguars have lost five straight road games dating back to last season, giving up 28-plus points in four of those contests.

Quick picks

Vikings +3.5 (-154): One of these teams is going to feel really good about themselves after Sunday’s NFC North showdown.

The Vikings (3-0) and Green Bay Packers (2-1) have both got off to hot starts and now lock horns at Lambeau Field. Minnesota has done so thanks to spectacular play from Sam Darnold, while Green Bay has made things work with Jordan Love sidelined.

Love might be back in the mix this weekend but I think the Packers will have to rely on a heavy ground game since the signal-caller is banged up with a bad knee.

And if that’s the case, they could be in trouble.

The Vikings’ defence has allowed the second-fewest rushing yards per game and has the third-best defensive EPA per play.

Darnold is also not at 100%, mind you, but he’s coming off a career day against the Texans and should do enough against a middling secondary to cover this alternate spread.

Patriots/49ers under 39.5 points (-110): The San Francisco 49ers depth chart is lit up like a Christmas tree with injuries.

Christian McCaffrey and George Kittle are out, while Deebo Samuel is listed as doubtful. Losing three all-pros will hurt and the Niners have lost back-to-back games as a result.

The New England Patriots might be looking like a cupcake opponent after last week’s thrashing at the hands of the New York Jets but I’m not so sure.

New England still has an above-average defence that can stack the box to slow down Jordan Mason. I don’t expect it’s offence to do much against San Francisco, though, so am keen on fading scoring in the Bay.

NFL picks made at 2:06 p.m. on 09/25/24.

NFL Week 4 best bets: Bet on the C.J. Stroud and the Texans to have a field day

The Houston Texans headline my NFL Week 4 best bets.

The pregame narrative: Houston’s offence got stymied by the Minnesota Vikings last weekend but I’m expecting a bounceback at home against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Elsewhere, back Minnesota on an alternate spread and take the under in San Francisco.

Check out these NFL Week 4 best bets.

NFL Week 4 best bets

Go to full NFL Week 4 betting markets.

Best Bet: Texans over 26.5 points (-106)

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Last week our Jordan Horrobin faded the Texans’ team total en route to hitting all three of his NFL best bets (Packers +3, Panthers +5.5).

But back at home against the sputtering Jaguars, I like C.J. Stroud and Co. to pop off.

To call Jacksonville sputtering might actually be generous. The Jags looked downright awful against the Buffalo Bills on Monday Night Football, giving up a touchdown on five straight drives to start the game before eventually losing 47-10.

Doug Pederson’s seat is red-hot and rookie defensive coordinator Ryan Nielsen’s must be, too.

Jacksonville ranks 28th in points allowed per game (28.3), 29th in RBSDM’s defensive EPA per play (+0.129) and 30th in passing yards allowed per game (252.3).

Stroud has been a dog within the confines of NRG Stadium. Just check out his home/away splits:

Home (nine games): 7-2 record, 305.1 passing yards/game, 21 TDs, five INT
Away (nine games): 4-5 record, 230.1 passing yards/game, nine TDs, three INT

I’m keen to take the over on his passing total but that line isn’t available at the time of writing. This bet should suffice, though.

Key stat: The Jaguars have lost five straight road games dating back to last season, giving up 28-plus points in four of those contests.

Quick picks

Vikings +3.5 (-136): One of these teams is going to feel really good about themselves after Sunday’s NFC North showdown.

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The Vikings (3-0) and Green Bay Packers (2-1) have both got off to hot starts and now lock horns at Lambeau Field. Minnesota has done so thanks to spectacular play from Sam Darnold, while Green Bay has made things work with Jordan Love sidelined.

Love might be back in the mix this weekend but I think the Packers will have to rely on a heavy ground game since the signal-caller is banged up with a bad knee.

And if that’s the case, they could be in trouble.

The Vikings’ defence has allowed the second-fewest rushing yards per game and has the third-best defensive EPA per play.

Darnold is also not at 100%, mind you, but he’s coming off a career day against the Texans and should do enough against a middling secondary to cover this alternate spread.

Patriots/49ers under 39.5 points (-110): The San Francisco 49ers depth chart is lit up like a Christmas tree with injuries.

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Christian McCaffrey and George Kittle are out, while Deebo Samuel is listed as doubtful. Losing three all-pros will hurt and the Niners have lost back-to-back games as a result.

The New England Patriots might be looking like a cupcake opponent after last week’s thrashing at the hands of the New York Jets but I’m not so sure.

New England still has an above-average defence that can stack the box to slow down Jordan Mason. I don’t expect it’s offence to do much against San Francisco, though, so am keen on fading scoring in the Bay.

NFL picks made at 2:06 p.m. on 09/25/24.

Cowboys vs. Giants Week 4 prop picks: Bet on CeeDee Lamb to have a breakout game on TNF

The Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants meet for the first time this season on Thursday Night Football.

The pregame narrative: Dallas has dominated this rivalry in recent years and I expect CeeDee Lamb to have his breakout game under the bright lights. Also, take Daniel Jones’ rushing prop in a plus matchup.

Check out my Cowboys vs. Giants prop picks for Sept. 26.

Cowboys vs. Giants prop picks

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Best Bet: Lamb over 6.5 receptions (+110)

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Last year Lamb led the NFL in targets (181) and receptions (135) and was second to only Tyreek Hill in yards (1,749).

We haven’t seen Dallas’ star receiver reach that level through three games.

His highest reception total was five against the Cleveland Browns and his top yardage mark was 90 in a blowout loss to the New Orleans Saints. But this week presents a great opportunity for Lamb to have a monster performance.

The Giants’ pass defence has looked decent on the surface level. It ranks a middling 15th in passing yards allowed per game and defensive EPA per dropback, per RBSDM.com.

But now it will face off against a Cowboys team that loves to throw the football, ranking first in passing attempts per game (41.7).

Last year, the Giants allowed the fourth-most receptions to wide receivers.

Lamb hauled in 11 of 14 targets when these teams last met and he should be the vocal point of Brian Schottenheimer’s offence on Thursday.

Deonte Banks has struggled mightily as New York’s CB1 and he tends to play on the outside. If Lamb is moved to the slot he should also have a favourable matchup with Dru Phillips, Adoree’ Jackson and Nick McCloud on the injury report.

Key stat: Lamb cleared this mark in nine of 17 regular season games last year.

Quick picks

Jones over 30.5 rushing yards (-117): Jones makes his fair share of goofy-looking plays but he’s still an athletic specimen at the end of the day.

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The 6-foot-5 signal caller isn’t afraid to use his legs and should be able to take advantage of an awful Cowboys rush defence.

Dallas is allowing the most rushing yards per game (187.5) and the fourth-most rushing yards per game to quarterbacks (41.3). Deshaun Watson and Lamar Jackson both blew past this line with ease and I expect Jones to as well.

Jones only played one game against Dallas last year and netted 43 yards on 13 attempts.

Picks made at 11:37 a.m. ET 09/25/2024.

Blue Jays picks vs. Red Sox Sept. 25: Back Guerrero, Duran to produce

The Toronto Blue Jays have nothing left to play for … but they can eliminate the Boston Red Sox from playoff contention tonight.

The pregame narrative: Toronto has lost five straight and fell in extra-innings yesterday. I’m not looking to back a side, though, and am instead taking player prop bets on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Jarren Duran.

Check out the best Blue Jays picks vs. the Red Sox on Sept. 25.

Blue Jays picks vs. Red Sox

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Best Bet: Duran to score (+100)

This is a nice price for Boston’s leadoff man.

Duran has reached base safely 11 times in his last five games (seven hits, four walks) and has scored in three of those contests. He’s batting a respectable .285 on the season and leads the Red Sox with 108 runs.

Toronto sends Kevin Gausman to the mound and he’s gotten sparked by his AL East rivals lately.

In two starts against Boston this season, Gausman allowed seven earned runs and 11 hits in 11.1 IP. Duran was held hitless in one of those games but was 2-for-5 with a run in the other.

He’s done quite well against Gausman overall, going 6-for-16 with four doubles and a home run.

Gausman neutralized Boston’s lineup in the past with elite swing-and-miss stuff — he has a 35.2% K rate against the Bo-Sox in 88 plate appearances, per Baseball Savant — but that’s not the case anymore.

The righty’s 21.8% K rate (41st percentile) has taken a nosedive from his 31.1% mark last year (93rd percentile).

Duran should be able to get on base I expect someone batting behind to drive him home.

Key stat: Duran has scored in eight of 12 games against the Blue Jays this year.

Quick pick

Guerrero over 1.5 bases (+100): Forgive us for sounding like a broken record but there’s good reason to continue backing Guerrero at the plate.

Our Jordan Horrobin took this wager yesterday and it cashed when Vladdy shot a third-inning double into centre field. Guerrero has cleared this line in 35 of 59 games since the all-star break, including three of his last four.

He leads MLB in batting average (.382) and is second in OPS (1.153) since the Midsummer Classic.

Tonight’s matchup against Boston’s Richard Fitts profiles as a favourable one for Guerrero. The rookie righty hasn’t given up a run in three starts but he has allowed 13 hits in 15.2 IP with a .259 xBA.

Fitts is mainly a two-pitch guy, throwing a 95-mph fastball 44% of the time and a slider 33% of the time.

Guerrero is slugging .562 against fastballs and .732 against sliders.

Picks made at 8:10 a.m. on 09/25/24.