{"id":393401,"date":"2026-01-23T16:00:25","date_gmt":"2026-01-23T21:00:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=393401"},"modified":"2026-01-25T12:15:06","modified_gmt":"2026-01-25T17:15:06","slug":"australian-open-fourth-round-picks-january-24-25-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/australian-open-fourth-round-picks-january-24-25-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Australian Open fourth-round picks: Best bets on Sabalenka vs. Mboko, Medvedev vs. Tien"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Victoria Mboko is the last Canadian standing in Melbourne Park as we enter the fourth round of the Australian Open. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Mboko is a sizeable underdog against four-time Grand Slam winner and harcourt assassin Aryna Sabalenka. The Belarusian has won this tournament twice, while Mboko is looking to reach her first-ever Grand Slam quarterfinal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out my top Australian Open fourth-round picks for Jan. 24-25 at Melbourne Park, featuring a prediction on Daniil Medvedev vs. Learner Tien.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-> Join NorthStar Bets & bet on the Australian Open<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Australian Open fourth-round picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Best bet: Medvedev over 20.5 games won (-104)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Around this time last year, Tien eliminated Medvedev in the second round of the Australian Open.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That match required five sets, took four hours and 49 minutes, and was the start of a horrible year at the majors for Medvedev.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Russian crashed out of his next three grand slams, losing in the first round at each tournament while almost inciting a riot at the U.S. Open. Fun stuff.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-> Check out the third-round Australian Open schedule<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

But it seems like Medvedev has found “it” after bringing on an entirely new coaching staff.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

He’s a perfect 8-0 this year, with a win at the Brisbane International, and is 16-2 dating back to the Almaty Open in October. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

I’m leaning with Medvedev winning this match, but I don’t want to pay the -225 juice.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This wager provides a couple of strategic benefits, all but guaranteeing a cash if Medvedev wins in four-plus sets (assuming he doesn’t lose 6-2 in the outlier). Additionally, Medvedev could go over 20.5 games in a very tight four-set match or a five-set match where he loses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tien has played in one five-set and one four-set match already so far, and he’s 13-2 in his last 15 matches.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This has the makings of another thriller, and I like Medvedev’s chances of racking up games regardless of how it plays out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key stat:<\/strong> Medvedev has won at least 20 games in all seven of his Grand Slam matches dating back to last year’s battle against Tien. He is 5-2 against this line in that span.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Victoria Mboko Australian Open prediction<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Mboko +4.5 games (+123):<\/strong> Mboko rarely loses, and when she does, it’s not by a big margin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n