{"id":393398,"date":"2026-01-23T14:26:24","date_gmt":"2026-01-23T19:26:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=393398"},"modified":"2026-01-23T14:26:25","modified_gmt":"2026-01-23T19:26:25","slug":"golden-knights-vs-maple-leafs-picks-and-predictions-january-23","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/golden-knights-vs-maple-leafs-picks-and-predictions-january-23\/","title":{"rendered":"Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs picks: Best bets and predictions for Mitch Marner&#8217;s return to Toronto"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Mitch Marner takes the spotlight on Friday as the former Maple Leaf returns to Toronto for the first time as a member of the Vegas Golden Knights. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Marner left the Maple Leafs sitting fifth on the team&#8217;s all-time scoring list, but the oft-embattled forward is expected to receive a heavy dosage of boos tonight. Vegas beat Toronto in a 6-5 thriller last week and is a slight road favourite in this rematch north of the border.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs picks and NHL predictions for Jan. 23, featuring a prop bet on Auston Matthews.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.com\/promoRedirect?key=ej0xMzUyNTA0MiZsPTEzNTI1MDAwJnA9ODMzNw%3D%3D\">Join NorthStar Bets &amp; start betting on the NHL<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best bet: Matthews to score (+115)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>New year, old Matthews.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Toronto&#8217;s captain has caught fire in January after a slow start to the season, ripping home 10 goals in 11 games. Check out his league-wide ranks during that span, with stats provided by Natural Stat Trick:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>1st in goals (11)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>1st in scoring chances (61)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>10th in shots (39)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>That&#8217;s the Rocket Richard-winning version of No. 34 hockey fans have come to know. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.com\/promoRedirect?key=ej0xMzUyNTA0MiZsPTEzNTI1MDAwJnA9ODMzNw%3D%3D\">Bet on player props for Mitch Marner, Auston Matthews, and more<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Matthews has a 25.6% shooting percentage in January, so it&#8217;s fair to expect a bit of regression there. But his career average was around 16.5% before last year, which is still among the elite of the elite.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Confidence is everything, and Matthews is feeling it right now. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Vegas hasn&#8217;t confirmed its netminder yet, but all signs point to Adin Hill since Akira Schmid played yesterday against Boston.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hill has a 3.01 GAA and .873 SV% this year, which would rank 45th and 55th had he played enough games to qualify. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Matthews has 11 goals in 13 games against Vegas and has scored in three of his last four versus the Golden Knights (including last week with Hill in net). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NHL predictions for Marner&#8217;s Toronto return<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Over 6 goals (-120):<\/strong> If Hill plays, this would be his third start since returning from a lengthy injured reserve stint.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The early results have been ugly: Five goals allowed against Toronto, and two goals on 17 shots against the Philadelphia Flyers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In October, Hill posted an .888 SV% in five games. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Toronto&#8217;s offence has been among the league&#8217;s best since Christmas, averaging a blistering 3.5 goals across 14 games. For context, the Tampa Bay Lightning&#8217;s 3.5 goals per game rank second this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.com\/promoRedirect?key=ej0xMzUyNTA0MiZsPTEzNTI1MDAwJnA9ODMzNw%3D%3D\">Don&#8217;t miss out \u2014 bet on Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs now<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;m confident the Leafs can get after Hill, or whoever plays (all four of Vegas&#8217; goalies have a sub-.900 SV%), and I believe the Golden Knights will get their licks in, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Toronto&#8217;s defensive corps is decimated with Oliver-Ekman Larsson, Brandon Carlo, and Chris Tanev sidelined. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Vegas out-gunned Toronto for a 6-5 win last week and is 6-2-1 against this line in its last nine games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs picks made at 10:05 a.m. ET Jan. 23, 2026.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.com\/promoRedirect?key=ej0xMzUyNTA0MiZsPTEzNTI1MDAwJnA9ODMzNw%3D%3D\">Sign up to NorthStar Bets today<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mitch Marner takes the spotlight on Friday as the former Maple Leaf returns to Toronto for the first time as a member of the Vegas Golden Knights. The pregame narrative: Marner left the Maple Leafs sitting fifth on the team&#8217;s all-time scoring list, but the oft-embattled forward is expected to receive a heavy dosage of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":393344,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,58],"tags":[49],"class_list":["post-393398","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-nhl","tag-nhl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs NHL picks and predictions: Jan. 23<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs picks for Jan. 23, 2026. 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