{"id":393189,"date":"2026-01-22T11:51:19","date_gmt":"2026-01-22T16:51:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=393189"},"modified":"2026-01-24T11:58:57","modified_gmt":"2026-01-24T16:58:57","slug":"australian-open-third-round-picks-jan-22-23-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/australian-open-third-round-picks-jan-22-23-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Australian Open third-round picks: Best bets on Victoria Mboko, Taylor Fritz, Tomas Machac"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Rising Canadian star Victoria Mboko can punch her fourth-round ticket at the Australian Open with a win on Thursday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Mboko has never advanced past the third round at a slam, and she is a -200 favourite over Clara Tauson. I think there’s value backing Mboko to win in straight sets. The same can be said for Taylor Fritz, who faces 40-year-old Stan Wawrinka on the men’s side.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out my top Australian Open third-round picks for Jan. 22 and 23 at Melbourne Park, featuring a pick on Tomas Machac. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

-> Join NorthStar Bets & bet on the Australian Open<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Australian Open third-round picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Best bet: Fritz -2.5 sets (-137)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Wawrinka won the Australian Open in 2014 as part of a three-year tear where he also won the U.S. Open (2015) and French Open (2016) and was ranked ATP No. 3. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

But that was a long time ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swissman has barely played since 2020, posting a 37-44 record over the last two seasons. And hardly any of those matches were contested on the ATP tour.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-> Check out the third-round Australian Open schedule<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

I have to give Wawrinka his flowers for getting to this point and triumphing in an epic five-set battle against Arthur Gea on Thursday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It’s a good story, and an unlikely one, but Fritz should demolish the veteran in 40-degree heat with much less playing time under his belt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fritz has played 5:00 so far, needing 1:58 to get past his second-round opponent, Vit Kopriva. Wawrinka has played 7:53 and needed 4:33 to win his match against Gea.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key stat:<\/strong> Fritz has won seven of his last nine five-set matches against opponents outside of the ATP top 100 in straight sets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #122915<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Victoria Mboko Australian Open prediction<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Mboko -1.5 sets (+128):<\/strong> Mboko put herself on the map last year by winning a WTA 1000 title in Montreal and the WTA 250 title in Hong Kong. Now, the 19-year-old has grand slam expectations. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

-> Bet on Canadian Victoria Mboko at the Australian Open<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Canadian has started 2026 off hot, advancing to the final at the Adelaide International before picking up two straight-set wins to begin this tournament.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

She is now 54-10 on hard courts since the start of last season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mboko has forced an incredible 20 break points at the Australian Open so far, converting nine of them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tauson ranks 71st on the WTA in service games won this year (60.0%), so it’s likely Mboko will continue applying pressure on her return games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Dane went winless in Brisbane and Adelaide, the latter of which was a walkover after Tauson lost the first set, and needed three sets to win her second-round match at this event. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

I trust the in-form Canadian to get the job done, and quickly. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Australian Open pick: Musetti vs. Machac best bet<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Machac to win (+143):<\/strong> Machac is red-hot right now. He won the Adelaide International last week while dropping only two sets and just beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in a nail-biter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-> Bet on Machac in the third round of the Australian Open<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Overall, the Czech is 7-1 in 2026, improving his hard-court record to 187-91 (67.2%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lorenzo Musetti, who is favoured over Machac in the third round, is more of a clay-court specialist himself, boasting a 65.77% win rate on that surface.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On hard courts, the Italian hasn’t fared nearly as well, evidenced by his 55.4% win rate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Machac has faced Musetti once before, on hard court in Marseille, and demolished him, 6-3, 6-2.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Australian Open third-round picks made at 10:30 a.m. on Jan. 22, 2026.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rising Canadian star Victoria Mboko can punch her fourth-round ticket at the Australian Open with a win on Thursday. The pregame narrative: Mboko has never advanced past the third round at a slam, and she is a -200 favourite over Clara Tauson. I think there’s value backing Mboko to win in straight sets. The same […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":393203,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[128],"class_list":["post-393189","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tennis","tag-tennis"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nAustralian Open third-round picks: Jan. 22-23, 2026 | The Boost<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our 2026 Australian Open third-round picks. 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