{"id":392541,"date":"2026-01-15T15:34:51","date_gmt":"2026-01-15T20:34:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=392541"},"modified":"2026-01-18T12:41:55","modified_gmt":"2026-01-18T17:41:55","slug":"nfl-divisional-round-ats-picks-and-predictions-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nfl-divisional-round-ats-picks-and-predictions-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL divisional round ATS predictions: Against the spread picks for second round of playoffs"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The NFL divisional round is often heralded as the most exciting slate of the year. This weekend features four tight matchups split between Saturday and Sunday. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>NFL divisional round narrative:<\/strong> The Seattle Seahawks (-7) are the largest favourites on the board against their NFC West rival San Francisco 49ers. Every other game features a spread of four points or fewer, including a pick&#8217;em between Josh Allen&#8217;s Buffalo Bills and Bo Nix&#8217;s Denver Broncos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"us_only\"><a href=\"cacheembed:122861\">Embed: #122861<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out our staff&#8217;s NFL ATS predictions for the divisional round.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Join NorthStar Bets and start betting on the NFL<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NFL ATS predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>NorthStar Bets&#8217; Avery Perri, Jordan Horrobin and Chris Toman offer up their NFL ATS predictions for every playoff game on wild-card weekend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>NFL odds as of 2 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jan. 15, 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sunday&#8217;s against the spread playoff picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Texans vs. Patriots<\/strong> (<strong>Sunday, Jan. 18: 3:00 p.m. ET)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong>NorthStar Bets line:<\/strong><\/strong> New England -3<br><strong>Horrobin says:<\/strong> I think I&#8217;d prefer the under rather than an ATS play after seeing how both of these defences performed during wild-card weekend. But I do like the Pats to cover a field goal at home.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>New England, which dominated in a 16-3 win over the Chargers last Sunday, has been at home all month. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Texans, meanwhile, played on Monday in Pittsburgh before hitting the road again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"us_only\"><a href=\"cacheembed:122861\">Embed: #122861<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Houston&#8217;s defence is ferocious, and it put up a couple of defensive scores in the wild-card round, so that&#8217;s a concern. But MVP candidate Drake Maye, who led the NFL in completion percentage, is responsible enough to trust.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>New England is 8-3-1 ATS as a home favourite, and the team is 12-2-1 vs. this spread since Week 4. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I still don&#8217;t trust C.J. Stroud in road outdoor games, where he&#8217;s 7-8 with an 83.9 passer rating (average NFL passer rating this year was 91.4).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Staff picks<\/strong>: Perri (NE) | Horrobin (NE) | Toman (HOU)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Rams vs. Bears<\/strong> (<strong>Sunday, Jan. 18: 6:30 p.m. ET)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong>NorthStar Bets line:<\/strong><\/strong> Los Angeles -4<br><strong>Perri says:<\/strong> Chicago is coming off a potentially franchise-altering win, erasing an 18-point deficit to eliminate the Green Bay Packers at Soldier Field. I think the Bears got their postseason jitters out of the way and can strike while the iron is hot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Caleb Williams and Co. are 7-2 at home this year with a +68 point differential. The Bears covered a +4 spread in both losses, too. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"us_only\"><a href=\"cacheembed:122861\">Embed: #122861<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Los Angeles&#8217; defence hasn&#8217;t impressed me recently, giving up 29.75 PPG over the final four weeks of the regular season before allowing the Carolina Panthers to score 31 points in the wild-card round.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the cold, I expect the L.A.-based Rams to struggle. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Staff picks<\/strong>: Perri (CHI) | Horrobin (CHI) | Toman (CHI)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>NFL regular season + playoff ATS records:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Toman<\/strong>: 134-130-8 (2-2-0)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Perri<\/strong>: 133-131-8, (0-4-0)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Horrobin<\/strong>: 123-141-8, (2-2-0)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"us_only\"><a href=\"cacheembed:122861\">Embed: #122861<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Sign up to NorthStar Bets today<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The NFL divisional round is often heralded as the most exciting slate of the year. This weekend features four tight matchups split between Saturday and Sunday. NFL divisional round narrative: The Seattle Seahawks (-7) are the largest favourites on the board against their NFC West rival San Francisco 49ers. Every other game features a spread [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":392545,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[181],"class_list":["post-392541","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NFL ATS predictions: 2026 against the spread playoff picks<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our 2026 divisional round NFL ATS predictions. 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