{"id":392340,"date":"2026-01-14T12:05:57","date_gmt":"2026-01-14T17:05:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=392340"},"modified":"2026-01-14T12:12:01","modified_gmt":"2026-01-14T17:12:01","slug":"nfl-divisional-prop-bets-and-predictions-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nfl-divisional-prop-bets-and-predictions-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL divisional prop bets: Bet on tight ends Jake Tonges, Colston Loveland to shine"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>I&#8217;ve got one player prop from each of the four NFL divisional playoff matchups kicking off over the weekend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>NFL wild-card prop bets narrative:<\/strong> Out of the gate on Saturday, the Buffalo Bills should look to get the ball into the reliable hands of Khalil Shakir. Later on, Jake Tonges is a name to know as the San Francisco 49ers look to replace the irreplaceable George Kittle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my top NFL divisional prop bets, featuring Sunday predictions on Drake Maye and Colston Loveland.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NFL<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NFL divisional prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best bet: Maye over 35.5 rush yards (-110)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Maye&#8217;s mobility was on display in the wild-card round, as he rushed for a season-high 66 yards on 10 carries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Keep in mind that three of those &#8220;rushes&#8221; were kneeldowns that cost him a yard apiece. So in terms of meaningful plays, he actually turned seven carries into 69 yards &#8230; essentially twice what I&#8217;m asking for with this pick.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I thought about backing Maye over 6.5 rush attempts, which includes the potential upside of kneeldowns for the New England Patriots (-3), but this yardage total feels like the right play based on the matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>During the regular season, the Houston Texans allowed the fewest rush attempts to quarterbacks (3.1\/game). But they also allowed the most yards per rush (6.4).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\"><strong>Bet on player props for Texans vs. Patriots here<\/strong><\/a><strong>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Houston has two elite pass-rushers in Will Anderson and Danielle Hunter. They were two of just 10 NFL players with at least 12.0 sacks this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Maye should feel some heat in this game, and the Texans&#8217; pass defence (No. 1 in EPA per dropback, No. 4 in net yards per attempt) likely won&#8217;t give him much to throw to downfield.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A handful of effective scrambles will get New England&#8217;s talented QB1 across this line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Since Week 15, Maye is averaging 6.2 yards\/rush and 39.4 yards\/game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"product_only\"><a href=\"cacheembed:122779\">Embed: #122779<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\"><strong>Visit NorthStar Bets for all NFL divisional betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best NFL picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Shakir 6+ catches (+115):<\/strong> Josh Allen took a beating last week and should be under siege again with the ferocious Denver Broncos defence bearing down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Denver led the NFL this season in sacks per game (4.0) and QB knockdown rate (13.5%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To counteract that pressure, Allen will likely want to get the ball out quickly. His most reliable outlet is Shakir, who&#8217;s coming off a stellar game (12 targets, 12 catches, 82 yards).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Shakir&#8217;s catch rate (75.8%) ranks in the 91st percentile, per RotoWire. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>That has a lot to do with his average depth of target (3.9 yards), which ranks in the second percentile. Shakir sees a lot of high-percentage looks close to the line of scrimmage.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>In last year&#8217;s wild-card playoff matchup against Denver, Shakir caught all six of his targets for 61 yards. He has now cashed this bet in five straight playoff games.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Loveland over 4.5 catches (-120):<\/strong> Did you know that Loveland led the Bears in receiving yards this year?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He got off to a slow start, as many rookies do, but the tight end out of the University of Michigan really turned it on down the stretch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>First nine games:<\/strong> 33 targets, 24 catches, 329 yards, 2 TDs<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Last eight games:<\/strong> 64 targets, 42 catches, 521 yards, 4 TDs<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Loveland has 10+ targets and 90+ yards in three straight games. Chicago should continue feeding him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Also, the Rams allowed an average of 5.4 receptions per game to opposing tight ends this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\"><strong>Back Colston Loveland vs. Rams<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NFL player prop prediction<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Tonges over 35.5 receiving yards (-115):<\/strong> Kittle&#8217;s season-ending Achilles injury is crushing for the 49ers, obviously. And Tonges isn&#8217;t a one-for-one replacement, but I expect him to be productive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kittle got hurt in the middle of San Francisco&#8217;s Week 1 game against Seattle, forcing Tonges into action. He caught all three of his targets in that game, including one that resulted in the game-winning touchdown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Don&#8217;t miss out \u2014 bet on the NFL divisional slate<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tonges has played six full games without Kittle this season. Here&#8217;s how that went:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>6.7 targets\/game<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>4.8 catches\/game<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>44.8 yards\/game<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>4-2 vs. this prop<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The Seahawks allowed the sixth-most yards to opposing tight ends this year, and Tonges will have a TE1-sized opportunity that makes this prop perfectly attainable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>NFL divisional prop bets made at 11:53 a.m. ET on Jan. 14, 2026<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Sign up to NorthStar Bets today<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;ve got one player prop from each of the four NFL divisional playoff matchups kicking off over the weekend. NFL wild-card prop bets narrative: Out of the gate on Saturday, the Buffalo Bills should look to get the ball into the reliable hands of Khalil Shakir. Later on, Jake Tonges is a name to know [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":392360,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-392340","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NFL divisional prop bets: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | The Boost<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our 2026 NFL divisional prop bets. 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