{"id":392305,"date":"2026-01-13T15:48:31","date_gmt":"2026-01-13T20:48:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=392305"},"modified":"2026-01-13T15:48:31","modified_gmt":"2026-01-13T20:48:31","slug":"nfl-playoff-best-bets-divisional-round-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nfl-playoff-best-bets-divisional-round-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL divisional round best bets: Bet on Buffalo to win, Brock Purdy to have big game"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The NFL divisional round has arrived with four great games on deck this weekend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>NFL divisional round narrative:<\/strong> Every AFC team holds odds between +230 and +330 to win the conference. The path is wide open for a long-awaited Josh Allen Super Bowl appearance, and the Buffalo Bills are a strong moneyline pick against the Denver Broncos. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out our NFL playoff best bets for the divisional round, featuring prop bets on Brock Purdy and TreVeyon Henderson.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.com\/promoRedirect?key=ej0xMzUyNTA0MiZsPTEzNTI1MDAwJnA9ODMzNw%3D%3D\">Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NFL<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NFL playoff best bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><em>NFL playoff best bets were written by NorthStar Bets writers Avery Perri and Chris Toman.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bills moneyline (-110):<\/strong> The Bills just went into Jacksonville and beat the NFL&#8217;s hottest team in a back-and-forth thriller.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Jags entered the playoffs on an eight-game heater, putting up big numbers on both sides of the ball:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>+19.1 average margin of victory<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>1st in defensive EPA per play<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>6th in offensive EPA per play <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>In that span, Jacksonville beat Denver by 14 on the road. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I had the Jags to win last week, but a heroic Allen performance ripped up that ticket. The QB had 306 total yards, three TDs, and a 108.7 passer rating without a turnover.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.com\/promoRedirect?key=ej0xMzUyNTA0MiZsPTEzNTI1MDAwJnA9ODMzNw%3D%3D\">See moneyline odds for all NFL playoff games<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In hindsight, betting against the reigning MVP was a bad call.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bo Nix has had a fine season, but I don&#8217;t trust him to out-duel Allen in what should be a close game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Broncos only had four multi-score wins this season, and don&#8217;t have the run game to expose Buffalo&#8217;s big weakness.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is a battle of good versus great at QB, and I&#8217;ll take great. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>-Perri<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NFL playoff prop predictions<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Purdy over 231.5 pass yards (-113)<\/strong>: There are plenty of reasons to love Purdy at this number. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Purdy has cleared this line four times in his last five contests.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The 49ers&#8217; Week 18 dud vs. Seattle was the one time he fell short. San Francisco&#8217;s quarterback went under three other times this season, all double-digit Niners wins.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>In his last four playoff games, Purdy is 4-0 vs. this number and has thrown more than 30 pass attempts in each outing.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.com\/promoRedirect?key=ej0xMzUyNTA0MiZsPTEzNTI1MDAwJnA9ODMzNw%3D%3D\">Bet on NFL playoff props<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Purdy&#8217;s 49ers are expected to be playing catch-up, opening as the biggest underdogs of the divisional round.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If San Francisco is, in fact, playing&nbsp;from behind, then Purdy should put plenty of balls in the air as the Niners lean on the passing game. And a pass-heavy formula might be the play regardless.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The rested Seahawks, who earned a bye by dominating the 49ers to close out the season, have one of the best run defences in the NFL.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They&#8217;ve shut down star running back Christian McCaffrey on two occasions already. McCaffrey managed 99 yards on 30 carries&nbsp;in his two meetings vs. Seattle, a measly 3.3 yards per attempt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He hasn&#8217;t been consistent on the ground but has been active and effective as a receiver. McCaffrey was second in the NFL in yards after catch and is likely to be targeted a ton.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>His YAC production will&nbsp;have to remain strong with George Kittle out and Ricky Pearsall&#8217;s status unclear after missing Week 18 and the wild-card game with a knee injury.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211;<em>Toman<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best Texans vs. Patriots prop bet<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Henderson over 39.5 rushing yards (-118):<\/strong> Henderson and the New England Patriots host the league&#8217;s best defence on Sunday, so this is far from an easy matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But this line is too low for me to pass up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Houston Texans allowed just 93.7 rushing yards per game in the regular season, and held the Pittsburgh Steelers to 63 rushing yards on 18 attempts in the wild-card round. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.com\/promoRedirect?key=ej0xMzUyNTA0MiZsPTEzNTI1MDAwJnA9ODMzNw%3D%3D\">Don&#8217;t miss out \u2014 bet on the NFL divisional round now<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even then, Jaylen Warren managed to clear this total on 12 carries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Henderson is in a timeshare with Rhamondre Stevenson, but generally gets enough volume to clear this line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The rookie averaged 13.5 attempts and 75.8 rushing yards in the final 10 games of the season, logging 50-plus rush yards nine times.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I won&#8217;t let a quiet wild-card performance (nine carries, 27 yards) cloud the bigger picture.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bet on Bears ATS vs. Rams<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bears +4.5 (-124):<\/strong> I like the Bears to win this game outright.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Chicago played some horrible football in the first half of its game against the Green Bay Packers, before staging an epic comeback to win 31-27.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tidying up the first 30 minutes will be key in beating a team like Los Angeles, and I&#8217;m hoping last week&#8217;s slow start was simply playoff jitters for a young roster.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.com\/promoRedirect?key=ej0xMzUyNTA0MiZsPTEzNTI1MDAwJnA9ODMzNw%3D%3D\">Visit NorthStar Bets for full NFL playoff markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Bears have been an elite team at home this year, going 7-2 and covering this spread in every game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And home-field advantage should be a big factor. It projects to be cold (-14 degrees Celsius) and inhospitable at Soldier Field, which doesn&#8217;t bode well for the L.A.-based Rams.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Matthew Stafford has historically struggled in cold temperatures, throwing five interceptions in two games this year played below 10 degrees Celsius.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He\u2019s also dealing with a finger sprain on his throwing hand, which could make it even more difficult to control the ball in windy conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.com\/promoRedirect?key=ej0xMzUyNTA0MiZsPTEzNTI1MDAwJnA9ODMzNw%3D%3D\">Sign up to NorthStar Bets today<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The NFL divisional round has arrived with four great games on deck this weekend. NFL divisional round narrative: Every AFC team holds odds between +230 and +330 to win the conference. The path is wide open for a long-awaited Josh Allen Super Bowl appearance, and the Buffalo Bills are a strong moneyline pick against the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":392287,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,61],"tags":[181],"class_list":["post-392305","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-nfl","tag-nfl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NFL playoff best bets: Divisional round picks &amp; predictions<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our divisional round NFL playoff best bets. 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