{"id":392005,"date":"2026-01-10T11:52:07","date_gmt":"2026-01-10T16:52:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=392005"},"modified":"2026-01-10T11:52:07","modified_gmt":"2026-01-10T16:52:07","slug":"texans-vs-steelers-wild-card-game-sgp-picks-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/texans-vs-steelers-wild-card-game-sgp-picks-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Texans vs. Steelers wild-card SGP predictions: Bet on Watt and Rodgers to help Pittsburgh advance"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The NFL wild-card round concludes in Pittsburgh on Monday Night Football, with the Steelers looking for their first playoff win in a decade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Aaron Rodgers led the Steelers to a 4-1 record down the stretch to keep the season (and potentially his career) alive. Now, Pittsburgh is a slight home underdog against a Houston Texans team that has won 10 straight games heading into the postseason.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Texans vs. Steelers picks, featuring predictions on Rodgers and T.J. Watt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NFL<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading acq_only\">Texans vs. Steelers picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>SGP: Steelers moneyline | Rodgers 175+ passing yards | Watt to record a sack (+425)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Steelers moneyline (+140):<\/strong> Backing Houston might seem like a no-brainer. The Texans own the league&#8217;s top scoring defence and haven&#8217;t lost since Nov. 2.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But I love Pittsburgh as a home underdog. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Steelers&#8217; defence is humming right now, holding opponents to 19.6 PPG in their last five. In that span, they beat the Detroit Lions and Baltimore Ravens (twice).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Bet on NFL wild-card weekend<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That unit should wreak havoc against C.J. Stroud, who has very suspect road splits:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Texans went 1-3 against playoff teams on the road this year. Stroud had four TDs and six INTs in those games.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Stroud&#8217;s career road splits (214 passing yards\/game, 85.5 passer rating) are much worse than his home splits (258.9 passing yards\/game, 101.2 passer rating).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>I fully trust Rodgers to out-duel his counterpart with DK Metcalf back in the fold. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"product_only\"><a href=\"cacheembed:122719\">Embed: #122719<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Texans vs. Steelers prop prediction<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Rodgers 175+ passing yards<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong> (-230):<\/strong> Only two players, Cam Heyward and Chris Bowell, remain from Pittsburgh&#8217;s 2016 roster when it toppled the Kansas City Chiefs to reach the AFC Championship game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This squad isn&#8217;t flush with playoff-winning pedigree, save for Rodgers, who secured a Super Bowl title with the Green Bay Packers in 2011, coincidentally, against the Steelers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I say the veteran does his part to get Pittsburgh into the divisional round.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Go to full NFL player prop markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rodgers went 11-5 against this milestone, throwing for at least 224 yards in all four of Pittsburgh&#8217;s wins down the stretch. He went under it against the Cleveland Browns, but was missing Metcalf.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Houston&#8217;s defence is fierce, and the Steelers will need to implement a balanced attack to move the ball.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Veterans like Marquez-Valdez Scantling and Adam Theilin have gotten reps down the stretch, and it feels like Pittsburgh&#8217;s offence is peaking at the right time. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"> SGP prediction: T.J. Watt pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong><strong>Watt to record a sack <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>(+106):<\/strong> Watt didn&#8217;t record a sack in the final three games of the season, and had just seven on the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The 31-year-old is no longer a mainstay in Defensive Player of the Year conversations, but he&#8217;s no pushover and should feast in this matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After all, Houston&#8217;s offensive line is its achillies heel. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>According to ESPN, the Texans are 30th in pass-block win rate (56%) and 32nd in run-block win rate (68%).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>PFF had the offensive line ranked as the No. 27 unit following Week 18.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Bet on Watt to record a sack on MNF<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Texans vs. Steelers picks made at 11:30 a.m. on Jan. 10, 2025. <\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Sign up to NorthStar Bets today<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The NFL wild-card round concludes in Pittsburgh on Monday Night Football, with the Steelers looking for their first playoff win in a decade. The pregame narrative: Aaron Rodgers led the Steelers to a 4-1 record down the stretch to keep the season (and potentially his career) alive. Now, Pittsburgh is a slight home underdog against [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":392041,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[181],"class_list":["post-392005","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Texans vs. Steelers picks: NFL wild-card predictions | The Boost<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Our Texans vs. Steelers picks for the 2026 wild-card game. 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