{"id":391733,"date":"2026-01-08T13:48:56","date_gmt":"2026-01-08T18:48:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=391733"},"modified":"2026-01-08T14:00:14","modified_gmt":"2026-01-08T19:00:14","slug":"bills-vs-jaguars-wild-card-game-sgp-predictions-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/bills-vs-jaguars-wild-card-game-sgp-predictions-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Bills vs. Jaguars wild-card game SGP predictions: Bet on Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville to win home playoff match"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Jacksonville Jaguars and Buffalo Bills kick off Sunday&#8217;s wild-card slate with an epic quarterback duel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Josh Allen has done everything but win a Super Bowl in the NFL, and Buffalo is a slim 1-point favourite as it looks for an elusive road playoff win. That means getting past Trevor Lawrence, who played at an MVP level to end the season, leading Jacksonville to a 13-4 record. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Bills vs. Jaguars predictions for Jan. 11, featuring both quarterbacks in a +340 SGP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NFL<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bills vs. Jaguars predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>SGP: <strong>Jaguars moneyline | Lawrence 20+ rushing yards | Allen 225+ passing yard<\/strong>s (+340)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Jaguars moneyline (-103):<\/strong> Bills fans know nothing but pain, and I think the NFL&#8217;s hottest team will administer a lethal dose on Sunday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jacksonville has won eight straight games by an average margin of 19.1 points, behind an electric offence and stonewall defence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since Week 10 (stats via RBSDM.com):<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Offence:<\/strong> 33.6 PPG, 6th in EPA per play<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Defence:<\/strong> 14.5 PPG, 1st in EPA per play<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Don&#8217;t miss out \u2014 click here to bet on Bills vs. Jaguars<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Jags&#8217; defence is playing on another level right now, and I trust it will slow Allen down. The Bills have averaged a solid 25.0 PPG on the road, but that&#8217;s much lower than their 31.2 PPG mark at home.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>More importantly, I can&#8217;t picture Buffalo&#8217;s defence holding up against Jacksonville&#8217;s run game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Bills&#8217; D ranks bottom five in yards per rush (5.1), rushing yards per game (136.2) and EPA per rush.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Allen is 0-4 on the road in the playoffs in his career, and his supporting cast isn&#8217;t good enough to buck that trend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:122681\">Embed: #122681<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bills vs. Jaguars playoff picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Lawrence 20+ rushing yards (-182):<\/strong> Lawrence has been a man possessed since Jacksonville&#8217;s Week 8 bye, using his legs and arm to put up some gaudy stats (27 total TDs, 99.9 passer rating).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I want to focus on him as a rusher in this SGP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>T-Law didn&#8217;t run much in a 34-point rout of the Tennessee Titans in Week 18. The last thing Jacksonville wanted was for him to take an unnecessary shot. But let&#8217;s look at the nine games prior:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>26.1 rushing yards\/game<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>7-2 vs. this line<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>7 rushing TDs<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Check out NorthStar Bets&#8217; full wild-card prop markets<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Buffalo has a bottom-of-the-barrel run defence, and Lawrence should leave everything on the line to secure a W on Sunday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Josh Allen prop pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Allen 225+ passing yards (-148):<\/strong> Buffalo&#8217;s postseason shortcomings can&#8217;t be laid at Allen&#8217;s feet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 13 playoff games, the signal-caller has averaged 258.4 passing yards with a 101.7 passer rating, throwing 24 TDs to four INTs. He&#8217;s also balled out on the road (four games):<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>279.3 passing yards\/game<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>94.9 passer rating<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>8 TDs, 1 INT<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Allen has logged at least 237 passing yards in every road playoff game, smashing this mark three times. On the whole, he&#8217;s 9-4 against this line in the postseason.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Jags&#8217; defence is fierce, but I expect Buffalo to be trailing and for Allen to be put in a pass-first mindset.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even with an underwhelming receiving corps, the reigning MVP should clear this teased-down milestone. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Bills vs. Jaguars<\/em> <em>predictions made at 12:30 p.m. ET on Jan. 8, 2026.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Sign up to NorthStar Bets today<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Jacksonville Jaguars and Buffalo Bills kick off Sunday&#8217;s wild-card slate with an epic quarterback duel. The pregame narrative: Josh Allen has done everything but win a Super Bowl in the NFL, and Buffalo is a slim 1-point favourite as it looks for an elusive road playoff win. That means getting past Trevor Lawrence, who [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":391760,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[181],"class_list":["post-391733","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bills vs. Jaguars predictions: NFL wild-card SGP picks | The Boost<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Bills vs. Jaguars predictions for the 2026 wild-card game. 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