{"id":387485,"date":"2025-12-19T15:33:35","date_gmt":"2025-12-19T20:33:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=387485"},"modified":"2025-12-19T15:33:35","modified_gmt":"2025-12-19T20:33:35","slug":"nfl-td-picks-and-predictions-week-16-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nfl-td-picks-and-predictions-week-16-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Week 16 TD picks: Back Josh Allen and Kyle Pitts on Sunday"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Kyle Pitts is coming off a monster game and headlines this week&#8217;s NFL touchdown picks. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: Pitts found the end zone three times last week, and draws a great matchup against the Arizona Cardinals during Sunday&#8217;s afternoon window. On Saturday, I expect Saquon Barkley to score in a potential playoff-clinching game for the Philadelphia Eagles<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my top NFL Week 16 TD picks, featuring a pick on Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NFL<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">NFL Week 16 TD picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Best bet: Pitts to score (+140)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Did we just see the &#8220;real&#8221; Kyle Pitts? Or was last week&#8217;s performance against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers just a flash in the pan? <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>11 catches<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>166 yards<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>3 TDs<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;m not sure, but I think it&#8217;s fair to say Kirk Cousins has unlocked the tight end. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pitts only had one 10-plus target game in all of his games with Michael Penix Jr. starting. He now has back-to-back games of 10-plus targets with Cousins at the helm.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Go to full Falcons vs. Cardinals prop markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The former No. 4 overall pick is averaging eight catches and 112.6 yards in his last three contests. He should stay hot in this week&#8217;s Grade-A matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Arizona has allowed the eighth-most yards (893) and sixth-most touchdowns (seven) to opposing tight ends this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Cardinals&#8217; linebacking corps is awful in pass coverage, and that should be a matchup that Cousins and Pitts exploit again and again. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: Quarterbacks have a 108.3 passer rating when targeting Arizona&#8217;s tight ends, per RotoWire.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\"><strong>Don&#8217;t miss out \u2014 Bet on NFL Week 16<\/strong><\/a><strong>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-fa134a48-a478-432b-95e0-66881f0d337b\">NFL Week 16 touchdown bets<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Allen to score (-112):<\/strong> Allen&#8217;s MVP case is getting louder by the week, and I say he puts together another monster performance on Sunday against the Cleveland Browns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The QB threw for three TDs last week to upend the New England Patriots, and logged 11 carries for 48 yards on the ground.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He didn&#8217;t find the end zone himself, but was really close on a few occasions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>-&gt; <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\"><strong>Bet on NFL Sunday prop markets<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Allen has 12 rushing TDs on the season, and has cashed this bet in six of his last eight games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cleveland has the best defensive player in the game, but Myles Garrett can only do so much. The rest of the squad has regressed big time, and the Browns&#8217; defence has been sieve-like in recent weeks. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Barkley to score (-121):<\/strong> This price seems too good to pass up. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Barkley has really struggled from an efficiency standpoint this year, but he still gets a ton of looks and finds the end zone at a respectable rate:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>240 carries (fourth)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>37 red zone carries (10th)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Eight total TDs (22nd)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The dynamic tailback scored 15 TDs in last year&#8217;s OPOY-winning season with the Eagles, so we&#8217;ve seen a decent fall off, but Barkley should feast against the Washington Commanders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Washington allows the seventh-most points (26.8) and second-most yards (382.6) per game and ranks 31st in defensive EPA play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Barkley scored seven touchdowns in his three regular-season and playoff games against a much better version of this Commanders team last year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>NFL TD picks made at 3 p.m. ET on Dec. 19, 2025. <\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Sign up to NorthStar Bets today<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Kyle Pitts is coming off a monster game and headlines this week&#8217;s NFL touchdown picks. The pregame narrative: Pitts found the end zone three times last week, and draws a great matchup against the Arizona Cardinals during Sunday&#8217;s afternoon window. On Saturday, I expect Saquon Barkley to score in a potential playoff-clinching game for the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":387511,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[181],"class_list":["post-387485","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NFL Week 16 TD picks: Odds, best bets &amp; predictions | The Boost<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our 2025 NFL Week 16 TD picks. 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