{"id":386754,"date":"2025-12-12T13:33:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-12T18:33:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=386754"},"modified":"2025-12-12T13:33:01","modified_gmt":"2025-12-12T18:33:01","slug":"bills-vs-patriots-week-15-sgp-predictions-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/bills-vs-patriots-week-15-sgp-predictions-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Bills vs. Patriots Week 15 SGP predictions: Look for Diggs, Kincaid to have standout performances"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots take part in a pivotal AFC East matchup on Sunday afternoon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> If the Patriots win, they will secure the top spot in the division with a few weeks left to play. Buffalo, on the other hand, can even the season series and stay in the race with a win on the road.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Bills vs. Patriots SGP predictions, featuring picks on Stefon Diggs and Dalton Kincaid.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NFL<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading acq_only\">Bills vs. Patriots predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>SGP: Patriots +3.5 | Diggs 50+ receiving yards | Kincaid 40+ receiving yards (+375)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Patriots +3.5<\/strong> <strong>(-180):<\/strong> I&#8217;m backing the Patriots to clinch the division in our staff&#8217;s NFL best bets for Week 15, but I will take them to cover an alternate spread in this SGP. Let me explain why:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>New England already has a win over Buffalo this season, handing the Bills their only home loss so far.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Patriots are on a 10-game winning streak and have the NFL&#8217;s best record at 11-2.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Buffalo is a measly 3-3 away from home.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Bet on NFL Week 15<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A lot of those road woes are due to Josh Allen&#8217;s stats taking a serious dip. His passer rating drops almost 40 points from 119.2 at home to 82.2 on the road.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In those six away games, Allen has thrown only six touchdowns to go with his six interceptions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And then there&#8217;s the fact that the Bills always struggle against their division rival. The Patriots have won three of the past five meetings and went 5-0 ATS.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"product_only\"><a href=\"cacheembed:122120\">Embed: #122120<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Other SGP picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong>Diggs 50+ receiving yards<\/strong><\/strong> (-121):<\/strong> Revenge game part two? I think so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Diggs went off against his former team in the first matchup, hauling in 10 catches for 146 yards. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For the season, he leads Patriots wide receivers in receptions (64) and yards (705). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Go to full NFL player prop markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>New England averages the second-most passing yards per game, so I expect the Pats to make it a priority to attack through the air.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And Diggs is the WR1 on this team. No other player has more than 45 catches this season. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He&#8217;s the most consistent guy out there for New England with the added motivation to stick it to his old team.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I foresee a big performance from Diggs on Sunday afternoon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong>Kincaid 40+ receiving yards<\/strong> (-141):<\/strong> Kincaid is a top option for Josh Allen when healthy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The tight end has suited up for nine games and has 489 receiving yards and five touchdowns.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>It&#8217;s the progression you want to see out of the third-year pro. His 54.3 yards per game is a career best.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Kincaid also happened to have his best game of the season vs. New England. In Week 5, he had six catches for 108 yards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That&#8217;s partly because the Patriots can fall victim to the pass. They give up 206.9 passing yards per game, which is right around league-average.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tight ends have 79 receptions against them this season. That&#8217;s tied for the seventh most in the NFL.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Everything points to Kincaid having an above-average performance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Bills vs. Patriots predictions made at 11:52 a.m. on Dec. 12, 2025. <\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Sign up to NorthStar Bets today<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots take part in a pivotal AFC East matchup on Sunday afternoon. The pregame narrative: If the Patriots win, they will secure the top spot in the division with a few weeks left to play. Buffalo, on the other hand, can even the season series and stay in the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":386799,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[181,678],"class_list":["post-386754","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl","tag-nfl-sgp"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bills vs. Patriots predictions: Week 15 SGP | The Boost<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our 2025 Week 15 Bills vs. Patriots SGP predictions. 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