{"id":385881,"date":"2025-12-07T12:31:53","date_gmt":"2025-12-07T17:31:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=385881"},"modified":"2025-12-07T12:31:53","modified_gmt":"2025-12-07T17:31:53","slug":"texans-vs-chiefs-week-14-snf-sgp-predictions-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/texans-vs-chiefs-week-14-snf-sgp-predictions-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Texans vs. Chiefs SNF Week 14 SGP predictions: Fade Mahomes and back Collins at +320"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Kansas City Chiefs and Houston Texans close out Sunday&#8217;s NFL slate with a playoff-like matchup at Arrowhead Stadium.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Kansas City desperately needs a win to stay in the postseason hunt, and is a slight home favourite tonight. The Texans have won four straight games and look to exact some revenge after the Chiefs eliminated them in the postseason last year. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Texans vs. Chiefs SGP predictions for Dec. 7, featuring Patrick Mahomes and Nico Collins.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NFL<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Texans vs. Chiefs SGP<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>SGP: Chiefs +6.5 | Mahomes under 1.5 passing TDs | Collins 60+ receiving yards (+320)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Chiefs +6.5 (-530):<\/strong> This is the worst version of the Chiefs we&#8217;ve seen with Mahomes at the helm, but that doesn&#8217;t mean they&#8217;re a pushover.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kansas City is 6-6 with wins over the Detroit Lions and Baltimore Ravens. Its losses have been by a combined 25 points, and it has covered this spread in all but one game (Week 9 at Buffalo). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Go to full Texans vs. Chiefs markets for Sunday Night Football<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mahomes is still a baller, and the defence is still capable of stifling opponents, especially at home. That&#8217;s bad news for Stroud, who has historically struggled on the road:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>KC is allowing 14.0 PPG in its six games at Arrowhead Stadium.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Houston is 10-11 on the road while averaging 20.4 PPG with Stroud starting.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The Texans went into Arrowhead twice last year and lost, scoring 15 and 19 points in the defeats. I expect the Chiefs to win a gritty, defensively-minded battle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"product_only\"><a href=\"cacheembed:121974\">Embed: #121974<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sunday Night Football SGP picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Mahomes under 1.5 passing TDs (-130):<\/strong> I just explained why Kansas City has a good shot to win this game, but allow me to put some respect on Houston&#8217;s defence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Texans are allowing the fewest yards (265.7) and points (16.5) per game and rank first in RBSDM.com&#8217;s EPA per play. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And the most impressive part is they wreak havoc while rarely blitzing and disguising coverages:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">How often defenses blitz and how often they disguise coverage pre-snap to post-snap <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/hHW8ElqHYm\">pic.twitter.com\/hHW8ElqHYm<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Football Insights \ud83d\udcca (@fball_insights) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/fball_insights\/status\/1996716125451874378?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 4, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Don&#8217;t miss out \u2014 check out NorthStar Bets&#8217; SNF prop markets<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Simply put, DeMeco Ryans has a bunch of dogs lining up on that side of the ball. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mahomes has had a hyper-efficient year and is coming off a four-touchdown game. But he threw just one TD in the three games prior, and should struggle against the Texans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Houston is allowing just 1.0 passing TD per game (second-fewest in the NFL). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Collins 60+ receiving yards (-159):<\/strong> Lastly, I&#8217;m betting on Collins to reach a modest receiving milestone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The sixth-year wideout is on a nice five-game stretch, doing most of this damage with Davis Mills at the helm:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>91.2 yards\/game<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>6.2 catches\/game<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>9.8 targets\/game<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Collins caught 5-of-10 passes for 98 yards in Stroud&#8217;s return last week and should see a similar workload tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This mark is well within reach, even with Stroud&#8217;s road struggles and KC&#8217;s solid defence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Remember, we&#8217;re talking about a guy who&#8217;s averaged 78.3 receiving yards over the last two seasons. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Texans vs. Chiefs predictions made at 11:15 a.m. ET on Dec. 7, 2025.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Sign up to NorthStar Bets today<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Kansas City Chiefs and Houston Texans close out Sunday&#8217;s NFL slate with a playoff-like matchup at Arrowhead Stadium. The pregame narrative: Kansas City desperately needs a win to stay in the postseason hunt, and is a slight home favourite tonight. The Texans have won four straight games and look to exact some revenge after [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":385884,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[181],"class_list":["post-385881","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Texans vs. Chiefs SGP: 2025 SNF predictions | The Boost<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our 2025 Week 14 Texans vs. Chiefs SGP predictions. 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