{"id":385807,"date":"2025-12-06T16:40:13","date_gmt":"2025-12-06T21:40:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=385807"},"modified":"2025-12-06T16:40:14","modified_gmt":"2025-12-06T21:40:14","slug":"rockets-vs-mavericks-sgp-predictions-december-6-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/rockets-vs-mavericks-sgp-predictions-december-6-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Rockets vs. Mavericks SGP predictions Dec. 6: Fade Durant, but bet on Houston to win on the road"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>It&#8217;s an all-Texas matchup tonight in Dallas, where the Mavericks host the Houston Rockets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Houston has been steamrolling plenty of teams lately, winning four of its past six by 19+ points. The Rockets, who beat Dallas at home in early November, are 7.5-point favourites on the road.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my +425 Rockets vs. Mavericks SGP predictions for Dec. 6, featuring prop picks on Kevin Durant and Anthony Davis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NBA<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Rockets vs. Mavericks SGP predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Parlay: Davis under 11.5 rebounds | Rockets -5.5 | Durant under 1.5 threes (+425)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong>Davis under 11.5 rebounds <\/strong><\/strong>(-136):<\/strong> I don&#8217;t like fading Davis as a rebounder, but this is a high enough total that I&#8217;m good with backing the under. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Davis has averaged 10.7 rebounds\/game in his career, and he&#8217;s been under 11.5 RPG in nine of 14 seasons.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He&#8217;s gone under this total in five of nine games so far this year.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The Rockets are allowing the fewest rebounds to opposing centres (11.6\/game), according to Fantasy Pros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Wager on Anthony Davis &amp; more NBA props at NorthStar Bets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Alperen Sengun (illness) didn&#8217;t play last night. But as long as he&#8217;s healthy enough to go, that means he&#8217;ll be adequately rested for Saturday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Davis, meanwhile, played 24 minutes on the road last night. In his career, he&#8217;s averaged 9.9 rebounds when playing on zero rest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"product_only\"><a href=\"cacheembed:121954\">Embed: #121954<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NBA SGP legs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Rockets -5.5<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong> (<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>-136):<\/strong> Both teams are playing on a back-to-back, so that factor is a wash as far as I&#8217;m concerned. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What that leaves is two teams at opposite ends of the NBA. I&#8217;m not expecting this to be particularly close.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Bet on Rockets vs. Mavs tonight!<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Houston (15-5) ranks second in the NBA in net rating (+12.0). They also have the best ATS record in the league (14-6).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Dallas (8-16) has a sub-.500 ATS record (11-13) and ranks 23rd in net rating (-4.4).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>When these teams met in Houston last month, the Rockets won by eight. They&#8217;ve now covered this number in four of five matchups vs. the Mavericks since the start of last season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kevin Durant prop pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Durant under 1.5 threes<\/strong> <\/strong><\/strong>(+123)<\/strong><\/strong>: <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>Durant shot 2-for-8 from deep when he faced the Mavericks back on Nov. 3, but his shot volume from deep has really dropped off since then.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>In his past 12 games, Durant has averaged 4.4 attempted 3s.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>This under is only 5-7 in that 12-game span, but he finished with exactly two 3s in five of the overs.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Fade Kevin Durant in Dallas on Saturday night<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Durant&#8217;s ceiling as a 3-point shooter has been extremely low in the past month, and I don&#8217;t expect that to change in this matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Mavericks allow the third-lowest 3PT% (32.8) and the second-fewest attempted 3s (33.9\/game). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Durant firing eight 3s last time in this head-to-head matchup \u2014 which tied a season-high \u2014 feels like an anomaly that won&#8217;t be repeated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Rockets vs. Mavericks predictions<\/em> <em>made at 4:05 p.m. ET on Dec. 6, 2025.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Sign up to NorthStar Bets today<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"thestar\">Looking to get started? <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNzQxMyZsPTEzNTI3NDExJnA9MjMyNDM%3D\">Sign up here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s an all-Texas matchup tonight in Dallas, where the Mavericks host the Houston Rockets. The pregame narrative: Houston has been steamrolling plenty of teams lately, winning four of its past six by 19+ points. The Rockets, who beat Dallas at home in early November, are 7.5-point favourites on the road. Check out my +425 Rockets [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":385840,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[62],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-385807","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nba"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Rockets vs. Mavericks SGP predictions: Dec. 6 picks | The Boost<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Rockets vs. Mavericks SGP predictions for Dec. 6. 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