{"id":385784,"date":"2025-12-06T12:03:14","date_gmt":"2025-12-06T17:03:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=385784"},"modified":"2025-12-06T12:12:19","modified_gmt":"2025-12-06T17:12:19","slug":"texans-vs-chiefs-week-14-sunday-night-football-picks-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/texans-vs-chiefs-week-14-sunday-night-football-picks-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Texans vs. Chiefs Week 14 Sunday Night Football picks: Fade offence, bet on C.J. Stroud to throw an interception"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Kansas City Chiefs are playing for their postseason lives right now, as they host the Houston Texans on Sunday Night Football.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> KC&#8217;s dynasty is on life support with the Chiefs sitting outside the playoff field in the final month of the season. A win at home over the Texans \u2014 who the Chiefs knocked out of the playoffs last year \u2014 would go a long way in keeping KC in the hunt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Texans vs. Chiefs picks for Dec. 7, featuring a prop bet on Houston quarterback C.J. Stroud.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NFL<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Texans vs. Chiefs picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: Under 42 points (-109)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;ll be cold. The stakes are high. And two talented defences will be on the field.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This game has the makings of a low-scoring rock fight \u2014 just like last year&#8217;s divisional round matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Back in January, the Chiefs won a war of attrition, 23-14, in a game that featured just 548 total yards. The teams were a combined 3-for-8 on converting red zone trips into touchdowns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\"><strong>Bet on defence to dominate on Sunday Night Football<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Both teams have carried strong defences into the 2025 season, with Houston looking like the best defence in the league.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Texans rank No. 1 in points allowed (16.5\/game) and yards allowed (265.7\/game).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Chiefs rank No. 7 in points allowed (19.3\/game) and No. 9 in yards allowed (306.7\/game).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Both teams rank in the top four in the NFL in unders percentage. Collectively, unders are 16-7-1 in Houston and KC&#8217;s games this year.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Sunday night&#8217;s kickoff temperature is projected to be around -6 C and dropping. That&#8217;s not extraordinary for Arrowhead Stadium in December, but it won&#8217;t make passing any easier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The under has cashed in four straight Chiefs home games, as well as four of Houston&#8217;s six road games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Unders are 4-1 in Houston&#8217;s past five games and 6-1 in KC&#8217;s past seven.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"product_only\"><a href=\"cacheembed:121947\">Embed: #121947<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">SNF prop prediction<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Stroud over 0.5 interceptions (-121):<\/strong> In addition to a pair of defences I respect, I&#8217;m backing the under for Sunday Night Football in part because I have very little respect for Stroud in road games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And an <em>outdoor<\/em> road game, especially. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In his career so far, Stroud is averaging 239.3 passing yards while posting a 64.1% completion rate and 93.2 passer rating. But his numbers drop off when he&#8217;s either on the road or outdoors:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Road (21 games):<\/strong> 213.0 yards\/game, 62.3% completion rate, 86.0 passer rating.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Outdoors (14 games):<\/strong> 199.4 yards\/game, 59.8% completion rate, 84.2 passer rating.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\"><strong>Don&#8217;t miss out \u2014 Bet on Sunday Night Football<\/strong><\/a><strong>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Poor passing numbers don&#8217;t necessarily translate to interceptions, but Stroud&#8217;s ineffectiveness in these environments means he should be more mistake-prone. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In a regular season game at Arrowhead last year, he threw two picks in a 27-19 loss. And this year, he has an interception in four of five road games (five INTs total in those games).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Texans vs. Chiefs picks made at 11:40 a.m. ET Dec. 6, 2025.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Sign up to NorthStar Bets today<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Kansas City Chiefs are playing for their postseason lives right now, as they host the Houston Texans on Sunday Night Football. The pregame narrative: KC&#8217;s dynasty is on life support with the Chiefs sitting outside the playoff field in the final month of the season. A win at home over the Texans \u2014 who [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":385794,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-385784","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Texans vs. Chiefs picks: 2025 NFL Week 14 | The Boost<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our 2025 Week 14 Texans vs. Chiefs picks. 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