{"id":385309,"date":"2025-12-03T16:22:47","date_gmt":"2025-12-03T21:22:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=385309"},"modified":"2025-12-03T16:22:47","modified_gmt":"2025-12-03T21:22:47","slug":"nfl-week-14-best-bets-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nfl-week-14-best-bets-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Week 14 staff best bets: Take the over when Bengals play Bills at Orchard Park"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>This week&#8217;s NFL best bets feature one ATS pick, a player prop and two over\/under predictions for Sunday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The Week 14 narrative:<\/strong> Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills host Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals in a game which should feature plenty of scoring. Elsewhere, the Cleveland Browns find themselves favoured for just the third time this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out our NFL Week 14 staff best bets for our favourite picks this weekend, featuring a prop bet on Travis Etienne Jr and a prediction for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NFL<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NFL Week 14 best bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><em>These NFL Week 14 best bets were provided by NorthStar Bets writers Avery Perri and Spencer Closs.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Saints\/Buccaneers under 42.5 points<\/strong>: The Saints&#8217; offence is downright pitiful. New Orleans averages 15.2 points, which ranks third last in the NFL.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It doesn&#8217;t matter who&#8217;s starting at quarterback, either. The reigns have now been handed over to Tyler Shough, and he&#8217;s led the offence to 17 points or fewer in all five of his starts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That includes his first career start, which was against Tampa Bay. The Saints put up a measly three points in a 23-3 loss.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the other side, the Buccaneers&#8217; offence is banged up. Bucky Irving is just one week removed from a lengthy injury recovery, and Mike Evans remains sidelined.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since Week 7, Tampa has scored 19.0 points per game. That&#8217;s over four points lower than its season-long average (23.3).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>New Orleans provides such a low offensive floor that if Tampa were to score a lot, this game could still stay under.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But the wheels are starting to fall off, and I don&#8217;t expect the Bucs to come out and produce fireworks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This has all the makings of another sluggish game between two NFC South opponents at opposite ends of the standings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>&#8211;<\/em>Closs<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\"><strong>Visit NorthStar Bets for all NFL Week 14 betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bengals vs. Bills over\/under prediction<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bengals\/Bills over 52.5 points (-110):<\/strong> This is a big number. In fact, it&#8217;s the largest total of any game on Sunday&#8217;s slate. But I&#8217;ll happily take the over for a few reasons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Buffalo&#8217;s offence comes alive at home:<\/strong> The Bills are averaging 32.5 PPG at home (23.7 on the road) and are 5-1 in Orchard Park this year.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Burrow makes a big difference:<\/strong> Cincinnati is on an eight-game winning streak when Burrow plays, averaging 27.1 PPG in that span.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Cincy&#8217;s defence is historically bad:<\/strong> The Bengals allow the most points (31.2) and yards (410.0) per game, and rank last in RBSDM.com&#8217;s EPA per play.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Allen and the Bills should put up a boatload of points on Sunday. But I trust Burrow and Co. to go blow-for-blow with their playoff lives on the line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>-Perri<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Titans vs. Browns pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Browns -4.5 (-109):<\/strong> I feel legitimately bad for Cam Ward heading into Sunday&#8217;s matchup against Cleveland.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Browns are a miserable 3-9, but they leave opponents bloodied and bruised. Myles Garrett has an NFL-leading 19 sacks, and his defence is allowing the second-fewest yards per game (271.3). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\"><strong>Bet on Titans vs. Browns<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Most teams take the beating and still find a way to outscore Cleveland&#8217;s horrible offence, but Tennessee isn&#8217;t capable of putting up points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ward has been sacked more than anyone in the NFL (48), and the Titans are averaging the fewest points per game (14.2).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As long as Shedeur Sanders takes care of the football, the Browns should pick up win No. 4. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211;<em>Perri<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NFL Week 14 best bets: Player props<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Etienne to score (-108):<\/strong> Etienne is coming off a quiet week where he wasn&#8217;t asked to do much in a three-score win against the Titans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Before that, he had been on a nice month-long tear:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Week 9:<\/strong> 115 scrimmage yards, zero TDs<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Week 10:<\/strong> 77 scrimmage yards, one TD<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Week 11:<\/strong> 73 scrimmage yards, two TDs<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Week 12:<\/strong> 106 scrimmage yards, one TD<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Liam Coen loves to get the fifth-year back touches, and this week&#8217;s huge matchup against the Indianapolis Colts should be no different.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Bet on Etienne vs. the Colts!<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Indy has lost three of its last four games, and gave up 25 points in the outlier (an overtime win vs. Atlanta). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jacksonville, meanwhile, has won four of its last five, scoring 29 points in the outlier. I like the Jags&#8217; chances of putting up a crooked number at home, and expect Etienne to factor in. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>-Perri<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>NFL Week 14 best bets made at 11:40 a.m. ET on Dec. 3, 2025.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Sign up to NorthStar Bets today<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This week&#8217;s NFL best bets feature one ATS pick, a player prop and two over\/under predictions for Sunday. The Week 14 narrative: Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills host Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals in a game which should feature plenty of scoring. Elsewhere, the Cleveland Browns find themselves favoured for just the third [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":385342,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[181],"class_list":["post-385309","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NFL Week 14 best bets: Staff predictions &amp; analysis | The Boost<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our 2025 NFL Week 14 staff best bets. 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