{"id":385188,"date":"2025-12-02T16:16:53","date_gmt":"2025-12-02T21:16:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=385188"},"modified":"2025-12-02T16:16:53","modified_gmt":"2025-12-02T21:16:53","slug":"cowboys-vs-lions-week-14-thursday-night-football-picks-2025-season","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/cowboys-vs-lions-week-14-thursday-night-football-picks-2025-season\/","title":{"rendered":"Cowboys vs. Lions Week 14 Thursday Night Football picks: Jameson Williams should go off, but Dallas is a live underdog"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>With stakes that should resemble an elimination game, the Dallas Cowboys hit the road to face the Detroit Lions on Thursday Night Football in Week 14.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Dallas and Detroit are both on the bubble in the NFC playoff hunt, and their margins for error are on a razor&#8217;s edge. Lions receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown (ankle) exited early last week and was a non-participant in Tuesday&#8217;s practice, putting him at risk of missing this game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Cowboys vs. Lions picks for Dec. 4, featuring a prop bet on Detroit&#8217;s Jameson Williams.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.com\/promoRedirect?key=ej0xMzUyNTA0MiZsPTEzNTI1MDAwJnA9ODMzNw%3D%3D\">Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NFL<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Cowboys vs. Lions picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: Williams 81.5 receiving yards (-118)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Part of the reason I like the Cowboys to cover on Thursday is that Amon-Ra St. Brown (ankle) is iffy at best to play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But St. Brown&#8217;s murky status is even more elemental to my prediction on Williams, who stands to see WR1 action depending on how things shake out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>St. Brown only played four offensive snaps last week before exiting with a low ankle sprain. In his absence, Williams enjoyed season highs in targets (10), catches (7) and yards (144).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>That marked the third time in four weeks that Williams finished with 7+ targets, 85+ yards and a touchdown.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.com\/promoRedirect?key=ej0xMzUyNTA0MiZsPTEzNTI1MDAwJnA9ODMzNw%3D%3D\">Think Jamo will go off vs. the Cowboys? Bet now<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Whenever he&#8217;s on the field, Williams is a home run waiting to happen. He had four receptions of 20+ yards last week, which is a combination of seeing deep targets and making plays after the catch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to RotoWire, Williams ranks in the 77th percentile in average depth of target (12.8 yards) and the 98th percentile in YAC (8.8).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the past four weeks, Williams has eight receptions of 20+ yards. That&#8217;s as many as Ja&#8217;Marr Chase has all season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While Dallas has some solid playmakers in its front seven, the secondary is riddled with inadequate defenders. As a whole, the Cowboys allow a passer rating of 102.0 to their opponents (NFL average is 91.9).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is a smash matchup for any receiver as dangerous as Williams \u2014 especially if there&#8217;s WR1 target share available.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> The Cowboys have allowed the third-most receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers (168.0).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.com\/promoRedirect?key=ej0xMzUyNTA0MiZsPTEzNTI1MDAwJnA9ODMzNw%3D%3D\">Place your NFL wagers now at NorthStar Bets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">TNF ATS prediction<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Cowboys +3 (-112):<\/strong> Here come the Cowboys, with a high-octane offence and enough defensive playmakers to keep things interesting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dallas is on a three-game win streak, which includes victories over both reigning conference champions (Chiefs, Eagles) in a span of five days. Detroit, meanwhile, is sputtering.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>In their past five games, the Lions are 2-3 SU (1-4 ATS).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>During that stretch, Detroit never led twice (vs. Packers, at Eagles). And its two wins came against the Giants and Commanders, who have a combined record of 5-20.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.com\/promoRedirect?key=ej0xMzUyNTA0MiZsPTEzNTI1MDAwJnA9ODMzNw%3D%3D\">Go to full Cowboys vs. Lions TNF betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If St. Brown doesn&#8217;t play (or is limited in some fashion), the Lions could be forced to lean heavier into the run game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Detroit does love to run the football, evidenced by its top-five ranking in rushing yards, yards per attempt and TDs. But Dallas&#8217; defence looks remade with Quinnen Williams on the line, so that could be a problem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In three weeks with Williams, Dallas&#8217; defence ranks inside the top 10 in EPA per rush and rushing success rate, according to RBSDM.com.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dallas has the No. 2 scoring offence (29.3 PPG) and could simply out-gun Detroit. I&#8217;ll happily bank a field goal against a Lions team that is on upset watch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Cowboys vs. Lions picks made at 1:40 p.m. ET Dec. 2, 2025.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.com\/promoRedirect?key=ej0xMzUyNTA0MiZsPTEzNTI1MDAwJnA9ODMzNw%3D%3D\">Sign up to NorthStar Bets today<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With stakes that should resemble an elimination game, the Dallas Cowboys hit the road to face the Detroit Lions on Thursday Night Football in Week 14. The pregame narrative: Dallas and Detroit are both on the bubble in the NFC playoff hunt, and their margins for error are on a razor&#8217;s edge. Lions receiver Amon-Ra [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":385160,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,61],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-385188","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-nfl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Cowboys vs. Lions picks TNF: 2025 NFL Week 14 | The Boost<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our 2025 Week 14 Cowboys vs. Lions picks. 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