{"id":384935,"date":"2025-12-01T12:27:59","date_gmt":"2025-12-01T17:27:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=384935"},"modified":"2025-12-01T12:27:59","modified_gmt":"2025-12-01T17:27:59","slug":"giants-vs-patriots-mnf-week-13-td-picks-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/giants-vs-patriots-mnf-week-13-td-picks-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Giants vs. Patriots Week 13 TD picks: Theo Johnson has value in Jaxson Dart&#8217;s return on MNF"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Theo Johnson, a native of Windsor, Ontario, is my top pick to score a touchdown on Monday Night Football.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative: <\/strong>Jaxson Dart will be back under centre for the New York Giants, and I view that as a good thing for Johnson&#8217;s TD chances. As for the host New England Patriots, Rhamondre Stevenson&#8217;s short-yardage opportunities are worth buying in on.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Giants vs. Patriots TD picks for Monday Night Football on Dec. 1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NFL<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading acq_only\">Giants vs. Patriots TD picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best bet: <strong>Johnson to score<\/strong><\/strong> <strong>(+255)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dart&#8217;s return for the Giants is a plus for Johnson&#8217;s opportunity to score for a couple of reasons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Coming off a two-game absence due to a concussion, it&#8217;s fair to expect Dart to run less often. He&#8217;s been evaluated for a concussion four times over eight games since the preseason, per ESPN, and his Week 10 concussion came on his sixth designed run of the game.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>In his first seven starts, Dart has more rush attempts inside the 10-yard line (nine) than pass attempts (seven). So if there&#8217;s a concerted effort to protect him, those numbers should flip.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Dart and Johnson have chemistry that stems from their time competing against each other in college. In October, Dart recalled Johnson scoring a touchdown in a Penn State vs. Ole Miss game (the 2023 Peach Bowl), and he noted that Johnson stood out athletically.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Dart added this on Johnson: &#8220;He&#8217;s been nothing but just hardworking and a guy who you can really trust out there on the field.&#8221;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Bet on Johnson to score at +255 on Monday Night Football<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That could just be podium-speak, but there are some results to back it up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Half of Dart&#8217;s 10 TD passes this year have gone to Johnson. The tight end cashed this bet in four of six games from Weeks 4-9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And the Patriots should provide a decent matchup here, given that they&#8217;ve allowed 6.3 receptions per game to opposing tight ends (tied for fifth-most in the NFL). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>New England has allowed a league-low four rushing TDs all year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Johnson has at least four targets and three catches in six consecutive games, proving that he&#8217;s a steady contributors in the Giants&#8217; offence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"product_only\"><a href=\"cacheembed:121768\">Embed: #121768<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Monday Night Football anytime TD prediction<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Stevenson to score (+210): <\/strong>While sitting out three games with a toe injury, Stevenson lost his RB1 job to rookie TreVeyon Henderson. But Stevenson&#8217;s goal-line opportunities don&#8217;t seem to have gone away. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Stevenson had a season-low snap share (31%) in Week 12, and he only carried the ball six times. But half of those carries came in the red zone \u2014 including two inside the five-yard line.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Henderson, by comparison, had 18 carries and a 65% snap share, per RotoWire. But he only saw one handoff inside the red zone.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">See full Giants vs. Patriots MNF betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In three fewer games, Stevenson has out-carried Henderson inside the five-yard line, 9-4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The fifth-year tailback out of Oklahoma has 10 carries inside the 10-yard line in his past five games, with at least one touch inside the five-yard line in each of those. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Henderson is the more dynamic and explosive runner, but Stevenson has 25 pounds on him. With a steady floor as a goal-line option, Stevenson is an enticing play on Monday night.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Especially because the Giants have allowed the most rushing yards (157.2\/game) and third-most rushing TDs (1.4\/game) this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Giants vs. Patriots TD picks made at 11:40 a.m. ET on Dec. 1, 2025.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Sign up to NorthStar Bets today<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Theo Johnson, a native of Windsor, Ontario, is my top pick to score a touchdown on Monday Night Football. The pregame narrative: Jaxson Dart will be back under centre for the New York Giants, and I view that as a good thing for Johnson&#8217;s TD chances. As for the host New England Patriots, Rhamondre Stevenson&#8217;s [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":384945,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-384935","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Giants vs. Patriots TD picks: 2025 MNF Week 13 | The Boost<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our 2025 Week 13 Giants vs. Patriots TD picks. 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