{"id":384460,"date":"2025-11-28T15:35:15","date_gmt":"2025-11-28T20:35:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=384460"},"modified":"2025-11-28T15:35:15","modified_gmt":"2025-11-28T20:35:15","slug":"broncos-vs-commanders-week-13-sunday-night-football-picks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/broncos-vs-commanders-week-13-sunday-night-football-picks\/","title":{"rendered":"Broncos vs. Commanders Week 13 Sunday Night Football picks: Bet on Sutton to smash modest receiving total"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Denver Broncos carry their eight-game win streak into a Sunday Night Football matchup against the Washington Commanders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Denver is coming off a bye to take on a Washington team without Jayden Daniels, who remains sidelined with an elbow injury. The Broncos are 5.5-point road favourites as of Friday afternoon and aim to keep pace for the AFC&#8217;s top seed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Broncos vs. Commanders picks for Nov. 30, featuring a prop bet on Courtland Sutton.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.com\/promoRedirect?key=ej0xMzUyNTA0MiZsPTEzNTI1MDAwJnA9ODMzNw%3D%3D\">Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NFL<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Broncos vs. Commanders picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: Sutton over 53.5 receiving yards (-118)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Denver&#8217;s offence hasn&#8217;t turned heads this season, but this line feels disrespectfully low. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Sutton has consistently been a favourite of Bo Nix and logged a 1,000-yard receiving season with the rookie QB at the helm last year. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He had 54+ receiving yards in nine of the last 11 games to close out that season (playoffs included).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Sutton is on pace for another 1,000-yard campaign, and is 7-4 against this line so far.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The wideout commands 20.2% of the Broncos&#8217; team targets, which ranks in the 82nd percentile for all wide receivers in the NFL, per Rotowire. He also sees 82.5 air yards per game (85th percentile) with a 12.3 average depth of target (77th percentile). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.com\/promoRedirect?key=ej0xMzUyNTA0MiZsPTEzNTI1MDAwJnA9ODMzNw%3D%3D\">Bet on Sutton to clear his receiving milestone at NorthStar Bets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So basically, Sutton is a guy who gets a ton of looks with splash play potential. That&#8217;s a recipe for success against this Commanders team.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Washington&#8217;s defence ranks dead last in RBSDM.com&#8217;s EPA per dropback and is allowing the second-most receiving yards per game to WRs (170.3).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Simply put, this line is too low. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Sutton is 15-6 against this line in his last 21 games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">SNF over\/under prediction<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Over 43.5 points (-110):<\/strong> Denver&#8217;s offence was pretty awful heading into the bye week, averaging 16.6 PPG in its final three games. The Broncos went 3-0, so naturally, the under on this total cashed with ease.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But I&#8217;m hoping the bye week gave Sean Payton enough time to right the ship. Washington&#8217;s defence is sieve-like, allowing 32.5 PPG during its six-game losing streak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.com\/promoRedirect?key=ej0xMzUyNTA0MiZsPTEzNTI1MDAwJnA9ODMzNw%3D%3D\">Don&#8217;t miss out \u2014 Bet on Sunday Night Football!<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But the offence looks decent enough with long-time backup Marcus Mariota under centre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He&#8217;s accounted for eight TDs to five interceptions, and actually ranks a respectable 18th in EPA per play among QBs with 150-plus snaps.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Denver&#8217;s defence has been a little shakier on the road, and I think Mariota can do enough to keep Washington in this game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Broncos vs. Commanders picks made at 2:40 p.m. ET Nov. 28, 2025.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.com\/promoRedirect?key=ej0xMzUyNTA0MiZsPTEzNTI1MDAwJnA9ODMzNw%3D%3D\">Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Denver Broncos carry their eight-game win streak into a Sunday Night Football matchup against the Washington Commanders. The pregame narrative: Denver is coming off a bye to take on a Washington team without Jayden Daniels, who remains sidelined with an elbow injury. The Broncos are 5.5-point road favourites as of Friday afternoon and aim [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":384446,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,61],"tags":[181],"class_list":["post-384460","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-nfl","tag-nfl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Broncos vs. Commanders picks: 2025 NFL Week 13 | The Boost<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our 2025 Week 13 Broncos vs. Commanders picks. 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