{"id":384183,"date":"2025-11-27T13:30:29","date_gmt":"2025-11-27T18:30:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=384183"},"modified":"2025-11-27T13:31:05","modified_gmt":"2025-11-27T18:31:05","slug":"college-football-picks-week-14-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/college-football-picks-week-14-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"College football Week 14 picks and predictions: NCAAF best bets on Alabama&#8217;s Ty Simpson, Tennessee&#8217;s Joey Aguilar"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>It&#8217;s rivalry week in NCAA Division I football, and I&#8217;m targeting some of the biggest matchups on Friday and Saturday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> In another instalment of The Game, the Ohio State Buckeyes are two-score road favourites against the Michigan Wolverines in a matchup that U of M has dominated recently. And in the Iron Bowl, look for Alabama&#8217;s Ty Simpson to put up big numbers against Auburn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-6c37cb08-cf64-44cf-857a-d9409b9361a5\">Check out our best college football Week 14 picks, featuring a prediction for the Georgia Bulldogs vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on college football<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-c42e5bcd-3d78-44a9-a94a-015d114981be\">College football picks Week 14<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best bet: Joey Aguilar over 278.5 passing yards (-120)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Aguilar was held to rather tame passing totals in the past two weeks, but he was still dominant in those games:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Nov. 15 vs. New Mexico State:<\/strong> 17 for 23, 204 yards, 1 TD<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Nov. 22 at Florida:<\/strong> 17 for 22, 204 yards, 1 TD<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The No. 19 Tennessee Volunteers won both of those games by 20+ points, so they didn&#8217;t need Aguilar to go nuclear. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But I&#8217;m encouraged by the efficiency, and I expect the Vols to roll with a more aggressive game script on Saturday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjcxODMwJnA9MzEwNjg%3D\">Back Aguilar to put on a show vs. No. 14 Vanderbilt<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tennessee is very likely out of the College Football Playoff picture, but there are still in-state bragging rights and bowl invitations on the line with No. 14 Vanderbilt in town.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Commodores&#8217; pass defence has been brutal, ranking 122nd in yards per game (264.4) and 128th in EPA per pass, according to Game On Paper.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Each of Vandy&#8217;s past three opposing quarterbacks cruised past this number.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Aguilar has gone over 330 yards four times in conference play, so he&#8217;s absolutely capable of running up a big yardage total when the time is right. He should have a field day in Knoxville.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Aguilar leads the SEC in passing yards per game (285.9)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"product_only\"><a href=\"cacheembed:121624\">Embed: #121624<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-c1e817ca-a7f4-4be8-8332-7ac0c6f20f4b\">Ohio State vs. Michigan ATS pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Michigan +10 (-108):<\/strong> On paper, the top-ranked Buckeyes are miles ahead. But rivalry showdowns as big as this one are far more nuanced than that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In a matchup known simply as The Game, the Wolverines are on a post-COVID run of inexplicable dominance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>4-0 SU and ATS vs. Ohio State<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>3 wins as an underdog of 7+ points<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjcxODMwJnA9MzEwNjg%3D\">Bet on The Game between No. 1 Ohio State and No. 15 Michigan<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Somehow, with putrid quarterback play from Davis Warren (9 for 16, 62 yards, two interceptions), Michigan pulled out a 13-10 win in Columbus last year. Now the Wolverines are at home with Bryce Underwood, an inexperienced but far more dynamic quarterback.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Michigan&#8217;s resume isn&#8217;t littered with great wins, but its only losses came on the road against top-20 opponents (No. 8 Oklahoma, No. 17 USC). The Wolverines rank 10th in D-I in EPA per play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ohio State ranks first in EPA per play, mind you, and has won nine straight games by 18+ points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Buckeyes could have both of their top receivers back, but neither Jeremiah Smith nor Carnell Tate appears to be at full strength after missing last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I can&#8217;t earnestly call for Michigan to pull off the five-peat. But the Wolverines can at least keep it close at home.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NCAAF picks and props<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Georgia\/Georgia Tech over 59.5 points (-112):<\/strong> Last year&#8217;s Clean, Old-Fashioned Hate was a banger, with Georgia eking out a 44-42 overtime win as a 17-point favourite.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This year&#8217;s matchup also tilts in the direction of Georgia (-14), but I&#8217;m not fixated on a side. I just think we&#8217;re going to see a lot of points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Overs are 5-2 in Georgia Tech&#8217;s past seven games.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Both offences rank in the top 15 in EPA per play and success rate.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Both defences rank outside the top 75 in EPA per play (and Georgia Tech is 107th in defensive success rate).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The Yellow Jackets are averaging 35.3 PPG thanks to the dual-threat ability of Haynes King. He had over 400 yards and five total TDs in this matchup last year and can turn this into a shootout.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Simpson over 1.5 passing TDs (-136):<\/strong> Simpson has failed to cash this bet in three straight games, but Alabama is still a pass-heavy enough team that I like his chances this week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjcxODMwJnA9MzEwNjg%3D\">Don&#8217;t miss out \u2014 bet on this weekend&#8217;s college football action<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The redshirt junior leads the SEC in completions and pass attempts.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He has a 22:4 TD-to-INT ratio in 11 games.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>He&#8217;s also 8-3 vs. this passing TDs prop this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Auburn Tigers&#8217; defence ranks No. 1 in EPA per rush, and the Crimson Tide have struggled mightily to run the ball anyway. Look for Simpson to lead at least a couple of scoring drives that end with passing TDs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>College football picks made at 1:05 p.m. on Nov. 27, 2025.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Sign up to NorthStar Bets today<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s rivalry week in NCAA Division I football, and I&#8217;m targeting some of the biggest matchups on Friday and Saturday. The pregame narrative: In another instalment of The Game, the Ohio State Buckeyes are two-score road favourites against the Michigan Wolverines in a matchup that U of M has dominated recently. And in the Iron [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":384226,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[77],"tags":[259],"class_list":["post-384183","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-college-football","tag-ncaaf"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>College football picks Week 14: NCAAF best bets | The Boost<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our college football Week 14 picks, props and predictions. Best bets and analysis for NCAA football matchups on Nov. 29, 2025.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/college-football-picks-week-14-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"College football picks Week 14: NCAAF best bets | The Boost\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Check out our college football Week 14 picks, props and predictions. Best bets and analysis for NCAA football matchups on Nov. 29, 2025.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/college-football-picks-week-14-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Boost\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-11-27T18:30:29+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-11-27T18:31:05+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/11\/Ty-Simpson-Joey-Aguilar.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jordan Horrobin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@JordanHorrobin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jordan Horrobin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/college-football-picks-week-14-2025\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/college-football-picks-week-14-2025\/\",\"name\":\"College football picks Week 14: NCAAF best bets | The Boost\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2025-11-27T18:30:29+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-11-27T18:31:05+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f\"},\"description\":\"Check out our college football Week 14 picks, props and predictions. Best bets and analysis for NCAA football matchups on Nov. 29, 2025.\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/college-football-picks-week-14-2025\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/\",\"name\":\"The Boost\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f\",\"name\":\"Jordan Horrobin\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Jordan Horrobin\"},\"description\":\"Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles \u2014 especially for MLB markets or NFL\/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he\u2019ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\",\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JordanHorrobin\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/jordan-horrobinnorthstargaming-ca\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"College football picks Week 14: NCAAF best bets | The Boost","description":"Check out our college football Week 14 picks, props and predictions. Best bets and analysis for NCAA football matchups on Nov. 29, 2025.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/college-football-picks-week-14-2025\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"College football picks Week 14: NCAAF best bets | The Boost","og_description":"Check out our college football Week 14 picks, props and predictions. Best bets and analysis for NCAA football matchups on Nov. 29, 2025.","og_url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/college-football-picks-week-14-2025\/","og_site_name":"The Boost","article_published_time":"2025-11-27T18:30:29+00:00","article_modified_time":"2025-11-27T18:31:05+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1200,"height":800,"url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/11\/Ty-Simpson-Joey-Aguilar.webp","type":"image\/webp"}],"author":"Jordan Horrobin","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@JordanHorrobin","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Jordan Horrobin","Est. reading time":"4 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/college-football-picks-week-14-2025\/","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/college-football-picks-week-14-2025\/","name":"College football picks Week 14: NCAAF best bets | The Boost","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website"},"datePublished":"2025-11-27T18:30:29+00:00","dateModified":"2025-11-27T18:31:05+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f"},"description":"Check out our college football Week 14 picks, props and predictions. Best bets and analysis for NCAA football matchups on Nov. 29, 2025.","inLanguage":"en-CA","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/college-football-picks-week-14-2025\/"]}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/","name":"The Boost","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-CA"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f","name":"Jordan Horrobin","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-CA","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg","caption":"Jordan Horrobin"},"description":"Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles \u2014 especially for MLB markets or NFL\/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he\u2019ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news","https:\/\/twitter.com\/JordanHorrobin"],"url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/jordan-horrobinnorthstargaming-ca\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/384183","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=384183"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/384183\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":384241,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/384183\/revisions\/384241"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/384226"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=384183"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=384183"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=384183"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}