{"id":383330,"date":"2025-11-23T10:09:54","date_gmt":"2025-11-23T15:09:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=383330"},"modified":"2025-11-23T10:09:54","modified_gmt":"2025-11-23T15:09:54","slug":"nba-prop-picks-and-predictions-november-23-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nba-prop-picks-and-predictions-november-23-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Best NBA prop picks Nov. 23: Back Luka Doncic, fade James Harden on Sunday"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Sunday&#8217;s NBA prop picks feature a fade on the league&#8217;s hottest player, James Harden. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Today&#8217;s NBA props narrative<\/strong>: Harden has been the lone bright spot on a Los Angeles Clippers team which has lost eight of its last 10 games. But he&#8217;s worth fading in Kawhi Leonard&#8217;s expected return against the Cleveland Cavaliers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-8f1effd0-db18-40a8-916e-091372420d9e\">Check out my top NBA prop picks for Nov. 23, featuring picks on Mark Williams and Luka Doncic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Join NorthStar Bets &amp; bet on the NBA<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">NBA prop picks Nov. 23<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best bet:<\/strong> <strong><strong>Harden under 24.5 points (<\/strong>-125)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Right now, it seems like Harden is the only guy standing between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the potential No. 1 overall pick. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>OKC has L.A.&#8217;s first-rounder this year, and the Clippers are an outright mess sans The Beard.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Harden is averaging 31.7 PPG this month and scored a season-high 55 points last night. He&#8217;s gone over this line in five straight games, so why fade him?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjcxODg0JnA9MzEwMjU%3D\">Fade James Harden vs. the Cavaliers tonight<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The 36-year-old guard has done everything for L.A., which will eventually wear on him:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Harden shot inefficiently in two back-to-backs so far (7-of-25 vs. PHI; 7-of-17 vs. OKC).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Last year, Harden shot 39.0% from the field and 30.0% from deep in 12 games with no rest.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>On top of that, Leonard is expected to return from a nine-game injury absence. That will take some pressure off Harden to score, allowing him to facilitate more. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Harden is averaging 32.0 points without Leonard and 23.0 points with him, taking six fewer shots per game when the Claw is in the lineup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cleveland is also holding opposing point guards to the fifth-fewest PPG, per Fantasy Pros. This seems like a logical night for some regression. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: Harden is 0-4 against this line vs. the Cavs since joining L.A. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:121487\">Embed: #121487<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best NBA picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Williams over 8.5 rebounds (<\/strong>-114)<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>:<\/strong> Spoiler alert: The San Antonio Spurs are a much worse rebounding team without Victor Wembanyama in the mix.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>With Wembanyama:<\/strong> 4th in rebounding rate, 7th in offensive rebounding rate<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Without Wembanyama:<\/strong> 23rd in rebounding rate, 29th in offensive rebounding rate<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Williams is a big body on a solid Phoenix Suns team, and I expect him to be active on the glass this evening. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The 7-foot-1, 240-pound centre is averaging 8.2 rebounds this year and put up 10.2 last year with the Charlotte Hornets.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjcxODg0JnA9MzEwMjU%3D\">Bet on Sunday&#8217;s 8-game NBA slate<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He doesn&#8217;t play as much as I would like \u2014 just 25.2 minutes\/game \u2014 but should make the most of those opportunities against a middling Spurs lineup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NBA player prop predictions<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong>Doncic 4+ threes<\/strong><\/strong> (+100): <\/strong>The Los Angeles Lakers might have LeBron James back in the mix, but everyone knows Doncic is the captain now.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The slimmed-down Slovenian has been on a tear this year, leading the league in scoring (34.6 PPG) while ranking second in 3-point volume (10.9 attempted 3s\/game).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Doncic hasn&#8217;t been very efficient from deep, but that doesn&#8217;t matter to me. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Back Doncic against Utah on Sunday!<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\">Doncic is 6-5 against this line overall, going 2-for-10 from deep against the Utah Jazz, tonight&#8217;s opponent, on Thursday. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Utah has the sixth-worst perimeter defence in basketball, so expect a better performance. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\"><em>NBA prop picks made at 9:40 a.m. ET on Nov. 23, 2025.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNjY1NzMyJnA9MzExMjU%3D\">Sign up to NorthStar Bets today<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sunday&#8217;s NBA prop picks feature a fade on the league&#8217;s hottest player, James Harden. Today&#8217;s NBA props narrative: Harden has been the lone bright spot on a Los Angeles Clippers team which has lost eight of its last 10 games. But he&#8217;s worth fading in Kawhi Leonard&#8217;s expected return against the Cleveland Cavaliers. Check out [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":383371,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[62],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-383330","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nba","tag-nba"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NBA prop picks Nov. 23: Best bets, predictions &amp; odds | The Boost<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"NBA prop picks Nov. 23, 2025. 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