{"id":383182,"date":"2025-11-21T16:44:38","date_gmt":"2025-11-21T21:44:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=383182"},"modified":"2025-11-21T16:44:39","modified_gmt":"2025-11-21T21:44:39","slug":"nfl-td-picks-and-predictions-week-12","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nfl-td-picks-and-predictions-week-12\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Week 12 TD picks and predictions: Back Saquon Barkley, Rashee Rice to score"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Philadelphia Eagles running back Saquon Barkley headlines this week&#8217;s TD picks. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: Philadelphia sits at 8-2, comfortably atop the NFC East, but the team struggling to produce on offence. A matchup with the Dallas Cowboys could fix that. Elsewhere, Rashee Rice looks to find pay dirt for a fourth time in five games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my top NFL Week 12 TD picks, featuring a play on Chicago Bears running back Kyle Monangai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.com\/promoRedirect?key=ej0xMzUyNTA0MiZsPTEzNTI1MDAwJnA9ODMzNw%3D%3D\">Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NFL<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">NFL Week 12 TD picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Best bet: Barkley to score (-138)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Philadelphia&#8217;s offence simply isn&#8217;t clicking, but I can&#8217;t pass on Barkley at these odds. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dallas&#8217; defence is terrible, ranking near the bottom of the league in several key categories (EPA data via RBSDM.com):<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>31st in scoring (29.3 PPG)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>30th in yards allowed (381.3\/game)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>29th in EPA per play (+0.138)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The Eagles scored a combined 26 points in two games since their Week 9 bye, but a matchup against this unit should be a cure-all.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.com\/promoRedirect?key=ej0xMzUyNTA0MiZsPTEzNTI1MDAwJnA9ODMzNw%3D%3D\">Bet on NFL Sunday prop markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Barkley has received a heavy dosage of looks even during Philly&#8217;s downswing \u2014 touching the ball 52 times in the last two weeks \u2014 and that should continue against Dallas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There&#8217;s always a risk that the Jalen Hurts-led tush push could derail a Barkley TD bet. But tackle Lane Johnson is doubtful and centre Cam Jurgens is questionable, so I expect a more traditional approach near the goal line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Barkley has 26 TDs since the beginning of last season and six in 10 games so far. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: Dallas is allowing 1.5 rushing TDs per game at home (second-most in the NFL), per Team Rankings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.com\/promoRedirect?key=ej0xMzUyNTA0MiZsPTEzNTI1MDAwJnA9ODMzNw%3D%3D\">Don&#8217;t miss out \u2014 Bet on NFL Week 12!<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-fa134a48-a478-432b-95e0-66881f0d337b\">NFL Week 12<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Rice to score (+100):<\/strong> Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs force-feed Rice the ball. And with the other receivers on the roster, I can&#8217;t blame them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since returning from suspension in Week 7, Rice leads KC in:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Receptions (26)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Targets (35)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Touchdowns (4)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Rice has been targeted on 28.7% of routes run, which ranks in the 86th percentile of all WRs, per Rotowire.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That&#8217;s nothing new, either. He only played three full games in 2024, but he was targeted on 29.6% of routes run and scored two TDs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kansas City hosts an offence-first Indianapolis Colts team on Sunday. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Indy&#8217;s defence has given up 25-plus points in four of its last five games, with the outlying performance coming against the last-place Tennessee Titans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.com\/promoRedirect?key=ej0xMzUyNTA0MiZsPTEzNTI1MDAwJnA9ODMzNw%3D%3D\">Bet on Colts vs. Chiefs prop markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Monangai to score (+175):<\/strong> De&#8217;Andre Swift is the lead back in Chicago&#8217;s offence, but that doesn&#8217;t mean he&#8217;s the best bet to score.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Following Chicago&#8217;s Week 5 bye, the touches have been evenly distributed inside the 10-yard line between Swift and Monangai:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Swift:<\/strong> 9 carries, 1 TD<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Monangai:<\/strong> 10 carries, 3 TDs<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Monangai has done more with those opportunities, and I&#8217;m hoping Ben Johnson rewards him with a few more red zone touches. And remember, this is the same coach who had an equitable system with Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Chicago hosts a Pittsburgh Steelers team giving up the fifth-most yards per game while ranking 28th in EPA per rush.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I expect the Bears to be in scoring position early and often. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>NFL TD picks made at 11:40 a.m. ET on Nov. 21, 2025. <\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"acq_only\"><strong>-> <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.com\/promoRedirect?key=ej0xMzUyNTA0MiZsPTEzNTI1MDAwJnA9ODMzNw%3D%3D\">Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Philadelphia Eagles running back Saquon Barkley headlines this week&#8217;s TD picks. The pregame narrative: Philadelphia sits at 8-2, comfortably atop the NFC East, but the team struggling to produce on offence. A matchup with the Dallas Cowboys could fix that. Elsewhere, Rashee Rice looks to find pay dirt for a fourth time in five games. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":383172,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,61],"tags":[181],"class_list":["post-383182","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-nfl","tag-nfl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NFL Week 12 TD picks: Odds, best bets &amp; predictions | The Boost<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our 2025 NFL Week 12 TD picks. 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