{"id":375805,"date":"2025-10-17T09:44:30","date_gmt":"2025-10-17T13:44:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=375805"},"modified":"2025-10-17T09:44:31","modified_gmt":"2025-10-17T13:44:31","slug":"blue-jays-vs-mariners-predictions-alcs-game-5-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-vs-mariners-predictions-alcs-game-5-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Blue Jays vs. Mariners Game 5 ALCS SGP predictions: Bet on George Springer, Cal Raleigh to generate offence in Seattle"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Can the Toronto Blue Jays take all three ALCS road games in Seattle? They’ll have an opportunity to do so in Game 5 on Friday night.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative:<\/strong> The best-of-seven ALCS is now effectively a best-of-three after Toronto evened things up yesterday. Tonight’s matchup is a pick’em with Kevin Gausman and Bryce Miller on the mound.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out my Blue Jays vs. Mariners predictions for ALCS Game 5, featuring prop bets on George Springer and Cal Raleigh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Blue Jays vs. Mariners predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Parlay: Springer over 1.5 bases | Raleigh over 0.5 hits | Over 7 runs (+390)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Springer over 1.5 total bases (+116):<\/strong> Springer started off the ALCS with a bang, homering on the first pitch he saw from Miller in Game 1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After a renaissance regular season, Springer has kept his foot on the gas in October. He’s slugging .611 in eight games and is 5-0 vs. this prop in his past five.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Springer is 2-for-9 with a pair of homers off Miller, and there’s reason to believe he’s been shortchanged in this matchup. According to Baseball Savant, Springer has a .353 xBA and a 1.189 xSLG in those nine at-bats.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From the top of the Blue Jays’ lineup, Springer will have a shot at setting the tone again on Friday. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

With his 98th-percentile xSLG (.592) and xBA (.303), this is a dangerous hitter that I want to continue buying in on.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #119635<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

MLB SGP legs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Raleigh over 0.5 hits<\/strong><\/strong> (-175):<\/strong> Raleigh turned in a rare hitless effort on Thursday. But if the Mariners are going to right the ship, he’ll almost certainly be one of the guys leading the way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  • The AL MVP contender is still having a very strong postseason, with a .314\/.429\/.600 slash line in nine games. He’s 7-2 vs. this prop.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
      \n
    • During the regular season, Raleigh led the majors in homers (60). He also finished fourth in OPS (.948), behind only Springer, Shohei Ohtani and Aaron Judge. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

      The HR Derby champ has seen Gausman well, batting 8-for-17 (.471) with four homers. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

      In Game 1, Raleigh singled off Gausman in the first and belted a game-tying homer in the sixth to spark a Seattle win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      Behind Raleigh, the trio of Julio Rodriguez, Jorge Polanco and Josh Naylor has been awfully effective. It doesn’t make sense to pitch around the switch-hitting catcher, and I like his chances of getting something good to hit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      Toronto vs. Seattle over\/under prediction<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

      Over 7 runs (-112):<\/strong> I thought T-Mobile Park was supposed to be pitcher-friendly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      According to Baseball Savant’s park factors data, Seattle’s home stadium has yielded 17% fewer runs than league average over the past three seasons. In most respects, it’s considered the least offence-friendly park in the majors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      But this over is 5-0 when the Jays and Mariners have met there this season. Their average total in those matchups is 11.0 runs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      Toronto and Seattle also have the two highest overs rates in MLB this season (56.7% and 56.0%), per Team Rankings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      In the first Gausman\/Miller go-round, the final score was 3-1 in favour of the Mariners. But the Blue Jays had a .241 xBA that translated to just a 2-for-29 (.069) showing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      Both offences are plenty familiar with the opposing pitching staffs at this point, having played four times in the previous five days. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

      I’ll gladly back an over that the winning team has cleared by itself in three straight games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      Blue Jays vs. Mariners<\/em> predictions as of 9:25 a.m. on 10\/17\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      Can the Toronto Blue Jays take all three ALCS road games in Seattle? They’ll have an opportunity to do so in Game 5 on Friday night. The pregame narrative: The best-of-seven ALCS is now effectively a best-of-three after Toronto evened things up yesterday. Tonight’s matchup is a pick’em with Kevin Gausman and Bryce Miller on […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":375808,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-375805","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBlue Jays vs. Mariners predictions: ALCS Game 5 SGP | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Blue Jays vs. Mariners predictions for ALCS Game 5. 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