{"id":375093,"date":"2025-10-14T15:08:56","date_gmt":"2025-10-14T19:08:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=375093"},"modified":"2025-10-14T15:08:57","modified_gmt":"2025-10-14T19:08:57","slug":"blue-jays-vs-mariners-predictions-alcs-game-3-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-vs-mariners-predictions-alcs-game-3-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Blue Jays vs. Mariners Game 3 ALCS SGP predictions: Bet on Toronto to bounce back behind Guerrero Jr."},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Toronto Blue Jays are in a hole as the ALCS switches homes ahead of Game 3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> The Seattle Mariners have brought it to the Blue Jays, outscoring them 13-4 through two games. Toronto is in desperate need of a win behind Shane Bieber while the Mariners counter with George Kirby in hopes of a 3-0 series lead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Blue Jays vs. Mariners predictions for ALCS Game 3, featuring prop bets on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Cal Raleigh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Blue Jays vs. Mariners predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Parlay: Blue Jays moneyline | Guerrero to record a hit | Raleigh to record a hit (+380)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Blue Jays moneyline (+112):<\/strong> This is likely the last chance for Toronto to stay in this series, which I&#8217;m sure it&#8217;s well aware of.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Blue Jays are top-heavy when it comes to starting pitchers, so who knows what someone like Max Scherzer can do in Game 4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But what is known is that Bieber is a great pitcher, and he gives Toronto a solid chance to win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kirby certainly had the better season of the two starters, but this head-to-head matchup is actually working in Bieber&#8217;s favour.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Kirby vs. Toronto&#8217;s lineup: <\/strong>.281 average (.298 xBA), 16.2% K rate.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Bieber vs. Seattle&#8217;s lineup:<\/strong> .229 average (.215 xBA), 37.9% K rate.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Both pitchers have 60+ plate appearances to go off of, so this is noteworthy data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And it shows Bieber&#8217;s brilliance against the Mariners in the past. He&#8217;s been in enough big games in his career to believe he has what it takes to outduel Kirby on the road.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These are the games that the Jays front office acquired Bieber for, and I have a strong feeling the former Cy Young winner won&#8217;t disappoint.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Toronto won five of the seven games Bieber started in the regular season. Additionally, the Jays swept their three-game series in Seattle this year with a run differential of +14.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:119355\">Embed: #119355<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">MLB SGP legs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong>Guerrero to record a hit <\/strong><\/strong> (-245):<\/strong> Guerrero is experiencing a roller coaster in the playoffs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He lit up the Yankees in the ALDS, going 9-for-17 with three homers and no Ks.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>In the ALCS, he&#8217;s 0-for-7 in two games vs. the Mariners with just one walk.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s a night-and-day difference, but that isn&#8217;t going to deter me from backing Vladdy to show out when his team needs him most.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In three games in Seattle during the regular season, Guerrero went 2-1 against this wager. In the game where he went hitless, he recorded two walks in five at-bats.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The slugging first baseman is 2-for-9 in his career off Kirby, but his .325 xBA indicates some bad ball luck in those meetings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Including the regular season and the playoffs, Guerrero had a single stretch of three consecutive games without a hit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong>Raleigh to record a hit <\/strong>(-165):<\/strong> This price doesn&#8217;t make much sense to me, so I&#8217;ll gladly include this pick in the SGP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The switch-hitting catcher is a wagon right now and is worth a look regardless of the pitching matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He&#8217;s 2-for-8 against Bieber all-time, but has struck just once, which is promising. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But I can&#8217;t stress enough how little that matters to me right now. Monday was the first game this postseason in which Raleigh went without a hit. He still walked twice and scored two runs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Overall, he&#8217;s 6-1 against this line in the playoffs with a whopping .357 average.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If he can&#8217;t get a knock off Bieber, there&#8217;s always the opportunity to get after the Jays&#8217; shaky bullpen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Blue Jays vs. Mariners<\/em> <em>predictions as of 1:35 p.m. on 10\/14\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Toronto Blue Jays are in a hole as the ALCS switches homes ahead of Game 3. The pregame narrative: The Seattle Mariners have brought it to the Blue Jays, outscoring them 13-4 through two games. Toronto is in desperate need of a win behind Shane Bieber while the Mariners counter with George Kirby in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":375129,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[130,10],"class_list":["post-375093","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Blue Jays vs. Mariners predictions: ALCS Game 3 SGP | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Blue Jays vs. Mariners predictions for ALCS Game 3. 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