{"id":374890,"date":"2025-10-13T12:28:11","date_gmt":"2025-10-13T16:28:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=374890"},"modified":"2025-10-13T12:28:12","modified_gmt":"2025-10-13T16:28:12","slug":"dodgers-vs-brewers-picks-and-props-nlcs-game-1-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/dodgers-vs-brewers-picks-and-props-nlcs-game-1-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Dodgers vs. Brewers Game 1 NLCS prop picks and predictions: Fade Ohtani, Betts in Milwaukee"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The NLCS begins tonight in Milwaukee, where the top-seeded Brewers host the defending champion Los Angeles Dodgers. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Milwaukee has excelled at run suppression in its home park this year, yielding just 3.7 runs per game to its opponents. I think <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/shohei_ohtani\/batting-stats\">Shohei Ohtani<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/mookie_betts\/batting-stats\">Mookie Betts<\/a> are both worth fading at the plate in Game 1 on Monday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Dodgers vs. Brewers picks for NLDS Game 1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Dodgers vs. Brewers picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best bet: Ohtani under 1.5 total bases (-127)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s really difficult to stomach fading Ohtani, but based on how his postseason is going, it&#8217;s not as crazy as it sounds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ohtani homered twice in Game 1 of the wild-card round. But he has just two hits (both singles) in five games since.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>One tricky component to this prop is that the Brewers haven&#8217;t announced their starting pitcher yet. It&#8217;ll either be Quinn Priester, Jose Quintana or an opener (likely a left-hander, so either Aaron Ashby or Jared Koenig).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ohtani is 0-for-3 with a strikeout vs. Priester and 2-for-6 with three walks vs. Quintana.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>My preference is to see Priester, who held the Dodgers to three hits over 6.0 shutout innings (with 10 strikeouts) just after the all-star break.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But if they like a particular lefty opener to face the left-hitting Ohtani out of the gate, I&#8217;m good with that, too. Ohtani has a .264 BA vs. LHPs in his career compared to a .290 BA vs. RHPs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Five quiet games for Ohtani isn&#8217;t quite a slump, but he&#8217;s heading in that direction. For a guy with a 97th-percentile walk rate, it wouldn&#8217;t be surprising to see him be a bit more selective at the dish right now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Additionally, Milwaukee&#8217;s American Family Field is a pitcher-friendly park in the alleys. The stadium allows 10% fewer triples and 13% fewer doubles than league average, per Baseball Savant&#8217;s park factors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> In his past 10 postseason games, Ohtani is just 1-9 vs. this prop with a .502 OPS and a 33.3% K rate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:119247\">Embed: #119247<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul id=\"block-10146156-2d6b-49a8-b097-37743fd550b5\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_mlb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB stats &amp; standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">MLB best bets<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Betts under 0.5 runs (-136)<\/strong>: I&#8217;m looking to fade the Dodgers&#8217; offence in a general sense tonight, so this pick gels nicely with how I expect the game to play out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Milwaukee&#8217;s home park ranks third-last as a scoring environment over the past three seasons, and I&#8217;ve already noted the general lack of extra-base hits it produces.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Betts, like Ohtani, is hitless vs. Priester. He&#8217;s 0-for-3 with two strikeouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Batting No. 2 in the Dodgers&#8217; star-studded lineup should lead to ample scoring opportunities, but that hasn&#8217;t borne much fruit recently.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dating back to the regular season, Betts has gone under 0.5 runs in 13 of 17 games with a .324 on-base percentage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Dodgers vs. Brewers picks made at 11:57 a.m. on 10\/13\/2025<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The NLCS begins tonight in Milwaukee, where the top-seeded Brewers host the defending champion Los Angeles Dodgers. The pregame narrative: Milwaukee has excelled at run suppression in its home park this year, yielding just 3.7 runs per game to its opponents. I think Shohei Ohtani and Mookie Betts are both worth fading at the plate [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":374904,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-374890","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Dodgers vs. Brewers picks and props: NLCS Game 1 | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Dodgers vs. Brewers picks for Oct. 13, 2025. 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